Vol. 1 · No. 125 Est. 2026

MLBjohannes

A daily register of Monte Carlo model projections and plays for the U.S. Mint.

TUESDAY · MAY 5 · 2026
Games
15
Sims / Game
10000
Model
sim_v2a4_johannes
Picks
0
The Board

Today's Projections

BOS
at
DET
Jovani Morán vs Framber Valdez · Comerica Park · 6:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: DET
BOS
4.2
43%
ML +135
TOTAL
8.8
4–15
DET
4.7
57%
ML -135
FANDUEL
ML BOS +138 / DET -164
RL +1.5 (-152) / -1.5 (+126)
Total 8.5 (O +102 / U -124)
BOS 43%
57% DET
Park1.03 Weather0.99 RL Home −1.541% RL Away +1.559% F5 Total4.8
⚠ BOS Aroldis Chapman (CL:0.0) · BOS Garrett Whitlock (SE:0.0)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.569%O758%O7.558%O850%O8.550%O939%O9.539%O1032%O10.532%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.81
O3.5: 61%O4: 48%O4.5: 48%O5: 36%
Starters
BOS Starter
Jovani Morán
ERA2.54
IP17.7
K17
WHIP1.19
DET Starter
Framber Valdez
ERA3.37
IP40.1
K32
WHIP1.27
Bullpens
BOS Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 0.0 Aroldis Chapman 67 1.04 8.7
MR 9.0 Tyler Samaniego 64 0.00 8.3
SU 0.0 Garrett Whitlock 62 2.70 10.0
MR 9.0 Zack Kelly 62 3.48 10.3
MR 9.0 Jovani Morán 59 2.25 16.0
MR 10.0 Justin Slaten 57 0.00 3.3
MR 8.0 Greg Weissert 54 3.86 11.7
MR 10.0 Danny Coulombe 53 6.14 7.3
MR 10.0 Ryan Watson 51 6.62 17.7
DET Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 7.0 Brant Hurter 65 1.98 13.7
SU 10.0 Will Vest 63 6.17 11.7
MR 4.0 Enmanuel De Jesus 61 10.13 8.0
MR 9.0 Burch Smith 61 1.69 5.3
MR 9.0 Kyle Finnegan 58 0.66 13.7
MR 10.0 Connor Seabold 53 4.09 11.0
MR 10.0 Drew Anderson 53 6.60 15.0
MR 8.0 Brenan Hanifee 50 0.00 1.0
CL 6.8 Kenley Jansen 50 3.68 7.3
MR 2.0 Tyler Holton 48 5.54 13.0
TOR
at
TB
Kevin Gausman vs Drew Rasmussen · Tropicana Field · 6:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: TB
TOR
3.4
49%
ML +102
TOTAL
6.7
3–11
TB
3.3
51%
ML -102
FANDUEL
ML TOR +110 / TB -130
RL +1.5 (-205) / -1.5 (+168)
Total 7.0 (O -108 / U -112)
TOR 49%
51% TB
Park0.87 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.533% RL Away +1.567% F5 Total3.4
⚠ TB Ian Seymour (SE:0.0) · TB Bryan Baker (CL:0.0)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.548%O735%O7.535%O827%O8.527%O919%O9.519%O1014%O10.514%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 3.38
O3.5: 41%O4: 28%O4.5: 28%O5: 18%
Starters
TOR Starter
Kevin Gausman
ERA3.19
IP39.5
K40
WHIP0.99
TB Starter
Drew Rasmussen
ERA2.68
IP30.2
K32
WHIP0.86
Bullpens
TOR Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 10.0 Louis Varland 82 0.56 16.0
SU 10.0 Tyler Rogers 73 0.59 15.3
MR 9.0 Jeff Hoffman 71 6.39 12.7
SU 8.7 Braydon Fisher 70 1.76 15.3
MR 4.0 Joe Mantiply 69 3.38 10.7
SU 8.7 Mason Fluharty 66 5.06 10.7
MR 4.0 Tommy Nance 64 6.00 12.0
MR 6.0 Spencer Miles 60 3.29 13.7
MR 10.0 ID:695445 50 6.75 1.3
LR 10.0 Josh Fleming 44 12.00 3.0
TB Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 0.0 Ian Seymour 70 6.75 13.3
CL 0.0 Bryan Baker 68 3.18 11.3
LR 10.0 Jesse Scholtens 67 3.20 19.7
MR 8.0 Cole Sulser 66 3.24 16.7
SU 8.7 Kevin Kelly 65 4.26 12.7
MR 10.0 Trevor Martin 51 6.23 4.3
SU 7.4 Hunter Bigge 46 4.50 8.0
MR 10.0 Griffin Jax 42 6.35 11.3
MR 10.0 Mason Englert 41 7.11 12.7
MR 10.0 Yoendrys Gómez 28 7.04 15.3
ATH
at
PHI
Luis Severino vs Cristopher Sánchez · Citizens Bank Park · 6:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: PHI
ATH
5.0
43%
ML +135
TOTAL
10.6
5–17
PHI
5.6
57%
ML -135
FANDUEL
ML ATH +158 / PHI -188
RL +1.5 (-128) / -1.5 (+106)
Total 9.0 (O -105 / U -115)
ATH 43%
57% PHI
Park1.04 Weather1.11 RL Home −1.543% RL Away +1.557% F5 Total5.7
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.580%O771%O7.571%O864%O8.564%O955%O9.555%O1047%O10.547%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 5.74
O3.5: 71%O4: 60%O4.5: 60%O5: 47%
Starters
ATH Starter
Luis Severino
ERA4.57
IP37.4
K40
WHIP1.47
PHI Starter
Cristopher Sánchez
ERA2.97
IP39.4
K50
WHIP1.55
Bullpens
ATH Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Jack Perkins 75 2.92 12.3
SU 8.7 Justin Sterner 68 4.02 15.7
CL 8.4 Joel Kuhnel 64 2.16 8.3
MR 9.0 Mark Leiter Jr. 60 6.39 12.7
MR 10.0 Brady Basso 59 0.00 0.7
MR 10.0 Luis Medina 59 2.70 10.0
SU 10.0 Scott Barlow 54 3.38 13.3
MR 10.0 Elvis Alvarado 53 8.38 9.7
SU 10.0 Hogan Harris 51 2.65 17.0
MR 10.0 Michael Kelly 46 6.23 4.3
PHI Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 9.0 José Alvarado 67 7.45 9.7
MR 10.0 Tim Mayza 64 3.94 16.0
MR 10.0 Jonathan Bowlan 64 3.86 7.0
MR 10.0 Zach Pop 62 3.68 7.3
MR 10.0 Kyle Backhus 58 4.66 9.7
MR 8.0 Tanner Banks 57 7.20 10.0
MR 9.0 Chase Shugart 57 1.17 7.7
SU 7.4 Brad Keller 57 3.86 11.7
MR 10.0 Orion Kerkering 54 2.70 10.0
CL 10.0 Jhoan Duran 50 1.35 6.7
BAL
at
MIA
Chris Bassitt vs Sandy Alcantara · loanDepot park · 6:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: MIA
BAL
4.2
42%
ML +137
TOTAL
8.9
4–15
MIA
4.8
58%
ML -137
FANDUEL
ML BAL +118 / MIA -138
RL +1.5 (-176) / -1.5 (+146)
Total 8.5 (O -110 / U -110)
BAL 42%
58% MIA
Park0.94 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.542% RL Away +1.558% F5 Total5.2
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.571%O759%O7.559%O850%O8.550%O940%O9.540%O1032%O10.532%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 5.17
O3.5: 65%O4: 53%O4.5: 53%O5: 40%
Starters
BAL Starter
Chris Bassitt
ERA5.75
IP26.6
K17
WHIP1.95
MIA Starter
Sandy Alcantara
ERA3.06
IP47.1
K31
WHIP1.17
Bullpens
BAL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 8.7 Rico Garcia 71 0.68 13.3
MR 9.0 Grant Wolfram 70 4.50 10.0
MR 10.0 Anthony Nunez 70 2.51 14.3
CL 10.0 Ryan Helsley 70 2.53 10.7
SU 10.0 Tyler Wells 69 3.38 16.0
MR 6.0 Yennier Cano 64 1.86 9.7
MR 9.0 Keegan Akin 57 54.00 1.0
MR 10.0 Cameron Foster 57 6.35 5.7
MR 8.0 Andrew Kittredge 56 0.00 3.0
LR 10.0 Albert Suárez 42 3.46 13.0
MIA Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Anthony Bender 68 5.25 12.0
MR 7.0 Tyler Phillips 68 1.47 18.3
MR 10.0 Michael Petersen 65 3.65 12.3
MR 4.0 John King 65 0.71 12.7
MR 10.0 Ryan Gusto 64 0.00 1.0
MR 4.0 Calvin Faucher 63 5.40 10.0
CL 10.0 Pete Fairbanks 63 10.00 9.0
MR 6.0 Lake Bachar 59 3.29 13.7
SU 10.0 Andrew Nardi 48 7.20 10.0
MIN
at
WSH
Taj Bradley vs Cade Cavalli · Nationals Park · 6:45 PM ET
TOSS-UP: WSH
MIN
5.3
47%
ML +114
TOTAL
10.8
5–17
WSH
5.4
53%
ML -114
FANDUEL
ML MIN -112 / WSH -104
RL -1.5 (+130) / +1.5 (-156)
Total 9.5 (O -104 / U -118)
MIN 47%
53% WSH
Park1.08 Weather1.09 RL Home −1.539% RL Away +1.561% F5 Total5.7
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.581%O772%O7.572%O865%O8.565%O955%O9.555%O1048%O10.548%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 5.71
O3.5: 70%O4: 58%O4.5: 58%O5: 46%
Starters
MIN Starter
Taj Bradley
ERA2.90
IP40.3
K44
WHIP1.24
WSH Starter
Cade Cavalli
ERA3.97
IP29.5
K38
WHIP1.73
Bullpens
MIN Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 8.0 Eric Orze 72 3.09 11.7
MR 10.0 Anthony Banda 65 8.74 11.3
MR 10.0 Garrett Acton 63 2.70 6.7
MR 10.0 Cody Laweryson 63 4.26 6.3
LR 7.9 Andrew Morris 62 7.20 10.0
MR 10.0 Luis García 61 18.00 1.0
MR 7.0 Taylor Rogers 61 6.52 9.7
MR 9.0 Justin Topa 60 3.55 12.7
MR 10.0 Cole Sands 56 4.63 11.7
SU 10.0 Kody Funderburk 51 2.31 11.7
WSH Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 10.0 Gus Varland 68 3.18 11.3
MR 10.0 Brad Lord 65 3.74 21.7
MR 8.0 Mitchell Parker 60 5.40 8.3
MR 9.0 Richard Lovelady 58 1.59 5.7
MR 10.0 Paxton Schultz 56 4.00 9.0
MR 10.0 Cole Henry 54 6.43 7.0
MR 10.0 Julian Fernández 48 2.25 4.0
MR 10.0 ID:683000 47 9.00 2.0
MR 10.0 Clayton Beeter 45 3.48 10.3
SU 10.0 Cionel Pérez 43 7.62 13.0
TEX
at
NYY
Jacob deGrom vs Elmer Rodríguez · Yankee Stadium · 7:05 PM ET
TOSS-UP: NYY
TEX
4.8
47%
ML +112
TOTAL
9.8
5–16
NYY
4.9
53%
ML -112
FANDUEL
ML TEX +108 / NYY -126
RL +1.5 (-200) / -1.5 (+164)
Total 8.5 (O -124 / U +102)
TEX 47%
53% NYY
Park0.99 Weather1.09 RL Home −1.538% RL Away +1.562% F5 Total5.2
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.576%O766%O7.566%O858%O8.558%O947%O9.547%O1040%O10.540%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 5.16
O3.5: 65%O4: 52%O4.5: 52%O5: 40%
Starters
TEX Starter
Jacob deGrom
ERA2.07
IP30.4
K40
WHIP0.99
NYY Starter
Elmer Rodríguez
ERA4.50
IP4.0
K3
WHIP2.00
Bullpens
TEX Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Tyler Alexander 78 0.63 14.3
MR 10.0 Jacob Latz 72 1.23 14.7
CL 10.0 Jakob Junis 69 1.88 14.3
SU 10.0 Jalen Beeks 62 2.08 13.0
MR 8.0 Gavin Collyer 56 0.00 5.3
LR 10.0 Cal Quantrill 56 6.43 7.0
MR 10.0 Robert Garcia 55 3.38 8.0
SU 10.0 Cole Winn 53 4.85 13.0
MR 10.0 ID:682608 52 0.00 4.0
MR 10.0 Chris Martin 50 7.11 6.3
NYY Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 9.0 Brent Headrick 76 1.93 14.0
CL 8.4 David Bednar 75 3.55 12.7
MR 8.0 Paul Blackburn 68 4.09 11.0
MR 5.0 Jake Bird 63 6.75 8.0
SU 7.4 Tim Hill 60 1.50 12.0
MR 10.0 Ryan Yarbrough 59 4.09 11.0
SU 8.7 Fernando Cruz 52 3.60 10.0
MR 5.0 Camilo Doval 50 6.97 10.3
MR 10.0 Angel Chivilli 45 3.86 2.3
CIN
at
CHC
Andrew Abbott vs Jameson Taillon · Wrigley Field · 7:40 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: CHC
CIN
4.0
41%
ML +144
TOTAL
8.8
4–14
CHC
4.8
59%
ML -144
FANDUEL
ML CIN +134 / CHC -158
RL +1.5 (-156) / -1.5 (+130)
Total 8.0 (O -115 / U -105)
CIN 41%
59% CHC
Park0.95 Weather0.92 RL Home −1.544% RL Away +1.556% F5 Total5.0
⚠ CIN Graham Ashcraft (SE:4.8)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.569%O758%O7.558%O849%O8.549%O939%O9.539%O1032%O10.532%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 5.02
O3.5: 63%O4: 51%O4.5: 51%O5: 39%
Starters
CIN Starter
Andrew Abbott
ERA6.18
IP33.5
K24
WHIP1.73
CHC Starter
Jameson Taillon
ERA4.47
IP34.2
K31
WHIP1.17
Bullpens
CIN Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 9.0 Brock Burke 79 0.63 14.3
SU 4.8 Graham Ashcraft 74 1.20 15.0
MR 10.0 Pierce Johnson 62 3.75 12.0
MR 10.0 Connor Phillips 58 2.16 16.7
MR 10.0 Sam Moll 58 2.19 12.3
SU 7.4 Tony Santillan 56 2.13 12.7
CL 6.8 Emilio Pagán 52 4.38 12.3
MR 10.0 Jose Franco 47 4.70 7.7
MR 10.0 Kyle Nicolas 37 8.59 7.3
CHC Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
LR 7.2 Ben Brown 83 2.14 21.0
MR 10.0 Riley Martin 62 2.16 8.3
MR 10.0 Daniel Palencia 59 0.00 5.0
MR 8.0 Corbin Martin 56 0.00 4.0
MR 4.0 Hoby Milner 52 2.45 14.7
CL 10.0 Caleb Thielbar 50 3.12 8.7
MR 0.0 Phil Maton 50 14.40 5.0
MR 10.0 ID:605441 50 0.00 1.7
LR 10.0 ID:656212 50 9.00 3.0
MR 10.0 Jacob Webb 44 5.06 10.7
CLE
at
KC
Gavin Williams vs Stephen Kolek · Kauffman Stadium · 7:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: KC
CLE
3.3
50%
ML +101
TOTAL
6.4
2–11
KC
3.1
50%
ML -101
FANDUEL
ML CLE -120 / KC +102
RL -1.5 (+134) / +1.5 (-162)
Total 7.5 (O -112 / U -108)
CLE 50%
50% KC
Park0.83 Weather0.98 RL Home −1.532% RL Away +1.568% F5 Total3.3
⚠ KC Matt Strahm (SE:3.5)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.545%O733%O7.533%O826%O8.526%O918%O9.518%O1013%O10.513%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 3.30
O3.5: 40%O4: 27%O4.5: 27%O5: 18%
Starters
CLE Starter
Gavin Williams
ERA2.76
IP42.4
K53
WHIP1.04
KC Starter
Stephen Kolek
AAA 2026
IP16.3
K14
WHIP1.41
Bullpens
CLE Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Erik Sabrowski 74 2.70 13.3
CL 10.0 Cade Smith 70 4.15 13.0
MR 2.0 Matt Festa 66 5.27 13.7
MR 0.0 Peyton Pallette 62 3.55 12.7
MR 10.0 Tim Herrin 57 0.00 8.3
MR 8.0 ID:670059 54 2.84 6.3
MR 6.0 Connor Brogdon 52 5.25 12.0
MR 10.0 Shawn Armstrong 52 4.22 10.7
MR 10.0 Kolby Allard 51 10.38 8.7
MR 10.0 Hunter Gaddis 47 6.75 5.3
KC Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 9.0 Daniel Lynch IV 73 0.79 11.3
MR 10.0 Nick Mears 65 2.45 11.0
CL 10.0 Lucas Erceg 60 4.38 12.3
MR 10.0 Mason Black 57 0.00 3.7
MR 9.0 Alex Lange 57 7.71 11.7
SU 3.5 Matt Strahm 54 4.22 10.7
MR 10.0 Eli Morgan 48 2.61 10.3
MR 9.0 John Schreiber 43 4.50 10.0
MR 10.0 Steven Cruz 40 14.40 5.0
MIL
at
STL
Brandon Sproat vs Andre Pallante · Busch Stadium · 7:45 PM ET
TOSS-UP: STL
MIL
4.2
46%
ML +115
TOTAL
8.6
4–14
STL
4.4
54%
ML -115
FANDUEL
ML MIL -106 / STL -110
RL -1.5 (+164) / +1.5 (-200)
Total 7.5 (O -118 / U -104)
MIL 46%
54% STL
Park0.94 Weather0.94 RL Home −1.538% RL Away +1.562% F5 Total4.8
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.567%O756%O7.556%O847%O8.547%O937%O9.537%O1029%O10.529%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.84
O3.5: 62%O4: 48%O4.5: 48%O5: 36%
Starters
MIL Starter
Brandon Sproat
ERA7.26
IP24.8
K25
WHIP1.73
STL Starter
Andre Pallante
ERA3.76
IP31.1
K26
WHIP1.32
Bullpens
MIL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Aaron Ashby 83 2.45 18.3
SU 8.7 Grant Anderson 71 2.57 14.0
CL 10.0 Trevor Megill 69 7.20 10.0
MR 2.0 Jake Woodford 68 4.61 13.7
SU 10.0 Abner Uribe 68 3.97 11.3
LR 7.2 Shane Drohan 57 4.70 7.7
MR 6.0 DL Hall 57 2.31 11.7
MR 10.0 Angel Zerpa 50 6.39 12.7
MR 10.0 Carlos Rodriguez 50 2.25 4.0
STL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 8.4 Riley O'Brien 79 1.26 14.3
MR 8.0 Gordon Graceffo 70 1.13 16.0
MR 10.0 Ryan Fernandez 61 1.59 5.7
SU 8.7 Ryne Stanek 60 7.71 11.7
MR 8.0 George Soriano 60 4.38 12.3
SU 7.4 JoJo Romero 55 3.95 13.7
MR 8.0 Jared Shuster 52 4.91 3.7
SU 8.7 Justin Bruihl 51 5.87 15.3
MR 10.0 Matt Svanson 37 10.34 15.7
LAD
at
HOU
Shohei Ohtani vs Peter Lambert · Daikin Park · 8:10 PM ET
TOSS-UP: HOU
LAD
3.8
50%
ML +102
TOTAL
7.3
3–13
HOU
3.6
50%
ML -102
FANDUEL
ML LAD -225 / HOU +188
RL -1.5 (-128) / +1.5 (+106)
Total 8.5 (O -108 / U -112)
LAD 50%
50% HOU
Park0.92 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.533% RL Away +1.567% F5 Total3.6
⚠ LAD Blake Treinen (SE:3.5)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.554%O742%O7.542%O834%O8.534%O925%O9.525%O1019%O10.519%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 3.64
O3.5: 45%O4: 32%O4.5: 32%O5: 22%
Starters
LAD Starter
Shohei Ohtani
ERA0.00
IP6.0
K6
WHIP0.67
HOU Starter
Peter Lambert
ERA3.58
IP15.1
K19
WHIP1.26
Bullpens
LAD Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 8.0 Will Klein 72 2.45 11.0
MR 10.0 Alex Vesia 71 1.74 10.3
MR 8.0 Jack Dreyer 70 3.46 13.0
SU 8.7 Tanner Scott 64 2.03 13.3
MR 10.0 Edgardo Henriquez 58 3.86 9.3
MR 10.0 Jake Eder 53 3.00 3.0
CL 10.0 Edwin Díaz 53 10.50 6.0
SU 3.5 Blake Treinen 51 4.15 8.7
MR 8.0 Kyle Hurt 50 1.80 5.0
MR 10.0 Ben Casparius 46 9.64 4.7
HOU Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Bryan King 72 3.86 11.7
MR 4.0 Kai-Wei Teng 64 2.75 19.7
MR 2.0 Steven Okert 62 2.70 13.3
CL 6.8 Enyel De Los Santos 60 6.10 10.3
MR 10.0 Jayden Murray 55 6.00 6.0
MR 10.0 Christian Roa 48 5.19 8.7
MR 5.0 ID:656986 48 13.50 1.3
MR 7.0 AJ Blubaugh 47 6.23 17.3
LR 4.4 Ryan Weiss 33 6.65 21.7
MR 3.0 Bryan Abreu 33 12.96 8.3
NYM
at
COL
Freddy Peralta vs Michael Lorenzen · Coors Field · 8:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: NYM
NYM
5.6
53%
ML -115
TOTAL
10.6
5–17
COL
5.0
47%
ML +115
FANDUEL
ML NYM -166 / COL +140
RL -1.5 (-102) / +1.5 (-118)
Total 9.5 (O -110 / U -110)
NYM 53%
47% COL
Park1.29 Weather0.90 RL Home −1.533% RL Away +1.567% F5 Total6.0
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.581%O772%O7.572%O865%O8.565%O955%O9.555%O1047%O10.547%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 5.96
O3.5: 73%O4: 62%O4.5: 62%O5: 50%
Starters
NYM Starter
Freddy Peralta
ERA3.68
IP36.7
K42
WHIP1.25
COL Starter
Michael Lorenzen
ERA6.35
IP32.6
K24
WHIP1.84
Bullpens
NYM Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Tobias Myers 74 2.33 19.3
LR 10.0 Sean Manaea 69 4.66 19.3
MR 4.0 Huascar Brazobán 68 1.35 13.3
MR 9.0 Brooks Raley 61 1.86 9.7
MR 10.0 Luis García 61 7.11 6.3
MR 8.0 Craig Kimbrel 61 5.06 5.3
CL 8.4 Devin Williams 60 9.00 8.0
MR 9.0 Luke Weaver 58 4.91 11.0
MR 9.0 Richard Lovelady 58 3.68 7.3
LR 10.0 Carl Edwards Jr. 55 0.00 3.3
COL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
LR 10.0 Chase Dollander 89 2.25 32.0
LR 7.9 Antonio Senzatela 86 0.50 18.0
MR 8.0 Jimmy Herget 74 1.50 12.0
MR 8.0 Brennan Bernardino 71 0.82 11.0
MR 6.0 Juan Mejia 67 5.40 13.3
MR 10.0 Zach Agnos 64 5.71 17.3
SU 7.4 Jaden Hill 57 3.18 11.3
MR 10.0 Seth Halvorsen 52 0.00 2.0
CL 8.4 Victor Vodnik 51 6.94 11.7
LR 10.0 Tanner Gordon 42 7.36 11.0
CWS
at
LAA
Erick Fedde vs Sam Aldegheri · Angel Stadium · 9:38 PM ET
TOSS-UP: CWS
CWS
5.1
51%
ML -103
TOTAL
9.9
5–16
LAA
4.8
49%
ML +103
FANDUEL
ML CWS -104 / LAA -112
RL -1.5 (+168) / +1.5 (-205)
Total 9.0 (O -110 / U -110)
CWS 51%
49% LAA
Park1.04 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.535% RL Away +1.565% F5 Total5.6
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.577%O767%O7.567%O860%O8.560%O949%O9.549%O1042%O10.542%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 5.63
O3.5: 71%O4: 58%O4.5: 58%O5: 46%
Starters
CWS Starter
Erick Fedde
ERA3.33
IP32.4
K22
WHIP1.08
LAA Starter
Sam Aldegheri
ERA7.50
IP1.2
K2
WHIP2.50
Bullpens
CWS Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Grant Taylor 81 2.93 15.3
MR 6.0 Sean Newcomb 80 4.00 18.0
MR 8.0 Bryan Hudson 76 1.29 14.0
MR 10.0 Lucas Sims 55 4.50 10.0
MR 10.0 Jordan Hicks 54 4.26 12.7
MR 9.0 Tyler Davis 52 0.00 2.0
MR 10.0 Chris Murphy 48 10.50 6.0
CL 10.0 Seranthony Domínguez 44 4.50 12.0
MR 10.0 Osvaldo Bido 43 6.75 5.3
MR 9.0 Jordan Leasure 33 6.91 14.3
LAA Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Ryan Zeferjahn 78 5.28 15.3
SU 10.0 Sam Bachman 63 3.52 15.3
MR 8.0 Brent Suter 59 3.32 19.0
CL 10.0 Jordan Romano 56 10.13 8.0
MR 2.0 Mitch Farris 53 2.25 8.0
MR 8.0 Nick Sandlin 52 14.29 5.7
MR 10.0 Chase Silseth 51 3.27 11.0
MR 10.0 ID:820862 50 0.00 2.7
MR 10.0 Shaun Anderson 49 5.94 16.7
MR 10.0 Joey Lucchesi 43 13.50 3.3
PIT
at
AZ
Bubba Chandler vs Eduardo Rodriguez · Chase Field · 9:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: AZ
PIT
4.9
45%
ML +123
TOTAL
10.1
5–16
AZ
5.2
55%
ML -123
FANDUEL
ML PIT +116 / AZ -136
RL +1.5 (-182) / -1.5 (+150)
Total 9.0 (O -110 / U -110)
PIT 45%
55% AZ
Park1.07 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.540% RL Away +1.560% F5 Total5.7
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.578%O768%O7.568%O860%O8.560%O950%O9.550%O1043%O10.543%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 5.72
O3.5: 71%O4: 59%O4.5: 59%O5: 47%
Starters
PIT Starter
Bubba Chandler
ERA5.09
IP28.3
K27
WHIP1.52
AZ Starter
Eduardo Rodriguez
ERA3.07
IP32.2
K22
WHIP1.43
Bullpens
PIT Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 8.7 Gregory Soto 75 1.84 14.7
SU 10.0 Mason Montgomery 74 3.65 12.3
SU 10.0 Isaac Mattson 73 1.13 16.0
MR 10.0 Yohan Ramírez 72 2.04 17.7
MR 10.0 Evan Sisk 68 2.00 9.0
MR 10.0 Justin Lawrence 56 5.14 14.0
MR 10.0 Cam Sanders 55 12.00 3.0
MR 10.0 José Urquidy 54 8.53 6.3
LR 10.0 Wilber Dotel 50 1.35 6.7
CL 10.0 Dennis Santana 50 3.29 13.7
AZ Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Juan Morillo 72 1.98 13.7
MR 10.0 Kevin Ginkel 71 4.38 12.3
SU 10.0 Jonathan Loáisiga 70 3.29 13.7
SU 10.0 Taylor Clarke 67 3.07 14.7
MR 10.0 Taylor Rashi 50 9.82 3.7
SU 10.0 Ryan Thompson 49 3.97 11.3
CL 10.0 Paul Sewald 49 4.50 10.0
MR 10.0 Andrew Hoffmann 42 7.71 11.7
ATL
at
SEA
Bryce Elder vs George Kirby · T-Mobile Park · 9:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: ATL
ATL
3.8
52%
ML -111
TOTAL
7.2
3–12
SEA
3.4
48%
ML +111
FANDUEL
ML ATL +116 / SEA -134
RL +1.5 (-184) / -1.5 (+152)
Total 7.5 (O -110 / U -110)
ATL 52%
48% SEA
Park0.90 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.530% RL Away +1.570% F5 Total3.7
⚠ ATL Tyler Kinley (SE:0.0) · ATL Aaron Bummer (SE:2.2)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.554%O741%O7.541%O833%O8.533%O923%O9.523%O1018%O10.518%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 3.72
O3.5: 47%O4: 33%O4.5: 33%O5: 22%
Starters
ATL Starter
Bryce Elder
ERA1.95
IP41.6
K36
WHIP1.08
SEA Starter
George Kirby
ERA3.10
IP43.6
K34
WHIP1.17
Bullpens
ATL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Dylan Lee 76 1.38 13.0
MR 10.0 José Suarez 75 5.87 15.3
MR 9.0 Robert Suarez 75 0.71 12.7
SU 0.0 Tyler Kinley 72 1.38 13.0
CL 10.0 Raisel Iglesias 67 0.00 8.7
LR 10.0 Didier Fuentes 63 5.00 9.0
MR 10.0 Joel Payamps 48 6.14 7.3
MR 8.0 Carlos Carrasco 46 0.00 1.0
MR 10.0 Osvaldo Bido 43 6.30 10.0
SU 2.2 Aaron Bummer 43 4.66 9.7
SEA Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 8.0 Jose A. Ferrer 75 1.93 14.0
MR 8.0 Eduard Bazardo 71 1.29 14.0
SU 10.0 Matt Brash 71 0.00 11.3
MR 8.0 Casey Legumina 71 4.63 11.7
SU 10.0 Gabe Speier 63 2.31 11.7
CL 6.8 Andrés Muñoz 60 6.55 11.0
MR 8.0 Cole Wilcox 60 6.35 11.3
MR 10.0 Cooper Criswell 56 2.57 14.0
MR 9.0 Alex Hoppe 50 16.20 1.7
SD
at
SF
Walker Buehler vs Logan Webb · Oracle Park · 9:45 PM ET
TOSS-UP: SF
SD
4.1
50%
ML +102
TOTAL
8.1
3–13
SF
4.0
50%
ML -102
FANDUEL
ML SD +112 / SF -132
RL +1.5 (-184) / -1.5 (+152)
Total 7.5 (O -104 / U -118)
SD 50%
50% SF
Park0.93 Weather1.04 RL Home −1.534% RL Away +1.566% F5 Total4.4
⚠ SF Keaton Winn (SE:4.8)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.562%O750%O7.550%O841%O8.541%O932%O9.532%O1026%O10.526%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.40
O3.5: 56%O4: 43%O4.5: 43%O5: 31%
Starters
SD Starter
Walker Buehler
ERA5.72
IP23.6
K24
WHIP1.65
SF Starter
Logan Webb
ERA4.30
IP44.0
K38
WHIP1.36
Bullpens
SD Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 8.4 Mason Miller 79 1.26 14.3
SU 6.1 Adrian Morejon 76 5.28 15.3
MR 8.0 Bradgley Rodriguez 75 2.08 13.0
SU 8.7 Kyle Hart 69 5.87 15.3
MR 10.0 Ron Marinaccio 62 5.40 16.7
SU 8.7 Jason Adam 61 1.29 7.0
MR 10.0 Jeremiah Estrada 60 5.14 7.0
MR 8.0 Wandy Peralta 50 4.05 13.3
MR 10.0 David Morgan 50 6.08 13.3
SF Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 4.8 Keaton Winn 71 2.53 10.7
MR 10.0 Erik Miller 71 3.48 10.3
MR 10.0 Blade Tidwell 65 3.00 12.0
MR 4.0 Caleb Kilian 62 0.75 12.0
CL 8.4 Ryan Walker 62 3.00 12.0
MR 10.0 JT Brubaker 58 2.51 14.3
MR 9.0 Matt Gage 55 1.50 12.0
MR 10.0 Ryan Borucki 50 5.19 8.7