Vol. 1 · No. 136 Est. 2026

MLBjohannes

A daily register of Monte Carlo model projections and plays for the U.S. Mint.

SATURDAY · MAY 16 · 2026
Games
15
Sims / Game
10000
Model
sim_v2a4_johannes
Picks
6
The Board

Today's Projections

TOR
at
DET
Mason Fluharty vs Casey Mize · Comerica Park · 1:10 PM ET
TOSS-UP: DET
TOR
4.7
47%
ML +115
TOTAL
9.6
4–16
DET
4.9
53%
ML -115
FANDUEL
ML TOR -104 / DET -112
RL -1.5 (+168) / +1.5 (-205)
Total 8.5 (O +100 / U -122)
TOR 47%
53% DET
Park1.03 Weather1.11 RL Home −1.539% RL Away +1.561% F5 Total5.1
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.574%O764%O7.564%O856%O8.556%O946%O9.546%O1039%O10.539%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 5.14
O3.5: 64%O4: 52%O4.5: 52%O5: 40%
Starters
TOR Starter
Mason Fluharty
ERA7.50
IP10.8
K19
WHIP1.94
DET Starter
Casey Mize
ERA3.04
IP29.6
K35
WHIP1.25
Bullpens
TOR Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 10.0 Louis Varland 93 0.42 21.7
MR 10.0 Tommy Nance 83 4.05 20.0
SU 7.4 Braydon Fisher 80 3.18 22.7
SU 10.0 Tyler Rogers 80 1.86 19.3
MR 2.0 Jeff Hoffman 77 5.79 18.7
MR 8.0 Joe Mantiply 77 2.25 16.0
MR 10.0 Spencer Miles 75 3.00 21.0
SU 10.0 Mason Fluharty 72 5.40 15.0
MR 10.0 Yariel Rodríguez 52 0.00 1.0
MR 10.0 ID:695445 50 6.75 1.3
DET Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 6.0 Brant Hurter 78 1.66 21.7
MR 9.0 Enmanuel De Jesus 74 7.31 16.0
MR 2.0 Drew Anderson 72 5.48 23.0
MR 6.0 Burch Smith 68 3.75 12.0
LR 9.3 Ty Madden 68 2.45 11.0
SU 10.0 Will Vest 63 6.17 11.7
SU 10.0 Kyle Finnegan 60 1.31 20.7
MR 4.0 Brenan Hanifee 56 1.08 8.3
MR 10.0 Tyler Holton 56 4.74 19.0
MR 10.0 Connor Seabold 53 4.09 11.0
KC
at
STL
Noah Cameron vs Kyle Leahy · Busch Stadium · 2:15 PM ET
TOSS-UP: STL
KC
4.7
49%
ML +102
TOTAL
9.3
4–15
STL
4.6
51%
ML -102
FANDUEL
ML KC +100 / STL -118
RL -1.5 (+160) / +1.5 (-194)
Total 9.0 (O -110 / U -110)
KC 49%
51% STL
Park0.94 Weather1.01 RL Home −1.536% RL Away +1.564% F5 Total5.2
⚠ KC Daniel Lynch IV (SE:4.8) · KC Lucas Erceg (CL:0.4) · STL Riley O'Brien (CL:0.0) · STL Ryne Stanek (SE:0.0) · STL JoJo Romero (SE:0.0)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.573%O762%O7.562%O853%O8.553%O943%O9.543%O1036%O10.536%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 5.24
O3.5: 66%O4: 54%O4.5: 54%O5: 41%
Starters
KC Starter
Noah Cameron
ERA5.74
IP34.5
K32
WHIP1.68
STL Starter
Kyle Leahy
ERA4.36
IP39.2
K32
WHIP1.61
Bullpens
KC Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 4.8 Daniel Lynch IV 84 2.08 17.3
CL 0.4 Lucas Erceg 70 3.63 17.3
MR 7.0 Luinder Avila 66 5.28 15.3
MR 9.0 Alex Lange 64 5.23 20.7
SU 7.4 Nick Mears 62 3.07 14.7
MR 10.0 Mason Black 59 0.00 4.7
SU 7.4 Matt Strahm 56 4.02 15.7
MR 10.0 Eli Morgan 48 2.61 10.3
MR 10.0 ID:672021 45 9.00 3.0
MR 9.0 John Schreiber 40 3.71 17.0
STL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 0.0 Riley O'Brien 92 2.57 21.0
SU 0.0 Ryne Stanek 62 6.87 18.3
SU 0.0 JoJo Romero 62 3.43 21.0
MR 10.0 Ryan Fernandez 61 1.59 5.7
MR 8.0 Gordon Graceffo 61 1.99 22.7
SU 8.7 George Soriano 58 3.50 18.0
SU 10.0 Justin Bruihl 58 5.40 18.3
MR 10.0 Jared Shuster 57 2.35 7.7
MR 9.0 Matt Svanson 43 8.72 21.7
AZ
at
COL
Eduardo Rodriguez vs Tomoyuki Sugano · Coors Field · 3:10 PM ET
TOSS-UP: AZ
AZ
7.3
54%
ML -118
TOTAL
13.8
7–21
COL
6.5
46%
ML +118
FANDUEL
ML AZ -142 / COL +120
RL -1.5 (+108) / +1.5 (-130)
Total 11.0 (O -120 / U -102)
AZ 54%
46% COL
Park1.29 Weather1.10 RL Home −1.534% RL Away +1.566% F5 Total7.7
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.593%O788%O7.588%O884%O8.584%O977%O9.577%O1071%O10.571%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 7.71
O3.5: 85%O4: 77%O4.5: 77%O5: 67%
Starters
AZ Starter
Eduardo Rodriguez
ERA2.28
IP47.3
K33
WHIP1.23
COL Starter
Tomoyuki Sugano
ERA4.21
IP40.6
K24
WHIP1.23
Bullpens
AZ Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Juan Morillo 83 1.93 18.7
MR 10.0 Kevin Ginkel 82 3.71 17.0
SU 10.0 Taylor Clarke 75 2.33 19.3
SU 10.0 Jonathan Loáisiga 73 3.31 16.3
CL 10.0 Paul Sewald 61 4.70 15.3
LR 10.0 Brandon Pfaadt 59 5.29 32.3
SU 10.0 Ryan Thompson 55 3.07 14.7
MR 10.0 Taylor Rashi 50 9.82 3.7
MR 10.0 ID:805299 50 0.00 5.7
MR 10.0 Andrew Hoffmann 42 7.71 11.7
COL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
LR 10.0 Antonio Senzatela 91 1.32 27.3
MR 10.0 Juan Mejia 77 4.43 20.3
MR 9.0 Brennan Bernardino 74 4.15 17.3
LR 8.6 Chase Dollander 70 3.89 44.0
MR 10.0 Jimmy Herget 69 5.06 16.0
SU 10.0 Jaden Hill 65 3.60 15.0
MR 2.0 Zach Agnos 64 5.84 24.7
LR 7.9 Tanner Gordon 60 5.57 21.0
CL 8.4 Victor Vodnik 55 6.88 17.0
MR 6.0 Seth Halvorsen 54 2.25 4.0
BAL
at
WSH
Chris Bassitt vs Cade Cavalli · Nationals Park · 4:05 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: WSH
BAL
5.2
39%
ML +156
TOTAL
11.4
5–18
WSH
6.2
61%
ML -156
FANDUEL
ML BAL -108 / WSH -108
RL -1.5 (+146) / +1.5 (-176)
Total 10.0 (O -105 / U -115)
BAL 39%
61% WSH
Park1.08 Weather1.08 RL Home −1.547% RL Away +1.553% F5 Total6.4
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.584%O776%O7.576%O870%O8.570%O961%O9.561%O1053%O10.553%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 6.43
O3.5: 77%O4: 66%O4.5: 66%O5: 55%
Starters
BAL Starter
Chris Bassitt
ERA5.41
IP36.6
K26
WHIP1.80
WSH Starter
Cade Cavalli
ERA4.19
IP38.7
K44
WHIP1.65
Bullpens
BAL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Rico Garcia 82 0.47 19.0
SU 10.0 Grant Wolfram 76 4.85 13.0
MR 10.0 Yennier Cano 73 1.13 16.0
SU 10.0 Tyler Wells 72 3.26 19.3
CL 10.0 Ryan Helsley 70 2.53 10.7
MR 10.0 Dietrich Enns 64 1.54 11.7
MR 10.0 Cameron Foster 60 5.87 7.7
SU 10.0 Anthony Nunez 59 4.05 20.0
MR 10.0 Keegan Akin 57 8.22 7.7
MR 10.0 Andrew Kittredge 54 10.80 6.7
WSH Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Brad Lord 76 3.21 28.0
CL 8.4 Gus Varland 75 4.50 16.0
MR 10.0 Paxton Schultz 69 2.30 15.7
MR 8.0 Richard Lovelady 63 0.84 10.7
LR 10.0 Mitchell Parker 63 4.95 20.0
MR 10.0 ID:687377 63 2.57 7.0
MR 10.0 Cole Henry 54 6.43 7.0
MR 10.0 PJ Poulin 50 3.15 20.0
MR 10.0 Julian Fernández 48 2.25 4.0
SU 10.0 Cionel Pérez 47 6.19 16.0
PHI
at
PIT
Cristopher Sánchez vs Bubba Chandler · PNC Park · 4:05 PM ET
TOSS-UP: PHI
PHI
4.0
57%
ML -133
TOTAL
7.3
3–12
PIT
3.3
43%
ML +133
FANDUEL
ML PHI -172 / PIT +144
RL -1.5 (+100) / +1.5 (-120)
Total 8.5 (O -105 / U -115)
PHI 57%
43% PIT
Park0.83 Weather1.03 RL Home −1.527% RL Away +1.573% F5 Total3.9
⚠ PHI José Alvarado (SE:0.0) · PIT Gregory Soto (CL:0.4) · PIT Mason Montgomery (SE:2.2)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.555%O743%O7.543%O835%O8.535%O925%O9.525%O1019%O10.519%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 3.86
O3.5: 49%O4: 36%O4.5: 36%O5: 25%
Starters
PHI Starter
Cristopher Sánchez
ERA2.15
IP54.4
K67
WHIP1.31
PIT Starter
Bubba Chandler
ERA4.70
IP38.3
K34
WHIP1.49
Bullpens
PHI Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 0.0 José Alvarado 80 5.40 15.0
MR 9.0 Brad Keller 76 3.86 18.7
MR 10.0 Tanner Banks 76 6.23 17.3
MR 6.0 Jonathan Bowlan 75 5.68 12.7
CL 8.4 Jhoan Duran 73 1.54 11.7
MR 8.0 Tim Mayza 69 3.27 22.0
MR 4.0 Chase Shugart 64 1.98 13.7
MR 10.0 Zach Pop 62 3.68 7.3
MR 10.0 Kyle Backhus 58 4.66 9.7
MR 8.0 Orion Kerkering 57 2.35 15.3
PIT Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 0.4 Gregory Soto 89 1.69 21.3
MR 9.0 Evan Sisk 85 1.56 17.3
SU 2.2 Mason Montgomery 81 2.70 16.7
MR 9.0 Yohan Ramírez 81 3.96 25.0
SU 10.0 Isaac Mattson 73 4.67 17.3
MR 10.0 Chris Devenski 72 7.71 2.3
MR 10.0 Justin Lawrence 56 6.06 16.3
MR 10.0 Cam Sanders 56 10.80 5.0
MR 4.0 Dennis Santana 55 3.44 18.3
MR 10.0 José Urquidy 54 8.53 6.3
MIA
at
TB
Sandy Alcantara vs Nick Martinez · Tropicana Field · 4:10 PM ET
TOSS-UP: TB
MIA
3.4
45%
ML +123
TOTAL
7.1
3–12
TB
3.7
55%
ML -123
FANDUEL
ML MIA +118 / TB -138
RL +1.5 (-184) / -1.5 (+152)
Total 7.5 (O -120 / U -102)
MIA 45%
55% TB
Park0.87 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.537% RL Away +1.563% F5 Total3.8
⚠ TB Ian Seymour (SE:4.8)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.552%O740%O7.540%O832%O8.532%O923%O9.523%O1017%O10.517%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 3.77
O3.5: 47%O4: 34%O4.5: 34%O5: 23%
Starters
MIA Starter
Sandy Alcantara
ERA3.93
IP57.2
K39
WHIP1.28
TB Starter
Nick Martinez
ERA1.74
IP46.5
K31
WHIP1.08
Bullpens
MIA Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Tyler Phillips 82 1.08 25.0
MR 8.0 Lake Bachar 81 2.05 22.0
SU 8.7 Anthony Bender 80 3.78 16.7
SU 7.4 Michael Petersen 72 4.80 15.0
MR 8.0 Calvin Faucher 71 3.06 17.7
MR 9.0 John King 66 2.41 18.7
MR 10.0 Ryan Gusto 64 0.00 1.0
CL 10.0 Pete Fairbanks 63 10.00 9.0
SU 7.4 Andrew Nardi 56 5.74 15.7
MR 10.0 ID:694795 54 1.69 5.3
TB Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Kevin Kelly 79 2.75 19.7
MR 8.0 Casey Legumina 78 3.38 5.3
CL 10.0 Bryan Baker 75 2.60 17.3
SU 10.0 Cole Sulser 75 3.27 22.0
SU 4.8 Ian Seymour 74 5.59 19.3
SU 10.0 Hunter Bigge 63 2.30 15.7
SU 10.0 ID:664076 62 3.86 7.0
LR 4.4 Jesse Scholtens 62 3.29 27.3
MR 10.0 Griffin Jax 54 3.91 23.0
MR 10.0 Trevor Martin 51 6.23 4.3
CIN
at
CLE
Chris Paddack vs Joey Cantillo · Progressive Field · 6:10 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: CLE
CIN
3.9
41%
ML +145
TOTAL
8.5
3–14
CLE
4.6
59%
ML -145
FANDUEL
ML CIN +136 / CLE -162
RL +1.5 (-150) / -1.5 (+125)
Total 8.5 (O -105 / U -115)
CIN 41%
59% CLE
Park0.87 Weather1.03 RL Home −1.543% RL Away +1.557% F5 Total4.8
⚠ CIN Tony Santillan (SE:2.2)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.565%O754%O7.554%O846%O8.546%O936%O9.536%O1029%O10.529%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.79
O3.5: 61%O4: 48%O4.5: 48%O5: 36%
Starters
CIN Starter
Chris Paddack
ERA8.12
IP28.8
K27
WHIP1.77
CLE Starter
Joey Cantillo
ERA3.09
IP43.7
K41
WHIP1.37
Bullpens
CIN Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 8.0 Brock Burke 84 2.75 19.7
SU 7.4 Graham Ashcraft 78 1.66 21.7
MR 6.0 Pierce Johnson 64 3.71 17.0
SU 8.7 Connor Phillips 61 5.16 22.7
MR 9.0 Sam Moll 59 3.06 17.7
MR 8.0 ID:682825 52 3.38 8.0
MR 8.0 Tejay Antone 50 3.60 5.0
MR 10.0 Jose Franco 49 4.30 14.7
MR 10.0 ID:687209 48 36.00 1.0
CL 10.0 Emilio Pagán 48 6.43 14.0
CLE Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 10.0 Cade Smith 91 3.05 20.7
SU 10.0 Erik Sabrowski 89 1.86 19.3
MR 10.0 ID:670059 75 1.84 14.7
MR 6.0 Peyton Pallette 67 4.58 17.7
MR 9.0 Tim Herrin 62 0.68 13.3
SU 8.7 Matt Festa 61 4.95 20.0
MR 10.0 Shawn Armstrong 52 4.22 10.7
MR 10.0 Kolby Allard 51 10.38 8.7
MR 10.0 Hunter Gaddis 48 6.75 9.3
MR 10.0 ID:680916 45 3.38 2.7
TEX
at
HOU
Jacob deGrom vs Kai-Wei Teng · Daikin Park · 7:10 PM ET
TOSS-UP: HOU
TEX
3.9
50%
ML +101
TOTAL
7.6
3–13
HOU
3.7
50%
ML -101
FANDUEL
ML TEX -148 / HOU +126
RL -1.5 (+112) / +1.5 (-134)
Total 8.0 (O -102 / U -120)
TEX 50%
50% HOU
Park0.92 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.533% RL Away +1.567% F5 Total3.8
⚠ TEX Cole Winn (SE:4.8)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.557%O745%O7.545%O837%O8.537%O928%O9.528%O1021%O10.521%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 3.84
O3.5: 49%O4: 35%O4.5: 35%O5: 24%
Starters
TEX Starter
Jacob deGrom
ERA2.69
IP43.5
K57
WHIP0.94
HOU Starter
Kai-Wei Teng
ERA3.49
IP23.2
K23
WHIP1.21
Bullpens
TEX Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 10.0 Jacob Latz 83 2.08 21.7
SU 10.0 Tyler Alexander 79 2.14 21.0
MR 10.0 Jakob Junis 77 1.89 19.0
SU 10.0 Jalen Beeks 65 2.95 18.3
LR 10.0 Cal Quantrill 65 3.77 14.3
MR 10.0 ID:682608 63 0.87 10.3
MR 10.0 Gavin Collyer 60 2.79 9.7
SU 4.8 Cole Winn 60 4.76 17.0
MR 10.0 Robert Garcia 55 3.38 8.0
MR 10.0 Chris Martin 50 7.11 6.3
HOU Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Enyel De Los Santos 77 4.15 17.3
CL 6.8 Bryan King 77 3.57 17.7
MR 10.0 Kai-Wei Teng 74 3.12 26.0
MR 10.0 Steven Okert 64 3.79 19.0
MR 10.0 Jayden Murray 60 5.40 10.0
LR 7.9 Cody Bolton 56 4.76 17.0
MR 10.0 Logan VanWey 52 0.00 2.0
MR 10.0 ID:656986 50 8.10 3.3
MR 10.0 AJ Blubaugh 50 5.19 26.0
MR 10.0 Christian Roa 48 5.19 8.7
CHC
at
CWS
Jameson Taillon vs Davis Martin · Rate Field · 7:10 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: CWS
CHC
3.4
38%
ML +162
TOTAL
7.7
3–13
CWS
4.3
62%
ML -162
FANDUEL
ML CHC -106 / CWS -110
RL -1.5 (+152) / +1.5 (-184)
Total 8.5 (O -118 / U -104)
CHC 38%
62% CWS
Park0.94 Weather0.96 RL Home −1.544% RL Away +1.556% F5 Total4.0
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.558%O746%O7.546%O838%O8.538%O928%O9.528%O1022%O10.522%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.03
O3.5: 51%O4: 37%O4.5: 37%O5: 26%
Starters
CHC Starter
Jameson Taillon
ERA4.04
IP44.5
K40
WHIP1.17
CWS Starter
Davis Martin
ERA1.64
IP49.3
K52
WHIP1.01
Bullpens
CHC Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
LR 7.9 Ben Brown 95 1.60 33.7
MR 8.0 Ryan Rolison 62 3.38 10.7
LR 5.8 Javier Assad 62 6.00 24.0
MR 10.0 Riley Martin 62 2.16 8.3
MR 9.0 Jacob Webb 61 3.44 18.3
MR 9.0 Phil Maton 60 7.71 11.7
CL 8.4 Daniel Palencia 60 2.25 8.0
MR 8.0 Hoby Milner 59 2.21 20.3
MR 10.0 ID:681799 55 0.00 5.7
MR 6.0 Trent Thornton 53 0.00 3.0
CWS Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 8.0 Sean Newcomb 98 2.81 25.7
MR 8.0 Grant Taylor 93 2.11 21.3
MR 6.0 Bryan Hudson 87 0.90 20.0
MR 4.0 Jordan Hicks 62 3.45 15.7
MR 10.0 Lucas Sims 55 4.50 10.0
MR 10.0 Tyler Davis 54 4.00 9.0
MR 6.0 ID:805326 51 13.50 2.7
MR 9.0 Trevor Richards 51 27.00 1.0
CL 10.0 Seranthony Domínguez 50 4.08 17.7
MR 10.0 Chris Murphy 48 10.50 6.0
MIL
at
MIN
Logan Henderson vs Connor Prielipp · Target Field · 7:10 PM ET
TOSS-UP: MIL
MIL
4.8
50%
ML -100
TOTAL
9.4
4–15
MIN
4.5
50%
ML +100
FANDUEL
ML MIL -124 / MIN +106
RL -1.5 (+132) / +1.5 (-160)
Total 8.5 (O -108 / U -112)
MIL 50%
50% MIN
Park1.06 Weather1.03 RL Home −1.535% RL Away +1.565% F5 Total4.8
⚠ MIL Abner Uribe (CL:0.4) · MIN Taylor Rogers (SE:4.8)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.572%O762%O7.562%O854%O8.554%O944%O9.544%O1037%O10.537%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.81
O3.5: 61%O4: 48%O4.5: 48%O5: 36%
Starters
MIL Starter
Logan Henderson
ERA4.15
IP13.0
K16
WHIP0.92
MIN Starter
Connor Prielipp
ERA3.32
IP19.0
K21
WHIP1.00
Bullpens
MIL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 6.0 Aaron Ashby 99 2.00 27.0
MR 8.0 Trevor Megill 80 6.00 15.0
LR 10.0 Shane Drohan 80 3.24 16.7
MR 10.0 Jake Woodford 76 4.41 16.3
MR 9.0 DL Hall 68 1.80 20.0
CL 0.4 Abner Uribe 66 4.96 16.3
SU 8.7 Grant Anderson 64 3.00 18.0
MR 7.0 ID:702153 57 1.59 5.7
MR 10.0 Angel Zerpa 50 6.39 12.7
MR 10.0 Carlos Rodriguez 50 2.25 4.0
MIN Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 4.8 Taylor Rogers 77 4.41 16.3
SU 10.0 Eric Orze 75 4.26 19.0
MR 6.0 Andrew Morris 74 4.67 17.3
MR 9.0 Anthony Banda 65 7.64 17.7
MR 10.0 Garrett Acton 63 2.70 6.7
MR 10.0 Cody Laweryson 63 4.26 6.3
MR 10.0 Travis Adams 57 7.36 3.7
MR 10.0 Cole Sands 56 4.63 11.7
LR 7.9 Kendry Rojas 55 2.45 7.3
SU 10.0 Kody Funderburk 52 2.81 16.0
SD
at
SEA
Walker Buehler vs Logan Gilbert · T-Mobile Park · 7:15 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: SEA
SD
3.4
41%
ML +143
TOTAL
7.4
3–12
SEA
4.0
59%
ML -143
FANDUEL
ML SD +140 / SEA -166
RL +1.5 (-150) / -1.5 (+125)
Total 7.5 (O +102 / U -124)
SD 41%
59% SEA
Park0.90 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.541% RL Away +1.559% F5 Total4.0
⚠ SD Mason Miller (CL:0.4)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.556%O743%O7.543%O835%O8.535%O925%O9.525%O1019%O10.519%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.00
O3.5: 51%O4: 38%O4.5: 38%O5: 26%
Starters
SD Starter
Walker Buehler
ERA5.45
IP34.7
K31
WHIP1.41
SEA Starter
Logan Gilbert
ERA3.83
IP49.3
K52
WHIP1.18
Bullpens
SD Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 0.4 Mason Miller 89 0.92 19.7
MR 10.0 Bradgley Rodriguez 87 1.74 20.7
SU 7.4 Adrian Morejon 85 5.57 21.0
MR 7.0 Ron Marinaccio 79 4.32 25.0
SU 10.0 Kyle Hart 74 5.40 16.7
SU 10.0 Jeremiah Estrada 68 3.55 12.7
LR 8.6 ID:673513 63 0.00 6.7
SU 7.4 Jason Adam 60 1.38 13.0
MR 10.0 Wandy Peralta 59 2.66 20.3
MR 10.0 David Morgan 50 6.08 13.3
SEA Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 7.4 Jose A. Ferrer 90 1.80 20.0
MR 8.0 Casey Legumina 78 4.63 11.7
MR 6.0 José Suarez 78 4.50 2.0
SU 10.0 Eduard Bazardo 77 2.21 20.3
CL 10.0 Andrés Muñoz 72 5.29 17.0
SU 10.0 Matt Brash 71 0.00 11.3
SU 10.0 Gabe Speier 64 2.92 12.3
MR 4.0 Alex Hoppe 63 6.75 6.7
MR 8.0 Cooper Criswell 63 2.00 18.0
MR 10.0 Cole Wilcox 56 5.40 13.3
BOS
at
ATL
Payton Tolle vs Bryce Elder · Truist Park · 7:15 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: ATL
BOS
3.4
41%
ML +144
TOTAL
7.4
3–13
ATL
4.0
59%
ML -144
FANDUEL
ML BOS +114 / ATL -134
RL +1.5 (-178) / -1.5 (+146)
Total 7.5 (O -120 / U -102)
BOS 41%
59% ATL
Park0.99 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.541% RL Away +1.559% F5 Total3.7
⚠ ATL Dylan Lee (SE:2.2) · ATL Raisel Iglesias (CL:0.0)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.555%O743%O7.543%O835%O8.535%O926%O9.526%O1020%O10.520%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 3.69
O3.5: 46%O4: 33%O4.5: 33%O5: 22%
Starters
BOS Starter
Payton Tolle
ERA2.03
IP22.2
K27
WHIP0.86
ATL Starter
Bryce Elder
ERA1.88
IP52.8
K53
WHIP1.04
Bullpens
BOS Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 6.8 Aroldis Chapman 77 0.66 13.7
SU 8.7 Garrett Whitlock 73 3.12 17.3
MR 8.0 Zack Kelly 67 3.45 15.7
MR 2.0 Tyler Samaniego 64 1.17 15.3
MR 10.0 Justin Slaten 62 0.00 6.0
LR 10.0 ID:681252 56 3.38 8.0
MR 10.0 Danny Coulombe 54 5.63 8.0
MR 9.0 Ryan Watson 51 6.20 24.7
MR 6.0 Jovani Morán 50 3.18 22.7
MR 8.0 Greg Weissert 50 5.28 15.3
ATL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 2.2 Dylan Lee 91 0.87 20.7
MR 6.0 Robert Suarez 86 0.50 18.0
MR 6.0 José Suarez 78 6.61 16.3
LR 8.6 Didier Fuentes 77 3.45 15.7
CL 0.0 Raisel Iglesias 75 0.00 12.7
SU 7.4 Tyler Kinley 57 3.50 18.0
MR 10.0 Joel Payamps 48 8.22 7.7
MR 10.0 Osvaldo Bido 47 6.30 10.0
MR 10.0 Carlos Carrasco 46 0.00 2.3
SU 8.7 Aaron Bummer 43 4.40 14.3
NYY
at
NYM
Carlos Rodón vs Huascar Brazobán · Citi Field · 7:15 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: NYY
NYY
4.5
59%
ML -141
TOTAL
8.1
3–13
NYM
3.6
41%
ML +141
FANDUEL
ML NYY -122 / NYM +104
RL -1.5 (+136) / +1.5 (-164)
Total 8.5 (O -105 / U -115)
NYY 59%
41% NYM
Park1.01 Weather0.99 RL Home −1.527% RL Away +1.573% F5 Total4.1
⚠ NYY David Bednar (CL:3.6)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.562%O750%O7.550%O842%O8.542%O933%O9.533%O1026%O10.526%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.12
O3.5: 53%O4: 38%O4.5: 38%O5: 27%
Starters
NYY Starter
Carlos Rodón
ERA6.59
IP4.1
K4
WHIP1.71
NYM Starter
Huascar Brazobán
ERA2.68
IP16.8
K16
WHIP1.19
Bullpens
NYY Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 3.6 David Bednar 84 3.50 18.0
SU 10.0 Brent Headrick 77 2.08 21.7
SU 10.0 Tim Hill 71 1.00 18.0
MR 10.0 Ryan Yarbrough 71 3.45 15.7
SU 10.0 Jake Bird 70 4.73 13.3
SU 7.4 Fernando Cruz 66 2.70 16.7
MR 10.0 Paul Blackburn 63 4.08 17.7
MR 10.0 Camilo Doval 63 5.74 15.7
MR 10.0 Kervin Castro 50 4.50 2.0
MR 10.0 Angel Chivilli 45 3.86 2.3
NYM Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Brooks Raley 78 1.06 17.0
MR 10.0 Huascar Brazobán 75 2.14 21.0
CL 10.0 Devin Williams 74 5.27 13.7
LR 10.0 Sean Manaea 69 6.56 23.3
SU 10.0 Luke Weaver 65 4.15 17.3
MR 4.0 Austin Warren 64 0.82 11.0
MR 8.0 Richard Lovelady 63 3.68 7.3
MR 2.0 Tobias Myers 63 3.51 25.7
MR 4.0 Craig Kimbrel 61 6.10 10.3
LR 10.0 Carl Edwards Jr. 56 1.50 6.0
LAD
at
LAA
Justin Wrobleski vs José Soriano · Angel Stadium · 9:38 PM ET
TOSS-UP: LAA
LAD
4.5
50%
ML +102
TOTAL
8.8
4–15
LAA
4.3
50%
ML -102
FANDUEL
ML LAD -136 / LAA +116
RL -1.5 (+122) / +1.5 (-146)
Total 8.5 (O -112 / U -108)
LAD 50%
50% LAA
Park1.04 Weather1.01 RL Home −1.535% RL Away +1.565% F5 Total4.6
⚠ LAD Will Klein (SE:2.2) · LAD Alex Vesia (SE:0.9)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.568%O757%O7.557%O849%O8.549%O939%O9.539%O1031%O10.531%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.63
O3.5: 60%O4: 46%O4.5: 46%O5: 34%
Starters
LAD Starter
Justin Wrobleski
ERA2.44
IP44.2
K22
WHIP1.00
LAA Starter
José Soriano
ERA1.69
IP53.4
K61
WHIP1.07
Bullpens
LAD Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 6.0 Jack Dreyer 87 2.18 20.7
SU 2.2 Will Klein 82 2.76 16.3
CL 10.0 Tanner Scott 77 1.47 18.3
SU 0.9 Alex Vesia 76 3.14 14.3
MR 8.0 Kyle Hurt 72 0.82 11.0
MR 0.0 Edgardo Henriquez 68 3.94 16.0
SU 7.4 Blake Treinen 59 4.26 12.7
MR 10.0 Jake Eder 55 2.25 4.0
MR 10.0 ID:592779 54 0.00 2.0
MR 10.0 Edwin Díaz 53 10.50 6.0
LAA Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Ryan Zeferjahn 93 4.15 21.7
SU 10.0 Sam Bachman 70 3.10 20.3
MR 9.0 Brent Suter 67 4.50 24.0
MR 10.0 ID:820862 57 4.70 7.7
MR 10.0 Chase Silseth 57 2.51 14.3
CL 10.0 Jordan Romano 56 10.13 8.0
MR 8.0 ID:489446 53 10.80 1.7
LR 10.0 Mitch Farris 53 3.60 15.0
LR 10.0 Alek Manoah 53 0.00 6.0
MR 10.0 ID:642048 50 13.50 0.7
SF
at
ATH
Trevor McDonald vs Luis Severino · Sutter Health Park · 9:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: ATH
SF
4.3
43%
ML +131
TOTAL
9.1
4–15
ATH
4.8
57%
ML -131
FANDUEL
ML SF +114 / ATH -134
RL +1.5 (-178) / -1.5 (+146)
Total 9.5 (O -122 / U +100)
SF 43%
57% ATH
Park1.10 Weather0.92 RL Home −1.541% RL Away +1.559% F5 Total4.9
⚠ ATH Joel Kuhnel (CL:0.0)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.570%O759%O7.559%O851%O8.551%O941%O9.541%O1034%O10.534%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.90
O3.5: 62%O4: 48%O4.5: 48%O5: 37%
Starters
SF Starter
Trevor McDonald
ERA2.98
IP12.1
K12
WHIP1.07
ATH Starter
Luis Severino
ERA4.17
IP47.5
K47
WHIP1.56
Bullpens
SF Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Keaton Winn 82 2.45 18.3
SU 10.0 Erik Miller 73 3.18 11.3
MR 9.0 Tristan Beck 68 0.00 2.0
MR 9.0 JT Brubaker 66 3.66 19.7
MR 10.0 Blade Tidwell 65 3.00 12.0
SU 7.4 Matt Gage 63 1.47 18.3
MR 10.0 Caleb Kilian 62 1.40 19.3
MR 4.0 Ryan Borucki 56 4.70 15.3
MR 10.0 ID:666711 55 1.69 5.3
CL 10.0 Ryan Walker 54 6.46 15.3
ATH Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 8.0 Jack Perkins 84 4.76 17.0
MR 9.0 Mark Leiter Jr. 71 7.64 17.7
SU 8.7 Justin Sterner 70 4.22 21.3
MR 8.0 Luis Medina 69 1.72 15.7
SU 8.7 Scott Barlow 67 3.10 20.3
CL 0.0 Joel Kuhnel 63 2.87 15.7
SU 7.4 Hogan Harris 60 2.57 21.0
MR 10.0 ID:621139 54 0.00 2.7
MR 10.0 Elvis Alvarado 53 8.38 9.7
MR 10.0 Mason Barnett 50 0.00 2.0
The Editor's Plays

On Today's Slate

Best Bets

BAL @ WSH
Nationals ML -105
TEX @ HOU
Rangers ML -138
PHI @ PIT
Phillies/Pirates Under 8.5 -106
BOS @ ATL
Braves/Red Sox F5 Under 4.5 -108

Value Plays

CIN @ CLE
Reds F5 ML +135
TOR @ DET
Tigers ML -104