Vol. 1 · No. 122 Est. 2026

MLBjohannes

A daily register of Monte Carlo model projections and plays for the U.S. Mint.

SATURDAY · MAY 2 · 2026
Games
15
Sims / Game
10000
Model
sim_v2a4_johannes
Picks
6
The Board

Today's Projections

BAL
at
NYY
Kyle Bradish vs Ryan Weathers · Yankee Stadium · 1:35 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: NYY
BAL
4.0
40%
ML +151
TOTAL
8.7
4–14
NYY
4.8
60%
ML -151
FANDUEL
ML BAL +144 / NYY -172
RL +1.5 (-134) / -1.5 (+112)
Total 8.5 (O -115 / U -105)
BAL 40%
60% NYY
Park0.99 Weather0.98 RL Home −1.544% RL Away +1.556% F5 Total4.9
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.568%O756%O7.556%O848%O8.548%O938%O9.538%O1031%O10.531%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.91
O3.5: 62%O4: 49%O4.5: 49%O5: 37%
Starters
BAL Starter
Kyle Bradish
ERA4.30
IP29.3
K31
WHIP1.77
NYY Starter
Ryan Weathers
ERA3.32
IP32.5
K40
WHIP1.26
Bullpens
BAL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Rico Garcia 71 0.68 13.3
MR 10.0 Grant Wolfram 70 4.50 10.0
MR 10.0 Anthony Nunez 70 2.51 14.3
CL 10.0 Ryan Helsley 70 2.53 10.7
SU 10.0 Tyler Wells 69 3.38 16.0
MR 10.0 Yennier Cano 64 1.86 9.7
MR 10.0 Keegan Akin 57 54.00 1.0
MR 10.0 Cameron Foster 57 6.35 5.7
MR 10.0 Andrew Kittredge 56 0.00 3.0
LR 10.0 Albert Suárez 42 3.46 13.0
NYY Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Brent Headrick 76 1.93 14.0
CL 10.0 David Bednar 75 3.55 12.7
MR 10.0 Paul Blackburn 68 4.09 11.0
MR 10.0 Jake Bird 63 6.75 8.0
SU 10.0 Tim Hill 60 1.50 12.0
MR 10.0 Ryan Yarbrough 59 4.09 11.0
SU 10.0 Fernando Cruz 52 3.60 10.0
MR 10.0 Camilo Doval 50 6.97 10.3
MR 10.0 Angel Chivilli 45 3.86 2.3
TOR
at
MIN
Dylan Cease vs Connor Prielipp · Target Field · 2:10 PM ET
TOSS-UP: TOR
TOR
4.3
50%
ML -101
TOTAL
8.5
3–14
MIN
4.2
50%
ML +101
FANDUEL
ML TOR -132 / MIN +112
RL -1.5 (+132) / +1.5 (-160)
Total 8.0 (O -105 / U -115)
TOR 50%
50% MIN
Park1.06 Weather1.02 RL Home −1.535% RL Away +1.565% F5 Total4.4
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.566%O755%O7.555%O846%O8.546%O936%O9.536%O1030%O10.530%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.39
O3.5: 56%O4: 42%O4.5: 42%O5: 31%
Starters
TOR Starter
Dylan Cease
ERA2.96
IP30.4
K49
WHIP1.41
MIN Starter
Connor Prielipp
ERA4.00
IP9.0
K11
WHIP0.89
Bullpens
TOR Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 10.0 Louis Varland 82 0.56 16.0
SU 10.0 Tyler Rogers 73 0.59 15.3
MR 10.0 Jeff Hoffman 71 6.39 12.7
SU 10.0 Braydon Fisher 70 1.76 15.3
MR 10.0 Joe Mantiply 69 3.38 10.7
SU 10.0 Mason Fluharty 66 5.06 10.7
MR 10.0 Tommy Nance 64 6.00 12.0
MR 10.0 Spencer Miles 60 3.29 13.7
MR 10.0 ID:695445 50 6.75 1.3
LR 10.0 Josh Fleming 44 12.00 3.0
MIN Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Eric Orze 72 3.09 11.7
MR 10.0 Anthony Banda 65 8.74 11.3
MR 10.0 Garrett Acton 63 2.70 6.7
MR 10.0 Cody Laweryson 63 4.26 6.3
LR 10.0 Andrew Morris 62 7.20 10.0
MR 10.0 Luis García 61 18.00 1.0
MR 10.0 Taylor Rogers 61 6.52 9.7
MR 10.0 Justin Topa 60 3.55 12.7
MR 10.0 Cole Sands 56 4.63 11.7
SU 10.0 Kody Funderburk 51 2.31 11.7
AZ
at
CHC
Ryne Nelson vs Shota Imanaga · Wrigley Field · 2:20 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: CHC
AZ
3.5
38%
ML +164
TOTAL
8.0
3–13
CHC
4.5
62%
ML -164
FANDUEL
ML AZ +140 / CHC -166
RL +1.5 (-156) / -1.5 (+130)
Total 7.5 (O +102 / U -124)
AZ 38%
62% CHC
Park0.95 Weather0.97 RL Home −1.545% RL Away +1.555% F5 Total4.3
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.562%O750%O7.550%O841%O8.541%O931%O9.531%O1025%O10.525%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.35
O3.5: 55%O4: 42%O4.5: 42%O5: 31%
Starters
AZ Starter
Ryne Nelson
ERA8.32
IP23.8
K24
WHIP1.64
CHC Starter
Shota Imanaga
ERA3.17
IP34.1
K38
WHIP0.88
Bullpens
AZ Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Juan Morillo 72 1.98 13.7
MR 10.0 Kevin Ginkel 71 4.38 12.3
SU 10.0 Jonathan Loáisiga 70 3.29 13.7
SU 10.0 Taylor Clarke 67 3.07 14.7
MR 10.0 Taylor Rashi 50 9.82 3.7
SU 10.0 Ryan Thompson 49 3.97 11.3
CL 10.0 Paul Sewald 49 4.50 10.0
MR 10.0 Andrew Hoffmann 42 7.71 11.7
CHC Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
LR 10.0 Ben Brown 83 2.14 21.0
MR 10.0 Riley Martin 62 2.16 8.3
MR 10.0 Daniel Palencia 59 0.00 5.0
MR 10.0 Corbin Martin 56 0.00 4.0
MR 10.0 Hoby Milner 52 2.45 14.7
CL 10.0 Caleb Thielbar 50 3.12 8.7
MR 10.0 Phil Maton 50 14.40 5.0
MR 10.0 ID:605441 50 0.00 1.7
LR 10.0 ID:656212 50 9.00 3.0
MR 10.0 Jacob Webb 44 5.06 10.7
CLE
at
ATH
Slade Cecconi vs Jacob Lopez · Sutter Health Park · 4:05 PM ET
TOSS-UP: CLE
CLE
6.5
51%
ML -106
TOTAL
12.6
6–19
ATH
6.0
49%
ML +106
FANDUEL
ML CLE +118 / ATH -138
RL +1.5 (-166) / -1.5 (+138)
Total 10.5 (O -106 / U -114)
CLE 51%
49% ATH
Park1.10 Weather1.05 RL Home −1.536% RL Away +1.564% F5 Total7.4
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.589%O783%O7.583%O878%O8.578%O970%O9.570%O1063%O10.563%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 7.44
O3.5: 84%O4: 75%O4.5: 75%O5: 66%
Starters
CLE Starter
Slade Cecconi
ERA6.43
IP29.4
K25
WHIP1.56
ATH Starter
Jacob Lopez
ERA5.95
IP24.2
K18
WHIP1.98
Bullpens
CLE Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Erik Sabrowski 74 2.70 13.3
CL 10.0 Cade Smith 70 4.15 13.0
MR 10.0 Matt Festa 66 5.27 13.7
MR 10.0 Peyton Pallette 62 3.55 12.7
MR 10.0 Tim Herrin 57 0.00 8.3
MR 10.0 ID:670059 54 2.84 6.3
MR 10.0 Connor Brogdon 52 5.25 12.0
MR 10.0 Shawn Armstrong 52 4.22 10.7
MR 10.0 Kolby Allard 51 10.38 8.7
MR 10.0 Hunter Gaddis 47 6.75 5.3
ATH Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Jack Perkins 75 2.92 12.3
SU 10.0 Justin Sterner 68 4.02 15.7
CL 10.0 Joel Kuhnel 64 2.16 8.3
MR 10.0 Mark Leiter Jr. 60 6.39 12.7
MR 10.0 Brady Basso 59 0.00 0.7
MR 10.0 Luis Medina 59 2.70 10.0
SU 10.0 Scott Barlow 54 3.38 13.3
MR 10.0 Elvis Alvarado 53 8.38 9.7
SU 10.0 Hogan Harris 51 2.65 17.0
MR 10.0 Michael Kelly 46 6.23 4.3
CIN
at
PIT
Rhett Lowder vs Carmen Mlodzinski · PNC Park · 4:05 PM ET
TOSS-UP: PIT
CIN
3.0
46%
ML +118
TOTAL
6.2
2–11
PIT
3.2
54%
ML -118
FANDUEL
ML CIN +114 / PIT -134
RL +1.5 (-192) / -1.5 (+158)
Total 8.5 (O +100 / U -122)
CIN 46%
54% PIT
Park0.83 Weather0.95 RL Home −1.535% RL Away +1.565% F5 Total3.2
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.542%O731%O7.531%O823%O8.523%O916%O9.516%O1011%O10.511%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 3.21
O3.5: 38%O4: 26%O4.5: 26%O5: 17%
Starters
CIN Starter
Rhett Lowder
ERA3.24
IP33.3
K25
WHIP1.20
PIT Starter
Carmen Mlodzinski
ERA4.38
IP26.7
K30
WHIP1.54
Bullpens
CIN Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Brock Burke 79 0.63 14.3
SU 10.0 Graham Ashcraft 74 1.20 15.0
MR 10.0 Pierce Johnson 62 3.75 12.0
MR 10.0 Connor Phillips 58 2.16 16.7
MR 10.0 Sam Moll 58 2.19 12.3
SU 10.0 Tony Santillan 56 2.13 12.7
CL 10.0 Emilio Pagán 52 4.38 12.3
MR 10.0 Jose Franco 47 4.70 7.7
MR 10.0 Kyle Nicolas 37 8.59 7.3
PIT Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Gregory Soto 75 1.84 14.7
SU 10.0 Mason Montgomery 74 3.65 12.3
SU 10.0 Isaac Mattson 73 1.13 16.0
MR 10.0 Yohan Ramírez 72 2.04 17.7
MR 10.0 Evan Sisk 68 2.00 9.0
MR 10.0 Justin Lawrence 56 5.14 14.0
MR 10.0 Cam Sanders 55 12.00 3.0
MR 10.0 José Urquidy 54 8.53 6.3
LR 10.0 Wilber Dotel 50 1.35 6.7
CL 10.0 Dennis Santana 50 3.29 13.7
MIL
at
WSH
Kyle Harrison vs Foster Griffin · Nationals Park · 4:05 PM ET
TOSS-UP: MIL
MIL
4.2
51%
ML -104
TOTAL
8.1
3–14
WSH
3.9
49%
ML +104
FANDUEL
ML MIL -134 / WSH +114
RL -1.5 (+136) / +1.5 (-164)
Total 7.5 (O -115 / U -105)
MIL 51%
49% WSH
Park1.08 Weather0.93 RL Home −1.533% RL Away +1.567% F5 Total4.0
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.562%O750%O7.550%O842%O8.542%O932%O9.532%O1026%O10.526%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.03
O3.5: 50%O4: 37%O4.5: 37%O5: 26%
Starters
MIL Starter
Kyle Harrison
ERA2.33
IP23.2
K30
WHIP1.08
WSH Starter
Foster Griffin
ERA2.71
IP33.2
K30
WHIP1.08
Bullpens
MIL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Aaron Ashby 83 2.45 18.3
SU 10.0 Grant Anderson 71 2.57 14.0
CL 10.0 Trevor Megill 69 7.20 10.0
MR 10.0 Jake Woodford 68 4.61 13.7
SU 10.0 Abner Uribe 68 3.97 11.3
LR 10.0 Shane Drohan 57 4.70 7.7
MR 10.0 DL Hall 57 2.31 11.7
MR 10.0 Angel Zerpa 50 6.39 12.7
MR 10.0 Carlos Rodriguez 50 2.25 4.0
WSH Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 10.0 Gus Varland 68 3.18 11.3
MR 10.0 Brad Lord 65 3.74 21.7
MR 10.0 Mitchell Parker 60 5.40 8.3
MR 10.0 Richard Lovelady 58 1.59 5.7
MR 10.0 Paxton Schultz 56 4.00 9.0
MR 10.0 Cole Henry 54 6.43 7.0
MR 10.0 Julian Fernández 48 2.25 4.0
MR 10.0 ID:683000 47 9.00 2.0
MR 10.0 Clayton Beeter 45 3.48 10.3
SU 10.0 Cionel Pérez 43 7.62 13.0
HOU
at
BOS
Spencer Arrighetti vs Connelly Early · Fenway Park · 4:10 PM ET
TOSS-UP: HOU
HOU
4.3
54%
ML -118
TOTAL
8.1
3–13
BOS
3.7
46%
ML +118
FANDUEL
ML HOU +116 / BOS -134
RL +1.5 (-182) / -1.5 (+150)
Total 9.0 (O -108 / U -112)
HOU 54%
46% BOS
Park0.99 Weather0.97 RL Home −1.530% RL Away +1.570% F5 Total4.2
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.561%O750%O7.550%O842%O8.542%O932%O9.532%O1026%O10.526%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.20
O3.5: 53%O4: 40%O4.5: 40%O5: 29%
Starters
HOU Starter
Spencer Arrighetti
ERA2.00
IP18.0
K21
WHIP1.11
BOS Starter
Connelly Early
ERA2.95
IP30.5
K28
WHIP1.25
Bullpens
HOU Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Bryan King 72 3.86 11.7
MR 10.0 Kai-Wei Teng 64 2.75 19.7
MR 10.0 Steven Okert 62 2.70 13.3
CL 10.0 Enyel De Los Santos 60 6.10 10.3
MR 10.0 Jayden Murray 55 6.00 6.0
MR 10.0 Christian Roa 48 5.19 8.7
MR 10.0 ID:656986 48 13.50 1.3
MR 10.0 AJ Blubaugh 47 6.23 17.3
LR 10.0 Ryan Weiss 33 6.65 21.7
MR 10.0 Bryan Abreu 33 12.96 8.3
BOS Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 10.0 Aroldis Chapman 67 1.04 8.7
MR 10.0 Tyler Samaniego 64 0.00 8.3
SU 10.0 Garrett Whitlock 62 2.70 10.0
MR 10.0 Zack Kelly 62 3.48 10.3
MR 10.0 Jovani Morán 59 2.25 16.0
MR 10.0 Justin Slaten 57 0.00 3.3
MR 10.0 Greg Weissert 54 3.86 11.7
MR 10.0 Danny Coulombe 53 6.14 7.3
MR 10.0 Ryan Watson 51 6.62 17.7
PHI
at
MIA
Andrew Painter vs Max Meyer · loanDepot park · 4:10 PM ET
TOSS-UP: MIA
PHI
3.7
44%
ML +125
TOTAL
7.7
3–13
MIA
4.0
56%
ML -125
FANDUEL
ML PHI +110 / MIA -130
RL +1.5 (-194) / -1.5 (+160)
Total 8.5 (O -122 / U +100)
PHI 44%
56% MIA
Park0.94 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.539% RL Away +1.561% F5 Total4.2
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.558%O747%O7.547%O839%O8.539%O929%O9.529%O1023%O10.523%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.17
O3.5: 53%O4: 40%O4.5: 40%O5: 28%
Starters
PHI Starter
Andrew Painter
ERA5.41
IP23.3
K21
WHIP1.55
MIA Starter
Max Meyer
ERA3.38
IP29.3
K33
WHIP1.23
Bullpens
PHI Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 José Alvarado 67 7.45 9.7
MR 10.0 Tim Mayza 64 3.94 16.0
MR 10.0 Jonathan Bowlan 64 3.86 7.0
MR 10.0 Zach Pop 62 3.68 7.3
MR 10.0 Kyle Backhus 58 4.66 9.7
MR 10.0 Tanner Banks 57 7.20 10.0
MR 10.0 Chase Shugart 57 1.17 7.7
SU 10.0 Brad Keller 57 3.86 11.7
MR 10.0 Orion Kerkering 54 2.70 10.0
CL 10.0 Jhoan Duran 50 1.35 6.7
MIA Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Anthony Bender 68 5.25 12.0
MR 10.0 Tyler Phillips 68 1.47 18.3
MR 10.0 Michael Petersen 65 3.65 12.3
MR 10.0 John King 65 0.71 12.7
MR 10.0 Ryan Gusto 64 0.00 1.0
MR 10.0 Calvin Faucher 63 5.40 10.0
CL 10.0 Pete Fairbanks 63 10.00 9.0
MR 10.0 Lake Bachar 59 3.29 13.7
SU 10.0 Andrew Nardi 48 7.20 10.0
SF
at
TB
Landen Roupp vs Griffin Jax · Tropicana Field · 6:10 PM ET
TOSS-UP: TB
SF
3.0
45%
ML +121
TOTAL
6.3
2–11
TB
3.3
55%
ML -121
FANDUEL
ML SF -110 / TB -106
RL -1.5 (+155) / +1.5 (-188)
Total 7.5 (O -112 / U -108)
SF 45%
55% TB
Park0.87 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.536% RL Away +1.564% F5 Total3.1
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.544%O732%O7.532%O824%O8.524%O917%O9.517%O1012%O10.512%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 3.14
O3.5: 38%O4: 25%O4.5: 25%O5: 16%
Starters
SF Starter
Landen Roupp
ERA2.62
IP34.4
K37
WHIP0.93
TB Starter
Griffin Jax
ERA8.00
IP9.0
K12
WHIP2.11
Bullpens
SF Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Keaton Winn 71 2.53 10.7
MR 10.0 Erik Miller 71 3.48 10.3
MR 10.0 Blade Tidwell 65 3.00 12.0
MR 10.0 Caleb Kilian 62 0.75 12.0
CL 10.0 Ryan Walker 62 3.00 12.0
MR 10.0 JT Brubaker 58 2.51 14.3
MR 10.0 Matt Gage 55 1.50 12.0
MR 10.0 Ryan Borucki 50 5.19 8.7
TB Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Ian Seymour 70 6.75 13.3
CL 10.0 Bryan Baker 68 3.18 11.3
LR 10.0 Jesse Scholtens 67 3.20 19.7
MR 10.0 Cole Sulser 66 3.24 16.7
SU 10.0 Kevin Kelly 65 4.26 12.7
MR 10.0 Trevor Martin 51 6.23 4.3
SU 10.0 Hunter Bigge 46 4.50 8.0
MR 10.0 Griffin Jax 42 6.35 11.3
MR 10.0 Mason Englert 41 7.11 12.7
MR 10.0 Yoendrys Gómez 28 7.04 15.3
LAD
at
STL
Roki Sasaki vs Michael McGreevy · Busch Stadium · 7:15 PM ET
TOSS-UP: STL
LAD
4.1
42%
ML +136
TOTAL
8.9
4–15
STL
4.7
58%
ML -136
FANDUEL
ML LAD -136 / STL +116
RL -1.5 (+116) / +1.5 (-140)
Total 8.5 (O -122 / U +100)
LAD 42%
58% STL
Park0.94 Weather0.97 RL Home −1.542% RL Away +1.557% F5 Total5.0
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.569%O758%O7.558%O850%O8.550%O939%O9.539%O1032%O10.532%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 5.03
O3.5: 64%O4: 51%O4.5: 51%O5: 39%
Starters
LAD Starter
Roki Sasaki
ERA6.49
IP22.2
K22
WHIP1.85
STL Starter
Michael McGreevy
ERA3.06
IP32.4
K21
WHIP0.93
Bullpens
LAD Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Will Klein 72 2.45 11.0
MR 10.0 Alex Vesia 71 1.74 10.3
MR 10.0 Jack Dreyer 70 3.46 13.0
SU 10.0 Tanner Scott 64 2.03 13.3
MR 10.0 Edgardo Henriquez 58 3.86 9.3
MR 10.0 Jake Eder 53 3.00 3.0
CL 10.0 Edwin Díaz 53 10.50 6.0
SU 10.0 Blake Treinen 51 4.15 8.7
MR 10.0 Kyle Hurt 50 1.80 5.0
MR 10.0 Ben Casparius 46 9.64 4.7
STL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 10.0 Riley O'Brien 79 1.26 14.3
MR 10.0 Gordon Graceffo 70 1.13 16.0
MR 10.0 Ryan Fernandez 61 1.59 5.7
SU 10.0 Ryne Stanek 60 7.71 11.7
MR 10.0 George Soriano 60 4.38 12.3
SU 10.0 JoJo Romero 55 3.95 13.7
MR 10.0 Jared Shuster 52 4.91 3.7
SU 10.0 Justin Bruihl 51 5.87 15.3
MR 10.0 Matt Svanson 37 10.34 15.7
TEX
at
DET
Kumar Rocker vs Keider Montero · Comerica Park · 7:15 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: DET
TEX
4.1
40%
ML +152
TOTAL
9.0
4–15
DET
4.9
60%
ML -152
FANDUEL
ML TEX +110 / DET -130
RL +1.5 (-200) / -1.5 (+164)
Total 8.5 (O -102 / U -120)
TEX 40%
60% DET
Park1.03 Weather0.98 RL Home −1.544% RL Away +1.556% F5 Total4.9
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.570%O759%O7.559%O850%O8.550%O941%O9.541%O1033%O10.533%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.87
O3.5: 62%O4: 49%O4.5: 49%O5: 37%
Starters
TEX Starter
Kumar Rocker
ERA3.44
IP26.2
K22
WHIP1.34
DET Starter
Keider Montero
ERA4.11
IP26.3
K23
WHIP1.03
Bullpens
TEX Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Tyler Alexander 78 0.63 14.3
MR 10.0 Jacob Latz 72 1.23 14.7
CL 10.0 Jakob Junis 69 1.88 14.3
SU 10.0 Jalen Beeks 62 2.08 13.0
MR 10.0 Gavin Collyer 56 0.00 5.3
LR 10.0 Cal Quantrill 56 6.43 7.0
MR 10.0 Robert Garcia 55 3.38 8.0
SU 10.0 Cole Winn 53 4.85 13.0
MR 10.0 ID:682608 52 0.00 4.0
MR 10.0 Chris Martin 50 7.11 6.3
DET Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Brant Hurter 65 1.98 13.7
SU 10.0 Will Vest 63 6.17 11.7
MR 10.0 Enmanuel De Jesus 61 10.13 8.0
MR 10.0 Burch Smith 61 1.69 5.3
MR 10.0 Kyle Finnegan 58 0.66 13.7
MR 10.0 Connor Seabold 53 4.09 11.0
MR 10.0 Drew Anderson 53 6.60 15.0
MR 10.0 Brenan Hanifee 50 0.00 1.0
CL 10.0 Kenley Jansen 50 3.68 7.3
MR 10.0 Tyler Holton 48 5.54 13.0
ATL
at
COL
Chris Sale vs Chase Dollander · Coors Field · 8:10 PM ET
TOSS-UP: COL
ATL
5.5
47%
ML +111
TOTAL
10.9
5–17
COL
5.5
53%
ML -111
FANDUEL
ML ATL -220 / COL +184
RL -1.5 (-137) / +1.5 (+114)
Total 9.5 (O -124 / U +102)
ATL 47%
53% COL
Park1.29 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.539% RL Away +1.561% F5 Total5.6
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.582%O773%O7.573%O866%O8.566%O957%O9.557%O1050%O10.550%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 5.62
O3.5: 70%O4: 58%O4.5: 58%O5: 46%
Starters
ATL Starter
Chris Sale
ERA2.31
IP35.0
K38
WHIP0.91
COL Starter
Chase Dollander
ERA2.30
IP31.3
K39
WHIP1.02
Bullpens
ATL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Dylan Lee 76 1.38 13.0
MR 10.0 José Suarez 75 5.87 15.3
MR 10.0 Robert Suarez 75 0.71 12.7
SU 10.0 Tyler Kinley 72 1.38 13.0
CL 10.0 Raisel Iglesias 67 0.00 8.7
LR 10.0 Didier Fuentes 63 5.00 9.0
MR 10.0 Joel Payamps 48 6.14 7.3
MR 10.0 Carlos Carrasco 46 0.00 1.0
MR 10.0 Osvaldo Bido 43 6.30 10.0
SU 10.0 Aaron Bummer 43 4.66 9.7
COL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
LR 10.0 Chase Dollander 89 2.25 32.0
LR 10.0 Antonio Senzatela 86 0.50 18.0
MR 10.0 Jimmy Herget 74 1.50 12.0
MR 10.0 Brennan Bernardino 71 0.82 11.0
MR 10.0 Juan Mejia 67 5.40 13.3
MR 10.0 Zach Agnos 64 5.71 17.3
SU 10.0 Jaden Hill 57 3.18 11.3
MR 10.0 Seth Halvorsen 52 0.00 2.0
CL 10.0 Victor Vodnik 51 6.94 11.7
LR 10.0 Tanner Gordon 42 7.36 11.0
CWS
at
SD
Sean Burke vs Michael King · Petco Park · 8:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: SD
CWS
3.2
46%
ML +119
TOTAL
6.6
3–11
SD
3.4
54%
ML -119
FANDUEL
ML CWS +154 / SD -184
RL +1.5 (-137) / -1.5 (+114)
Total 7.5 (O -124 / U +102)
CWS 46%
54% SD
Park0.87 Weather0.98 RL Home −1.536% RL Away +1.564% F5 Total3.5
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.547%O734%O7.534%O827%O8.527%O919%O9.519%O1014%O10.514%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 3.46
O3.5: 43%O4: 30%O4.5: 30%O5: 20%
Starters
CWS Starter
Sean Burke
ERA3.25
IP33.2
K24
WHIP1.05
SD Starter
Michael King
ERA2.44
IP33.2
K34
WHIP1.05
Bullpens
CWS Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Grant Taylor 81 2.93 15.3
MR 10.0 Sean Newcomb 80 4.00 18.0
MR 10.0 Bryan Hudson 76 1.29 14.0
MR 10.0 Lucas Sims 55 4.50 10.0
MR 10.0 Jordan Hicks 54 4.26 12.7
MR 10.0 Tyler Davis 52 0.00 2.0
MR 10.0 Chris Murphy 48 10.50 6.0
CL 10.0 Seranthony Domínguez 44 4.50 12.0
MR 10.0 Osvaldo Bido 43 6.75 5.3
MR 10.0 Jordan Leasure 33 6.91 14.3
SD Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 10.0 Mason Miller 79 1.26 14.3
SU 10.0 Adrian Morejon 76 5.28 15.3
MR 10.0 Bradgley Rodriguez 75 2.08 13.0
SU 10.0 Kyle Hart 69 5.87 15.3
MR 10.0 Ron Marinaccio 62 5.40 16.7
SU 10.0 Jason Adam 61 1.29 7.0
MR 10.0 Jeremiah Estrada 60 5.14 7.0
MR 10.0 Wandy Peralta 50 4.05 13.3
MR 10.0 David Morgan 50 6.08 13.3
NYM
at
LAA
Nolan McLean vs Reid Detmers · Angel Stadium · 9:38 PM ET
TOSS-UP: LAA
NYM
4.1
49%
ML +103
TOTAL
8.1
3–14
LAA
4.0
51%
ML -103
FANDUEL
ML NYM -130 / LAA +110
RL -1.5 (+128) / +1.5 (-154)
Total 7.5 (O -122 / U +100)
NYM 49%
51% LAA
Park1.04 Weather1.02 RL Home −1.535% RL Away +1.565% F5 Total4.1
Total Runs
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O6.562%O750%O7.550%O842%O8.542%O932%O9.532%O1026%O10.526%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.10
O3.5: 52%O4: 39%O4.5: 39%O5: 27%
Starters
NYM Starter
Nolan McLean
ERA2.62
IP34.4
K45
WHIP0.87
LAA Starter
Reid Detmers
ERA4.43
IP32.5
K36
WHIP1.14
Bullpens
NYM Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Tobias Myers 74 2.33 19.3
LR 10.0 Sean Manaea 69 4.66 19.3
MR 10.0 Huascar Brazobán 68 1.35 13.3
MR 10.0 Brooks Raley 61 1.86 9.7
MR 10.0 Luis García 61 7.11 6.3
MR 10.0 Craig Kimbrel 61 5.06 5.3
CL 10.0 Devin Williams 60 9.00 8.0
MR 10.0 Luke Weaver 58 4.91 11.0
MR 10.0 Richard Lovelady 58 3.68 7.3
LR 10.0 Carl Edwards Jr. 55 0.00 3.3
LAA Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Ryan Zeferjahn 78 5.28 15.3
SU 10.0 Sam Bachman 63 3.52 15.3
MR 10.0 Brent Suter 59 3.32 19.0
CL 10.0 Jordan Romano 56 10.13 8.0
MR 10.0 Mitch Farris 53 2.25 8.0
MR 10.0 Nick Sandlin 52 14.29 5.7
MR 10.0 Chase Silseth 51 3.27 11.0
MR 10.0 ID:820862 50 0.00 2.7
MR 10.0 Shaun Anderson 49 5.94 16.7
MR 10.0 Joey Lucchesi 43 13.50 3.3
KC
at
SEA
Seth Lugo vs Emerson Hancock · T-Mobile Park · 9:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: SEA
KC
3.7
49%
ML +105
TOTAL
7.3
3–12
SEA
3.6
51%
ML -105
FANDUEL
ML KC +124 / SEA -146
RL +1.5 (-178) / -1.5 (+146)
Total 7.5 (O -124 / U +102)
KC 49%
51% SEA
Park0.90 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.534% RL Away +1.566% F5 Total3.8
Total Runs
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O6.554%O742%O7.542%O834%O8.534%O925%O9.525%O1019%O10.519%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 3.75
O3.5: 47%O4: 34%O4.5: 34%O5: 23%
Starters
KC Starter
Seth Lugo
ERA2.71
IP36.5
K31
WHIP1.21
SEA Starter
Emerson Hancock
ERA2.89
IP34.2
K32
WHIP0.99
Bullpens
KC Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Daniel Lynch IV 73 0.79 11.3
MR 10.0 Nick Mears 65 2.45 11.0
CL 10.0 Lucas Erceg 60 4.38 12.3
MR 10.0 Mason Black 57 0.00 3.7
MR 10.0 Alex Lange 57 7.71 11.7
SU 10.0 Matt Strahm 54 4.22 10.7
MR 10.0 Eli Morgan 48 2.61 10.3
MR 10.0 John Schreiber 43 4.50 10.0
MR 10.0 Steven Cruz 40 14.40 5.0
SEA Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Jose A. Ferrer 75 1.93 14.0
MR 10.0 Eduard Bazardo 71 1.29 14.0
SU 10.0 Matt Brash 71 0.00 11.3
MR 10.0 Casey Legumina 71 4.63 11.7
SU 10.0 Gabe Speier 63 2.31 11.7
CL 10.0 Andrés Muñoz 60 6.55 11.0
MR 10.0 Cole Wilcox 60 6.35 11.3
MR 10.0 Cooper Criswell 56 2.57 14.0
MR 10.0 Alex Hoppe 50 16.20 1.7
The Editor's Plays

On Today's Slate

Best Bets

SF @ TB
Giants/Rays Under 7.5 +104
MIL @ WSH
Nationals +0.5 F5 -128
TEX @ DET
Tigers ML -120
ATL @ COL
Braves -1.5 -127
TOR @ MIN
Blue Jays ML -128

Value Plays

BAL @ NYY
Orioles F5 ML +145