Vol. 1 · No. 135 Est. 2026

MLBjohannes

A daily register of Monte Carlo model projections and plays for the U.S. Mint.

FRIDAY · MAY 15 · 2026
Games
15
Sims / Game
10000
Model
sim_v2a4_johannes
Picks
5
The Board

Today's Projections

PHI
at
PIT
Aaron Nola vs Braxton Ashcraft · PNC Park · 6:40 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: PIT
PHI
3.1
40%
ML +149
TOTAL
6.8
3–12
PIT
3.8
60%
ML -149
FANDUEL
ML PHI +116 / PIT -134
RL +1.5 (-184) / -1.5 (+152)
Total 8.0 (O -115 / U -105)
PHI 40%
60% PIT
Park0.83 Weather0.99 RL Home −1.542% RL Away +1.558% F5 Total3.6
⚠ PHI José Alvarado (SE:4.8)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.549%O737%O7.537%O829%O8.529%O921%O9.521%O1016%O10.516%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 3.65
O3.5: 45%O4: 32%O4.5: 32%O5: 22%
Starters
PHI Starter
Aaron Nola
ERA5.32
IP40.6
K44
WHIP1.53
PIT Starter
Braxton Ashcraft
ERA2.84
IP47.5
K51
WHIP1.07
Bullpens
PHI Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 4.8 José Alvarado 80 5.40 15.0
MR 4.0 Brad Keller 76 3.86 18.7
MR 9.0 Tanner Banks 76 6.23 17.3
MR 10.0 Jonathan Bowlan 75 5.68 12.7
CL 6.8 Jhoan Duran 73 1.54 11.7
MR 9.0 Tim Mayza 69 3.27 22.0
MR 10.0 Chase Shugart 64 1.98 13.7
MR 10.0 Zach Pop 62 3.68 7.3
MR 10.0 Kyle Backhus 58 4.66 9.7
MR 9.0 Orion Kerkering 57 2.35 15.3
PIT Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 10.0 Gregory Soto 89 1.69 21.3
MR 4.0 Evan Sisk 85 1.56 17.3
SU 7.4 Mason Montgomery 81 2.70 16.7
MR 8.0 Yohan Ramírez 81 3.96 25.0
SU 10.0 Isaac Mattson 73 4.67 17.3
MR 10.0 Chris Devenski 72 7.71 2.3
MR 8.0 Justin Lawrence 56 6.06 16.3
MR 10.0 Cam Sanders 56 10.80 5.0
MR 8.0 Dennis Santana 55 3.44 18.3
MR 10.0 José Urquidy 54 8.53 6.3
BAL
at
WSH
Shane Baz vs Zack Littell · Nationals Park · 6:45 PM ET
TOSS-UP: BAL
BAL
6.2
53%
ML -112
TOTAL
11.8
6–18
WSH
5.6
47%
ML +112
FANDUEL
ML BAL -138 / WSH +118
RL -1.5 (+118) / +1.5 (-142)
Total 9.5 (O -106 / U -114)
BAL 53%
47% WSH
Park1.08 Weather1.02 RL Home −1.534% RL Away +1.566% F5 Total7.0
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.588%O781%O7.581%O874%O8.574%O965%O9.565%O1058%O10.558%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 7.04
O3.5: 82%O4: 73%O4.5: 73%O5: 62%
Starters
BAL Starter
Shane Baz
ERA5.79
IP42.0
K38
WHIP1.64
WSH Starter
Zack Littell
ERA7.12
IP35.4
K17
WHIP1.64
Bullpens
BAL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Rico Garcia 82 0.47 19.0
SU 10.0 Grant Wolfram 76 4.85 13.0
MR 9.0 Yennier Cano 73 1.13 16.0
SU 10.0 Tyler Wells 72 3.26 19.3
CL 10.0 Ryan Helsley 70 2.53 10.7
MR 9.0 Dietrich Enns 64 1.54 11.7
MR 10.0 Cameron Foster 60 5.87 7.7
SU 10.0 Anthony Nunez 59 4.05 20.0
MR 9.0 Keegan Akin 57 8.22 7.7
MR 10.0 Andrew Kittredge 54 10.80 6.7
WSH Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Brad Lord 76 3.21 28.0
CL 8.4 Gus Varland 75 4.50 16.0
MR 10.0 Paxton Schultz 69 2.30 15.7
MR 9.0 Richard Lovelady 63 0.84 10.7
LR 7.9 Mitchell Parker 63 4.95 20.0
MR 10.0 ID:687377 63 2.57 7.0
MR 10.0 Cole Henry 54 6.43 7.0
MR 8.0 PJ Poulin 50 3.15 20.0
MR 10.0 Julian Fernández 48 2.25 4.0
SU 10.0 Cionel Pérez 47 6.19 16.0
TOR
at
DET
Trey Yesavage vs Brenan Hanifee · Comerica Park · 6:45 PM ET
TOSS-UP: TOR
TOR
4.6
52%
ML -106
TOTAL
9.0
4–15
DET
4.3
48%
ML +106
FANDUEL
ML TOR -124 / DET +106
RL -1.5 (+134) / +1.5 (-162)
Total 8.0 (O -110 / U -110)
TOR 52%
48% DET
Park1.03 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.534% RL Away +1.566% F5 Total4.9
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.569%O758%O7.558%O850%O8.550%O940%O9.540%O1033%O10.533%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.88
O3.5: 62%O4: 49%O4.5: 49%O5: 37%
Starters
TOR Starter
Trey Yesavage
ERA0.69
IP13.1
K15
WHIP1.37
DET Starter
Brenan Hanifee
ERA1.22
IP7.4
K4
WHIP1.22
Bullpens
TOR Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 6.8 Louis Varland 93 0.42 21.7
MR 10.0 Tommy Nance 83 4.05 20.0
SU 10.0 Braydon Fisher 80 3.18 22.7
SU 8.7 Tyler Rogers 80 1.86 19.3
MR 9.0 Jeff Hoffman 77 5.79 18.7
MR 10.0 Joe Mantiply 77 2.25 16.0
MR 10.0 Spencer Miles 75 3.00 21.0
SU 10.0 Mason Fluharty 72 5.40 15.0
MR 10.0 Yariel Rodríguez 52 0.00 1.0
MR 10.0 ID:695445 50 6.75 1.3
DET Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Brant Hurter 78 1.66 21.7
MR 8.0 Enmanuel De Jesus 74 7.31 16.0
MR 10.0 Drew Anderson 72 5.48 23.0
MR 10.0 Burch Smith 68 3.75 12.0
LR 10.0 Ty Madden 68 2.45 11.0
SU 10.0 Will Vest 63 6.17 11.7
SU 8.7 Kyle Finnegan 60 1.31 20.7
MR 8.0 Brenan Hanifee 56 1.08 8.3
MR 9.0 Tyler Holton 56 4.74 19.0
MR 10.0 Connor Seabold 53 4.09 11.0
CIN
at
CLE
Andrew Abbott vs Tanner Bibee · Progressive Field · 7:10 PM ET
TOSS-UP: CLE
CIN
3.8
42%
ML +137
TOTAL
8.1
3–13
CLE
4.3
58%
ML -137
FANDUEL
ML CIN +116 / CLE -136
RL +1.5 (-192) / -1.5 (+158)
Total 8.0 (O -108 / U -112)
CIN 42%
58% CLE
Park0.87 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.541% RL Away +1.559% F5 Total4.5
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.563%O751%O7.551%O842%O8.542%O932%O9.532%O1026%O10.526%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.55
O3.5: 58%O4: 45%O4.5: 45%O5: 33%
Starters
CIN Starter
Andrew Abbott
ERA4.63
IP44.7
K33
WHIP1.57
CLE Starter
Tanner Bibee
ERA4.26
IP44.4
K45
WHIP1.37
Bullpens
CIN Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 9.0 Brock Burke 84 2.75 19.7
SU 8.7 Graham Ashcraft 78 1.66 21.7
MR 10.0 Pierce Johnson 64 3.71 17.0
SU 7.4 Connor Phillips 61 5.16 22.7
MR 8.0 Sam Moll 59 3.06 17.7
MR 6.0 ID:682825 52 3.38 8.0
MR 8.0 Tejay Antone 50 3.60 5.0
MR 10.0 Jose Franco 49 4.30 14.7
MR 10.0 ID:687209 48 36.00 1.0
CL 10.0 Emilio Pagán 48 6.43 14.0
CLE Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 8.4 Cade Smith 91 3.05 20.7
SU 7.4 Erik Sabrowski 89 1.86 19.3
MR 10.0 ID:670059 75 1.84 14.7
MR 10.0 Peyton Pallette 67 4.58 17.7
MR 10.0 Tim Herrin 62 0.68 13.3
SU 10.0 Matt Festa 61 4.95 20.0
MR 10.0 Shawn Armstrong 52 4.22 10.7
MR 10.0 Kolby Allard 51 10.38 8.7
MR 10.0 Hunter Gaddis 48 6.75 9.3
MR 10.0 ID:680916 45 3.38 2.7
MIA
at
TB
Janson Junk vs Jesse Scholtens · Tropicana Field · 7:10 PM ET
TOSS-UP: TB
MIA
3.7
48%
ML +106
TOTAL
7.3
3–12
TB
3.6
52%
ML -106
FANDUEL
ML MIA +100 / TB -118
RL -1.5 (+172) / +1.5 (-205)
Total 8.0 (O -104 / U -118)
MIA 48%
52% TB
Park0.87 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.534% RL Away +1.566% F5 Total3.9
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.554%O742%O7.542%O834%O8.534%O925%O9.525%O1019%O10.519%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 3.89
O3.5: 49%O4: 36%O4.5: 36%O5: 25%
Starters
MIA Starter
Janson Junk
ERA3.32
IP43.4
K33
WHIP1.13
TB Starter
Jesse Scholtens
ERA3.50
IP25.7
K21
WHIP1.25
Bullpens
MIA Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 9.0 Tyler Phillips 82 1.08 25.0
MR 6.0 Lake Bachar 81 2.05 22.0
SU 7.4 Anthony Bender 80 3.78 16.7
SU 10.0 Michael Petersen 72 4.80 15.0
MR 6.0 Calvin Faucher 71 3.06 17.7
MR 4.0 John King 66 2.41 18.7
MR 10.0 Ryan Gusto 64 0.00 1.0
CL 10.0 Pete Fairbanks 63 10.00 9.0
SU 10.0 Andrew Nardi 56 5.74 15.7
MR 9.0 ID:694795 54 1.69 5.3
TB Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Kevin Kelly 79 2.75 19.7
MR 10.0 Casey Legumina 78 3.38 5.3
CL 6.8 Bryan Baker 75 2.60 17.3
SU 7.4 Cole Sulser 75 3.27 22.0
SU 10.0 Ian Seymour 74 5.59 19.3
SU 8.7 Hunter Bigge 63 2.30 15.7
SU 10.0 ID:664076 62 3.86 7.0
LR 10.0 Jesse Scholtens 62 3.29 27.3
MR 7.0 Griffin Jax 54 3.91 23.0
MR 10.0 Trevor Martin 51 6.23 4.3
MIL at MIN
TBD vs Joe Ryan · Target Field ·7:10 PM ET
SKIPPED null_starter
starter/away — starter_id_null
BOS
at
ATL
Connelly Early vs Spencer Strider · Truist Park · 7:15 PM ET
TOSS-UP: ATL
BOS
4.0
43%
ML +135
TOTAL
8.4
3–14
ATL
4.5
57%
ML -135
FANDUEL
ML BOS +130 / ATL -154
RL +1.5 (-160) / -1.5 (+132)
Total 8.0 (O -102 / U -120)
BOS 43%
57% ATL
Park0.99 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.541% RL Away +1.559% F5 Total4.6
⚠ BOS Garrett Whitlock (SE:2.2)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.565%O753%O7.553%O845%O8.545%O935%O9.535%O1028%O10.528%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.59
O3.5: 59%O4: 45%O4.5: 45%O5: 34%
Starters
BOS Starter
Connelly Early
ERA3.25
IP41.5
K39
WHIP1.25
ATL Starter
Spencer Strider
ERA2.97
IP9.1
K14
WHIP1.32
Bullpens
BOS Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 6.8 Aroldis Chapman 77 0.66 13.7
SU 2.2 Garrett Whitlock 73 3.12 17.3
MR 6.0 Zack Kelly 67 3.45 15.7
MR 9.0 Tyler Samaniego 64 1.17 15.3
MR 5.0 Justin Slaten 62 0.00 6.0
LR 10.0 ID:681252 56 3.38 8.0
MR 10.0 Danny Coulombe 54 5.63 8.0
MR 8.0 Ryan Watson 51 6.20 24.7
MR 10.0 Jovani Morán 50 3.18 22.7
MR 10.0 Greg Weissert 50 5.28 15.3
ATL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 8.7 Dylan Lee 91 0.87 20.7
MR 8.0 Robert Suarez 86 0.50 18.0
MR 10.0 José Suarez 78 6.61 16.3
LR 10.0 Didier Fuentes 77 3.45 15.7
CL 10.0 Raisel Iglesias 75 0.00 12.7
SU 10.0 Tyler Kinley 57 3.50 18.0
MR 10.0 Joel Payamps 48 8.22 7.7
MR 10.0 Osvaldo Bido 47 6.30 10.0
MR 10.0 Carlos Carrasco 46 0.00 2.3
SU 7.4 Aaron Bummer 43 4.40 14.3
NYY
at
NYM
Cam Schlittler vs Clay Holmes · Citi Field · 7:15 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: NYY
NYY
4.4
58%
ML -138
TOTAL
7.8
3–13
NYM
3.4
42%
ML +138
FANDUEL
ML NYY -154 / NYM +130
RL -1.5 (+120) / +1.5 (-144)
Total 7.0 (O -105 / U -115)
NYY 58%
42% NYM
Park1.01 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.527% RL Away +1.573% F5 Total3.8
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.559%O747%O7.547%O839%O8.539%O929%O9.529%O1023%O10.523%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 3.82
O3.5: 47%O4: 34%O4.5: 34%O5: 24%
Starters
NYY Starter
Cam Schlittler
ERA1.37
IP52.4
K59
WHIP0.82
NYM Starter
Clay Holmes
ERA1.93
IP46.7
K37
WHIP1.05
Bullpens
NYY Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 10.0 David Bednar 84 3.50 18.0
SU 10.0 Brent Headrick 77 2.08 21.7
SU 10.0 Tim Hill 71 1.00 18.0
MR 7.0 Ryan Yarbrough 71 3.45 15.7
SU 10.0 Jake Bird 70 4.73 13.3
SU 10.0 Fernando Cruz 66 2.70 16.7
MR 7.0 Paul Blackburn 63 4.08 17.7
MR 10.0 Camilo Doval 63 5.74 15.7
MR 10.0 Kervin Castro 50 4.50 2.0
MR 10.0 Angel Chivilli 45 3.86 2.3
NYM Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 8.7 Brooks Raley 78 1.06 17.0
MR 8.0 Huascar Brazobán 75 2.14 21.0
CL 8.4 Devin Williams 74 5.27 13.7
LR 10.0 Sean Manaea 69 6.56 23.3
SU 7.4 Luke Weaver 65 4.15 17.3
MR 10.0 Austin Warren 64 0.82 11.0
MR 9.0 Richard Lovelady 63 3.68 7.3
MR 8.0 Tobias Myers 63 3.51 25.7
MR 8.0 Craig Kimbrel 61 6.10 10.3
LR 10.0 Carl Edwards Jr. 56 1.50 6.0
CHC
at
CWS
Edward Cabrera vs Sean Burke · Rate Field · 7:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: CWS
CHC
3.7
45%
ML +124
TOTAL
7.6
3–13
CWS
4.0
55%
ML -124
FANDUEL
ML CHC -146 / CWS +124
RL -1.5 (+106) / +1.5 (-128)
Total 8.5 (O -106 / U -114)
CHC 45%
55% CWS
Park0.94 Weather0.92 RL Home −1.538% RL Away +1.562% F5 Total4.0
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.557%O745%O7.545%O837%O8.537%O928%O9.528%O1022%O10.522%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.03
O3.5: 51%O4: 37%O4.5: 37%O5: 26%
Starters
CHC Starter
Edward Cabrera
ERA3.96
IP45.4
K43
WHIP1.34
CWS Starter
Sean Burke
ERA3.74
IP43.3
K36
WHIP1.11
Bullpens
CHC Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
LR 4.4 Ben Brown 95 1.60 33.7
MR 10.0 Ryan Rolison 62 3.38 10.7
LR 10.0 Javier Assad 62 6.00 24.0
MR 10.0 Riley Martin 62 2.16 8.3
MR 8.0 Jacob Webb 61 3.44 18.3
MR 4.0 Phil Maton 60 7.71 11.7
CL 6.8 Daniel Palencia 60 2.25 8.0
MR 6.0 Hoby Milner 59 2.21 20.3
MR 10.0 ID:681799 55 0.00 5.7
MR 10.0 Trent Thornton 53 0.00 3.0
CWS Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 2.0 Sean Newcomb 98 2.81 25.7
MR 10.0 Grant Taylor 93 2.11 21.3
MR 10.0 Bryan Hudson 87 0.90 20.0
MR 8.0 Jordan Hicks 62 3.45 15.7
MR 10.0 Lucas Sims 55 4.50 10.0
MR 4.0 Tyler Davis 54 4.00 9.0
MR 10.0 ID:805326 51 13.50 2.7
MR 10.0 Trevor Richards 51 27.00 1.0
CL 8.4 Seranthony Domínguez 50 4.08 17.7
MR 10.0 Chris Murphy 48 10.50 6.0
TEX
at
HOU
Jack Leiter vs Spencer Arrighetti · Daikin Park · 8:10 PM ET
TOSS-UP: HOU
TEX
3.9
43%
ML +130
TOTAL
8.2
3–14
HOU
4.3
57%
ML -130
FANDUEL
ML TEX -108 / HOU -108
RL -1.5 (+150) / +1.5 (-182)
Total 8.5 (O -114 / U -106)
TEX 43%
57% HOU
Park0.92 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.540% RL Away +1.560% F5 Total4.4
⚠ HOU Bryan King (CL:5.2)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.563%O752%O7.552%O844%O8.544%O934%O9.534%O1027%O10.527%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.43
O3.5: 56%O4: 43%O4.5: 43%O5: 32%
Starters
TEX Starter
Jack Leiter
ERA5.07
IP40.8
K49
WHIP1.50
HOU Starter
Spencer Arrighetti
ERA1.91
IP28.2
K30
WHIP1.35
Bullpens
TEX Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 6.8 Jacob Latz 83 2.08 21.7
SU 7.4 Tyler Alexander 79 2.14 21.0
MR 10.0 Jakob Junis 77 1.89 19.0
SU 7.4 Jalen Beeks 65 2.95 18.3
LR 9.3 Cal Quantrill 65 3.77 14.3
MR 9.0 ID:682608 63 0.87 10.3
MR 10.0 Gavin Collyer 60 2.79 9.7
SU 10.0 Cole Winn 60 4.76 17.0
MR 10.0 Robert Garcia 55 3.38 8.0
MR 10.0 Chris Martin 50 7.11 6.3
HOU Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 9.0 Enyel De Los Santos 77 4.15 17.3
CL 5.2 Bryan King 77 3.57 17.7
MR 10.0 Kai-Wei Teng 74 3.12 26.0
MR 9.0 Steven Okert 64 3.79 19.0
MR 10.0 Jayden Murray 60 5.40 10.0
LR 4.4 Cody Bolton 56 4.76 17.0
MR 10.0 Logan VanWey 52 0.00 2.0
MR 10.0 ID:656986 50 8.10 3.3
MR 10.0 AJ Blubaugh 50 5.19 26.0
MR 10.0 Christian Roa 48 5.19 8.7
KC
at
STL
Michael Wacha vs Dustin May · Busch Stadium · 8:15 PM ET
TOSS-UP: KC
KC
4.3
52%
ML -106
TOTAL
8.3
3–14
STL
4.0
48%
ML +106
FANDUEL
ML KC -106 / STL -110
RL -1.5 (+158) / +1.5 (-192)
Total 8.5 (O -112 / U -108)
KC 52%
48% STL
Park0.94 Weather1.03 RL Home −1.533% RL Away +1.567% F5 Total4.5
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.565%O753%O7.553%O845%O8.545%O934%O9.534%O1027%O10.527%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.46
O3.5: 57%O4: 44%O4.5: 44%O5: 32%
Starters
KC Starter
Michael Wacha
ERA2.64
IP51.1
K42
WHIP1.00
STL Starter
Dustin May
ERA4.91
IP42.2
K32
WHIP1.45
Bullpens
KC Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Daniel Lynch IV 84 2.08 17.3
CL 6.8 Lucas Erceg 70 3.63 17.3
MR 4.0 Luinder Avila 66 5.28 15.3
MR 4.0 Alex Lange 64 5.23 20.7
SU 10.0 Nick Mears 62 3.07 14.7
MR 10.0 Mason Black 59 0.00 4.7
SU 10.0 Matt Strahm 56 4.02 15.7
MR 10.0 Eli Morgan 48 2.61 10.3
MR 10.0 ID:672021 45 9.00 3.0
MR 9.0 John Schreiber 40 3.71 17.0
STL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 6.8 Riley O'Brien 92 2.57 21.0
SU 7.4 Ryne Stanek 62 6.87 18.3
SU 7.4 JoJo Romero 62 3.43 21.0
MR 10.0 Ryan Fernandez 61 1.59 5.7
MR 9.0 Gordon Graceffo 61 1.99 22.7
SU 10.0 George Soriano 58 3.50 18.0
SU 8.7 Justin Bruihl 58 5.40 18.3
MR 10.0 Jared Shuster 57 2.35 7.7
MR 4.0 Matt Svanson 43 8.72 21.7
AZ
at
COL
Merrill Kelly vs Kyle Freeland · Coors Field · 8:40 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: COL
AZ
6.6
41%
ML +143
TOTAL
14.1
7–21
COL
7.5
59%
ML -143
FANDUEL
ML AZ -120 / COL +102
RL -1.5 (+126) / +1.5 (-152)
Total 11.5 (O -115 / U -105)
AZ 41%
59% COL
Park1.29 Weather1.04 RL Home −1.547% RL Away +1.553% F5 Total8.4
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.594%O790%O7.590%O886%O8.586%O980%O9.580%O1073%O10.573%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 8.39
O3.5: 89%O4: 82%O4.5: 82%O5: 73%
Starters
AZ Starter
Merrill Kelly
ERA7.83
IP25.3
K20
WHIP1.98
COL Starter
Kyle Freeland
ERA6.14
IP29.3
K28
WHIP1.50
Bullpens
AZ Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Juan Morillo 83 1.93 18.7
MR 9.0 Kevin Ginkel 82 3.71 17.0
SU 10.0 Taylor Clarke 75 2.33 19.3
SU 10.0 Jonathan Loáisiga 73 3.31 16.3
CL 6.8 Paul Sewald 61 4.70 15.3
LR 10.0 Brandon Pfaadt 59 5.29 32.3
SU 10.0 Ryan Thompson 55 3.07 14.7
MR 10.0 Taylor Rashi 50 9.82 3.7
MR 10.0 ID:805299 50 0.00 5.7
MR 10.0 Andrew Hoffmann 42 7.71 11.7
COL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
LR 8.6 Antonio Senzatela 91 1.32 27.3
MR 9.0 Juan Mejia 77 4.43 20.3
MR 5.0 Brennan Bernardino 74 4.15 17.3
LR 7.2 Chase Dollander 70 3.89 44.0
MR 10.0 Jimmy Herget 69 5.06 16.0
SU 8.7 Jaden Hill 65 3.60 15.0
MR 10.0 Zach Agnos 64 5.84 24.7
LR 4.4 Tanner Gordon 60 5.57 21.0
CL 6.8 Victor Vodnik 55 6.88 17.0
MR 10.0 Seth Halvorsen 54 2.25 4.0
LAD
at
LAA
Blake Snell vs Jack Kochanowicz · Angel Stadium · 9:38 PM ET
TOSS-UP: LAD
LAD
5.1
57%
ML -134
TOTAL
9.2
4–15
LAA
4.1
43%
ML +134
FANDUEL
ML LAD -230 / LAA +190
RL -1.5 (-140) / +1.5 (+116)
Total 9.0 (O -110 / U -110)
LAD 57%
43% LAA
Park1.04 Weather1.02 RL Home −1.528% RL Away +1.572% F5 Total4.9
⚠ LAD Tanner Scott (CL:2.0) · LAD Alex Vesia (SE:4.8)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.571%O760%O7.560%O852%O8.552%O942%O9.542%O1035%O10.535%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.91
O3.5: 61%O4: 49%O4.5: 49%O5: 37%
Starters
LAD Starter
Blake Snell
ERA12.00
IP3.0
K5
WHIP2.67
LAA Starter
Jack Kochanowicz
ERA4.12
IP43.7
K30
WHIP1.40
Bullpens
LAD Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Jack Dreyer 87 2.18 20.7
SU 10.0 Will Klein 82 2.76 16.3
CL 2.0 Tanner Scott 77 1.47 18.3
SU 4.8 Alex Vesia 76 3.14 14.3
MR 9.0 Kyle Hurt 72 0.82 11.0
MR 8.0 Edgardo Henriquez 68 3.94 16.0
SU 10.0 Blake Treinen 59 4.26 12.7
MR 10.0 Jake Eder 55 2.25 4.0
MR 10.0 ID:592779 54 0.00 2.0
MR 10.0 Edwin Díaz 53 10.50 6.0
LAA Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 9.0 Ryan Zeferjahn 93 4.15 21.7
SU 7.4 Sam Bachman 70 3.10 20.3
MR 10.0 Brent Suter 67 4.50 24.0
MR 10.0 ID:820862 57 4.70 7.7
MR 10.0 Chase Silseth 57 2.51 14.3
CL 10.0 Jordan Romano 56 10.13 8.0
MR 10.0 ID:489446 53 10.80 1.7
LR 10.0 Mitch Farris 53 3.60 15.0
LR 10.0 Alek Manoah 53 0.00 6.0
MR 10.0 ID:642048 50 13.50 0.7
SD
at
SEA
Randy Vásquez vs Emerson Hancock · T-Mobile Park · 9:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: SEA
SD
3.3
45%
ML +121
TOTAL
6.8
3–12
SEA
3.5
55%
ML -121
FANDUEL
ML SD +114 / SEA -134
RL +1.5 (-196) / -1.5 (+162)
Total 7.0 (O -120 / U -102)
SD 45%
55% SEA
Park0.90 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.536% RL Away +1.564% F5 Total3.6
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.549%O737%O7.537%O829%O8.529%O921%O9.521%O1016%O10.516%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 3.61
O3.5: 45%O4: 31%O4.5: 31%O5: 21%
Starters
SD Starter
Randy Vásquez
ERA3.11
IP43.4
K42
WHIP1.20
SEA Starter
Emerson Hancock
ERA3.24
IP47.2
K50
WHIP1.02
Bullpens
SD Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 6.8 Mason Miller 89 0.92 19.7
MR 10.0 Bradgley Rodriguez 87 1.74 20.7
SU 10.0 Adrian Morejon 85 5.57 21.0
MR 2.0 Ron Marinaccio 79 4.32 25.0
SU 10.0 Kyle Hart 74 5.40 16.7
SU 8.7 Jeremiah Estrada 68 3.55 12.7
LR 7.2 ID:673513 63 0.00 6.7
SU 8.7 Jason Adam 60 1.38 13.0
MR 10.0 Wandy Peralta 59 2.66 20.3
MR 10.0 David Morgan 50 6.08 13.3
SEA Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Jose A. Ferrer 90 1.80 20.0
MR 10.0 Casey Legumina 78 4.63 11.7
MR 10.0 José Suarez 78 4.50 2.0
SU 8.7 Eduard Bazardo 77 2.21 20.3
CL 8.4 Andrés Muñoz 72 5.29 17.0
SU 10.0 Matt Brash 71 0.00 11.3
SU 10.0 Gabe Speier 64 2.92 12.3
MR 10.0 Alex Hoppe 63 6.75 6.7
MR 9.0 Cooper Criswell 63 2.00 18.0
MR 10.0 Cole Wilcox 56 5.40 13.3
SF
at
ATH
Tyler Mahle vs Aaron Civale · Sutter Health Park · 9:40 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: ATH
SF
4.2
36%
ML +180
TOTAL
9.6
4–16
ATH
5.5
64%
ML -180
FANDUEL
ML SF +116 / ATH -136
RL +1.5 (-166) / -1.5 (+138)
Total 10.0 (O -106 / U -114)
SF 36%
64% ATH
Park1.10 Weather0.91 RL Home −1.549% RL Away +1.551% F5 Total5.4
⚠ SF Matt Gage (SE:0.0) · ATH Justin Sterner (SE:2.2)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.575%O765%O7.565%O857%O8.557%O946%O9.546%O1039%O10.539%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 5.41
O3.5: 68%O4: 56%O4.5: 56%O5: 44%
Starters
SF Starter
Tyler Mahle
ERA5.33
IP40.5
K42
WHIP1.53
ATH Starter
Aaron Civale
ERA2.67
IP40.5
K33
WHIP1.43
Bullpens
SF Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Keaton Winn 82 2.45 18.3
SU 10.0 Erik Miller 73 3.18 11.3
MR 7.0 Tristan Beck 68 0.00 2.0
MR 8.0 JT Brubaker 66 3.66 19.7
MR 10.0 Blade Tidwell 65 3.00 12.0
SU 0.0 Matt Gage 63 1.47 18.3
MR 10.0 Caleb Kilian 62 1.40 19.3
MR 8.0 Ryan Borucki 56 4.70 15.3
MR 9.0 ID:666711 55 1.69 5.3
CL 10.0 Ryan Walker 54 6.46 15.3
ATH Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 2.0 Jack Perkins 84 4.76 17.0
MR 8.0 Mark Leiter Jr. 71 7.64 17.7
SU 2.2 Justin Sterner 70 4.22 21.3
MR 10.0 Luis Medina 69 1.72 15.7
SU 7.4 Scott Barlow 67 3.10 20.3
CL 8.4 Joel Kuhnel 63 2.87 15.7
SU 10.0 Hogan Harris 60 2.57 21.0
MR 10.0 ID:621139 54 0.00 2.7
MR 10.0 Elvis Alvarado 53 8.38 9.7
MR 10.0 Mason Barnett 50 0.00 2.0
The Editor's Plays

On Today's Slate

Best Bets

NYY @ NYM
Yankees/Mets Under 7 -106
TEX @ HOU
Rangers ML -105

Value Plays

CIN @ CLE
Reds F5 ML +128
SD @ SEA
Mariners/Padres Under 7 +106
PHI @ PIT
Phillies/Pirates Under 8 +102