Vol. 1 · No. 123 Est. 2026

MLBjohannes

A daily register of Monte Carlo model projections and plays for the U.S. Mint.

SUNDAY · MAY 3 · 2026
Games
15
Sims / Game
10000
Model
sim_v2a4_johannes
Picks
5
The Board

Today's Projections

TOR
at
MIN
Trey Yesavage vs Joe Ryan · Target Field · 12:45 PM ET
TOSS-UP: MIN
TOR
4.3
45%
ML +123
TOTAL
9.0
4–15
MIN
4.7
55%
ML -123
FANDUEL
ML TOR -108 / MIN -108
RL -1.5 (+146) / +1.5 (-178)
Total 8.0 (O -115 / U -105)
TOR 45%
55% MIN
Park1.06 Weather1.05 RL Home −1.540% RL Away +1.560% F5 Total4.8
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.570%O759%O7.559%O850%O8.550%O940%O9.540%O1033%O10.533%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.76
O3.5: 60%O4: 47%O4.5: 47%O5: 35%
Starters
TOR Starter
Trey Yesavage
ERA0.00
IP5.1
K3
WHIP0.78
MIN Starter
Joe Ryan
ERA3.78
IP38.1
K39
WHIP1.05
Bullpens
TOR Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 10.0 Louis Varland 82 0.56 16.0
SU 10.0 Tyler Rogers 73 0.59 15.3
MR 10.0 Jeff Hoffman 71 6.39 12.7
SU 10.0 Braydon Fisher 70 1.76 15.3
MR 10.0 Joe Mantiply 69 3.38 10.7
SU 10.0 Mason Fluharty 66 5.06 10.7
MR 10.0 Tommy Nance 64 6.00 12.0
MR 10.0 Spencer Miles 60 3.29 13.7
MR 10.0 ID:695445 50 6.75 1.3
LR 10.0 Josh Fleming 44 12.00 3.0
MIN Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Eric Orze 72 3.09 11.7
MR 10.0 Anthony Banda 65 8.74 11.3
MR 10.0 Garrett Acton 63 2.70 6.7
MR 10.0 Cody Laweryson 63 4.26 6.3
LR 10.0 Andrew Morris 62 7.20 10.0
MR 10.0 Luis García 61 18.00 1.0
MR 10.0 Taylor Rogers 61 6.52 9.7
MR 10.0 Justin Topa 60 3.55 12.7
MR 10.0 Cole Sands 56 4.63 11.7
SU 10.0 Kody Funderburk 51 2.31 11.7
HOU
at
BOS
Cody Bolton vs Ranger Suarez · Fenway Park · 1:35 PM ET
TOSS-UP: BOS
HOU
4.2
48%
ML +109
TOTAL
8.5
3–14
BOS
4.3
52%
ML -109
FANDUEL
ML HOU +152 / BOS -180
RL +1.5 (-134) / -1.5 (+112)
Total 8.5 (O -120 / U -102)
HOU 48%
52% BOS
Park0.99 Weather1.02 RL Home −1.536% RL Away +1.564% F5 Total4.4
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.565%O753%O7.553%O846%O8.546%O936%O9.536%O1029%O10.529%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.43
O3.5: 56%O4: 43%O4.5: 43%O5: 32%
Starters
HOU Starter
Cody Bolton
ERA5.56
IP8.1
K11
WHIP1.73
BOS Starter
Ranger Suarez
ERA3.15
IP34.3
K29
WHIP0.96
Bullpens
HOU Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Bryan King 72 3.86 11.7
MR 10.0 Kai-Wei Teng 64 2.75 19.7
MR 10.0 Steven Okert 62 2.70 13.3
CL 10.0 Enyel De Los Santos 60 6.10 10.3
MR 10.0 Jayden Murray 55 6.00 6.0
MR 10.0 Christian Roa 48 5.19 8.7
MR 10.0 ID:656986 48 13.50 1.3
MR 10.0 AJ Blubaugh 47 6.23 17.3
LR 10.0 Ryan Weiss 33 6.65 21.7
MR 10.0 Bryan Abreu 33 12.96 8.3
BOS Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 10.0 Aroldis Chapman 67 1.04 8.7
MR 10.0 Tyler Samaniego 64 0.00 8.3
SU 10.0 Garrett Whitlock 62 2.70 10.0
MR 10.0 Zack Kelly 62 3.48 10.3
MR 10.0 Jovani Morán 59 2.25 16.0
MR 10.0 Justin Slaten 57 0.00 3.3
MR 10.0 Greg Weissert 54 3.86 11.7
MR 10.0 Danny Coulombe 53 6.14 7.3
MR 10.0 Ryan Watson 51 6.62 17.7
CIN
at
PIT
Chase Burns vs Braxton Ashcraft · PNC Park · 1:35 PM ET
TOSS-UP: PIT
CIN
3.5
46%
ML +119
TOTAL
7.2
3–12
PIT
3.7
54%
ML -119
FANDUEL
ML CIN +102 / PIT -120
RL +1.5 (-215) / -1.5 (+176)
Total 7.5 (O -110 / U -110)
CIN 46%
54% PIT
Park0.83 Weather1.08 RL Home −1.536% RL Away +1.564% F5 Total3.7
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.552%O740%O7.540%O832%O8.532%O924%O9.524%O1018%O10.518%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 3.71
O3.5: 46%O4: 33%O4.5: 33%O5: 22%
Starters
CIN Starter
Chase Burns
ERA2.70
IP33.3
K39
WHIP1.14
PIT Starter
Braxton Ashcraft
ERA3.78
IP33.3
K39
WHIP1.17
Bullpens
CIN Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Brock Burke 79 0.63 14.3
SU 10.0 Graham Ashcraft 74 1.20 15.0
MR 10.0 Pierce Johnson 62 3.75 12.0
MR 10.0 Connor Phillips 58 2.16 16.7
MR 10.0 Sam Moll 58 2.19 12.3
SU 10.0 Tony Santillan 56 2.13 12.7
CL 10.0 Emilio Pagán 52 4.38 12.3
MR 10.0 Jose Franco 47 4.70 7.7
MR 10.0 Kyle Nicolas 37 8.59 7.3
PIT Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Gregory Soto 75 1.84 14.7
SU 10.0 Mason Montgomery 74 3.65 12.3
SU 10.0 Isaac Mattson 73 1.13 16.0
MR 10.0 Yohan Ramírez 72 2.04 17.7
MR 10.0 Evan Sisk 68 2.00 9.0
MR 10.0 Justin Lawrence 56 5.14 14.0
MR 10.0 Cam Sanders 55 12.00 3.0
MR 10.0 José Urquidy 54 8.53 6.3
LR 10.0 Wilber Dotel 50 1.35 6.7
CL 10.0 Dennis Santana 50 3.29 13.7
BAL
at
NYY
Trey Gibson vs Max Fried · Yankee Stadium · 1:35 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: NYY
BAL
3.5
32%
ML +215
TOTAL
8.8
4–14
NYY
5.2
68%
ML -215
FANDUEL
ML BAL +240 / NYY -295
RL +1.5 (+118) / -1.5 (-142)
Total 9.0 (O -105 / U -115)
BAL 32%
68% NYY
Park0.99 Weather0.99 RL Home −1.553% RL Away +1.547% F5 Total4.8
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.568%O757%O7.557%O849%O8.549%O939%O9.539%O1031%O10.531%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.84
O3.5: 62%O4: 48%O4.5: 48%O5: 36%
Starters
BAL Starter
Trey Gibson
AAA 2026
IP24.7
K25
WHIP1.62
NYY Starter
Max Fried
ERA2.13
IP46.4
K37
WHIP0.82
Bullpens
BAL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Rico Garcia 71 0.68 13.3
MR 10.0 Grant Wolfram 70 4.50 10.0
MR 10.0 Anthony Nunez 70 2.51 14.3
CL 10.0 Ryan Helsley 70 2.53 10.7
SU 10.0 Tyler Wells 69 3.38 16.0
MR 10.0 Yennier Cano 64 1.86 9.7
MR 10.0 Keegan Akin 57 54.00 1.0
MR 10.0 Cameron Foster 57 6.35 5.7
MR 10.0 Andrew Kittredge 56 0.00 3.0
LR 10.0 Albert Suárez 42 3.46 13.0
NYY Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Brent Headrick 76 1.93 14.0
CL 10.0 David Bednar 75 3.55 12.7
MR 10.0 Paul Blackburn 68 4.09 11.0
MR 10.0 Jake Bird 63 6.75 8.0
SU 10.0 Tim Hill 60 1.50 12.0
MR 10.0 Ryan Yarbrough 59 4.09 11.0
SU 10.0 Fernando Cruz 52 3.60 10.0
MR 10.0 Camilo Doval 50 6.97 10.3
MR 10.0 Angel Chivilli 45 3.86 2.3
MIL
at
WSH
Logan Henderson vs PJ Poulin · Nationals Park · 1:35 PM ET
TOSS-UP: MIL
MIL
4.9
54%
ML -117
TOTAL
9.2
4–15
WSH
4.3
46%
ML +117
FANDUEL
ML MIL -154 / WSH +130
RL -1.5 (+108) / +1.5 (-130)
Total 8.5 (O -115 / U -105)
MIL 54%
46% WSH
Park1.08 Weather0.96 RL Home −1.531% RL Away +1.569% F5 Total4.8
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.571%O760%O7.560%O853%O8.553%O943%O9.543%O1035%O10.535%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.85
O3.5: 62%O4: 48%O4.5: 48%O5: 36%
Starters
MIL Starter
Logan Henderson
ERA9.00
IP2.0
K3
WHIP2.00
WSH Starter
PJ Poulin
ERA5.58
IP11.3
K9
WHIP1.86
Bullpens
MIL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Aaron Ashby 83 2.45 18.3
SU 10.0 Grant Anderson 71 2.57 14.0
CL 10.0 Trevor Megill 69 7.20 10.0
MR 10.0 Jake Woodford 68 4.61 13.7
SU 10.0 Abner Uribe 68 3.97 11.3
LR 10.0 Shane Drohan 57 4.70 7.7
MR 10.0 DL Hall 57 2.31 11.7
MR 10.0 Angel Zerpa 50 6.39 12.7
MR 10.0 Carlos Rodriguez 50 2.25 4.0
WSH Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 10.0 Gus Varland 68 3.18 11.3
MR 10.0 Brad Lord 65 3.74 21.7
MR 10.0 Mitchell Parker 60 5.40 8.3
MR 10.0 Richard Lovelady 58 1.59 5.7
MR 10.0 Paxton Schultz 56 4.00 9.0
MR 10.0 Cole Henry 54 6.43 7.0
MR 10.0 Julian Fernández 48 2.25 4.0
MR 10.0 ID:683000 47 9.00 2.0
MR 10.0 Clayton Beeter 45 3.48 10.3
SU 10.0 Cionel Pérez 43 7.62 13.0
SF
at
TB
Tyler Mahle vs Steven Matz · Tropicana Field · 1:40 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: TB
SF
3.4
39%
ML +153
TOTAL
7.6
3–13
TB
4.2
61%
ML -153
FANDUEL
ML SF +106 / TB -124
RL +1.5 (-205) / -1.5 (+168)
Total 8.0 (O -110 / U -110)
SF 39%
61% TB
Park0.87 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.543% RL Away +1.557% F5 Total4.3
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.558%O746%O7.546%O838%O8.538%O928%O9.528%O1022%O10.522%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.31
O3.5: 55%O4: 42%O4.5: 42%O5: 30%
Starters
SF Starter
Tyler Mahle
ERA5.96
IP30.2
K29
WHIP1.66
TB Starter
Steven Matz
ERA4.34
IP31.1
K27
WHIP1.13
Bullpens
SF Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Keaton Winn 71 2.53 10.7
MR 10.0 Erik Miller 71 3.48 10.3
MR 10.0 Blade Tidwell 65 3.00 12.0
MR 10.0 Caleb Kilian 62 0.75 12.0
CL 10.0 Ryan Walker 62 3.00 12.0
MR 10.0 JT Brubaker 58 2.51 14.3
MR 10.0 Matt Gage 55 1.50 12.0
MR 10.0 Ryan Borucki 50 5.19 8.7
TB Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Ian Seymour 70 6.75 13.3
CL 10.0 Bryan Baker 68 3.18 11.3
LR 10.0 Jesse Scholtens 67 3.20 19.7
MR 10.0 Cole Sulser 66 3.24 16.7
SU 10.0 Kevin Kelly 65 4.26 12.7
MR 10.0 Trevor Martin 51 6.23 4.3
SU 10.0 Hunter Bigge 46 4.50 8.0
MR 10.0 Griffin Jax 42 6.35 11.3
MR 10.0 Mason Englert 41 7.11 12.7
MR 10.0 Yoendrys Gómez 28 7.04 15.3
PHI
at
MIA
Jesús Luzardo vs Chris Paddack · loanDepot park · 1:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: PHI
PHI
4.3
55%
ML -121
TOTAL
8.0
3–13
MIA
3.7
45%
ML +121
FANDUEL
ML PHI -144 / MIA +122
RL -1.5 (+118) / +1.5 (-142)
Total 8.0 (O -120 / U -102)
PHI 55%
45% MIA
Park0.94 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.530% RL Away +1.570% F5 Total4.3
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.561%O750%O7.550%O841%O8.541%O932%O9.532%O1025%O10.525%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.34
O3.5: 55%O4: 42%O4.5: 42%O5: 31%
Starters
PHI Starter
Jesús Luzardo
ERA5.78
IP32.7
K41
WHIP1.35
MIA Starter
Chris Paddack
ERA6.43
IP26.6
K26
WHIP1.58
Bullpens
PHI Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 José Alvarado 67 7.45 9.7
MR 10.0 Tim Mayza 64 3.94 16.0
MR 10.0 Jonathan Bowlan 64 3.86 7.0
MR 10.0 Zach Pop 62 3.68 7.3
MR 10.0 Kyle Backhus 58 4.66 9.7
MR 10.0 Tanner Banks 57 7.20 10.0
MR 10.0 Chase Shugart 57 1.17 7.7
SU 10.0 Brad Keller 57 3.86 11.7
MR 10.0 Orion Kerkering 54 2.70 10.0
CL 10.0 Jhoan Duran 50 1.35 6.7
MIA Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Anthony Bender 68 5.25 12.0
MR 10.0 Tyler Phillips 68 1.47 18.3
MR 10.0 Michael Petersen 65 3.65 12.3
MR 10.0 John King 65 0.71 12.7
MR 10.0 Ryan Gusto 64 0.00 1.0
MR 10.0 Calvin Faucher 63 5.40 10.0
CL 10.0 Pete Fairbanks 63 10.00 9.0
MR 10.0 Lake Bachar 59 3.29 13.7
SU 10.0 Andrew Nardi 48 7.20 10.0
LAD
at
STL
Justin Wrobleski vs Dustin May · Busch Stadium · 2:15 PM ET
TOSS-UP: LAD
LAD
5.1
53%
ML -111
TOTAL
9.7
4–16
STL
4.6
47%
ML +111
FANDUEL
ML LAD -142 / STL +120
RL -1.5 (+112) / +1.5 (-134)
Total 9.5 (O -110 / U -110)
LAD 53%
47% STL
Park0.94 Weather1.11 RL Home −1.533% RL Away +1.567% F5 Total5.3
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.574%O764%O7.564%O856%O8.556%O946%O9.546%O1039%O10.539%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 5.26
O3.5: 66%O4: 53%O4.5: 53%O5: 41%
Starters
LAD Starter
Justin Wrobleski
ERA1.50
IP30.0
K15
WHIP0.97
STL Starter
Dustin May
ERA5.36
IP30.2
K22
WHIP1.56
Bullpens
LAD Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Will Klein 72 2.45 11.0
MR 10.0 Alex Vesia 71 1.74 10.3
MR 10.0 Jack Dreyer 70 3.46 13.0
SU 10.0 Tanner Scott 64 2.03 13.3
MR 10.0 Edgardo Henriquez 58 3.86 9.3
MR 10.0 Jake Eder 53 3.00 3.0
CL 10.0 Edwin Díaz 53 10.50 6.0
SU 10.0 Blake Treinen 51 4.15 8.7
MR 10.0 Kyle Hurt 50 1.80 5.0
MR 10.0 Ben Casparius 46 9.64 4.7
STL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 10.0 Riley O'Brien 79 1.26 14.3
MR 10.0 Gordon Graceffo 70 1.13 16.0
MR 10.0 Ryan Fernandez 61 1.59 5.7
SU 10.0 Ryne Stanek 60 7.71 11.7
MR 10.0 George Soriano 60 4.38 12.3
SU 10.0 JoJo Romero 55 3.95 13.7
MR 10.0 Jared Shuster 52 4.91 3.7
SU 10.0 Justin Bruihl 51 5.87 15.3
MR 10.0 Matt Svanson 37 10.34 15.7
AZ
at
CHC
Merrill Kelly vs Matthew Boyd · Wrigley Field · 2:20 PM ET
TOSS-UP: CHC
AZ
4.7
46%
ML +115
TOTAL
9.5
4–15
CHC
4.8
54%
ML -115
FANDUEL
ML AZ +134 / CHC -158
RL +1.5 (-140) / -1.5 (+116)
Total 11.5 (O -115 / U -105)
AZ 46%
54% CHC
Park0.95 Weather1.14 RL Home −1.539% RL Away +1.561% F5 Total5.0
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.574%O763%O7.563%O855%O8.555%O945%O9.545%O1037%O10.537%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.95
O3.5: 63%O4: 50%O4.5: 50%O5: 38%
Starters
AZ Starter
Merrill Kelly
ERA9.51
IP14.2
K9
WHIP2.32
CHC Starter
Matthew Boyd
ERA7.59
IP16.6
K26
WHIP1.57
Bullpens
AZ Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Juan Morillo 72 1.98 13.7
MR 10.0 Kevin Ginkel 71 4.38 12.3
SU 10.0 Jonathan Loáisiga 70 3.29 13.7
SU 10.0 Taylor Clarke 67 3.07 14.7
MR 10.0 Taylor Rashi 50 9.82 3.7
SU 10.0 Ryan Thompson 49 3.97 11.3
CL 10.0 Paul Sewald 49 4.50 10.0
MR 10.0 Andrew Hoffmann 42 7.71 11.7
CHC Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
LR 10.0 Ben Brown 83 2.14 21.0
MR 10.0 Riley Martin 62 2.16 8.3
MR 10.0 Daniel Palencia 59 0.00 5.0
MR 10.0 Corbin Martin 56 0.00 4.0
MR 10.0 Hoby Milner 52 2.45 14.7
CL 10.0 Caleb Thielbar 50 3.12 8.7
MR 10.0 Phil Maton 50 14.40 5.0
MR 10.0 ID:605441 50 0.00 1.7
LR 10.0 ID:656212 50 9.00 3.0
MR 10.0 Jacob Webb 44 5.06 10.7
ATL
at
COL
Spencer Strider vs Kyle Freeland · Coors Field · 3:10 PM ET
TOSS-UP: COL
ATL
5.5
45%
ML +124
TOTAL
11.3
5–18
COL
5.8
55%
ML -124
FANDUEL
ML ATL -158 / COL +134
RL -1.5 (-102) / +1.5 (-118)
Total 10.5 (O +100 / U -122)
ATL 45%
55% COL
Park1.29 Weather0.92 RL Home −1.541% RL Away +1.559% F5 Total6.3
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.585%O776%O7.576%O870%O8.570%O961%O9.561%O1053%O10.553%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 6.26
O3.5: 76%O4: 65%O4.5: 65%O5: 53%
Starters
ATL Starter
Spencer Strider
AAA 2026
IP9.3
K15
WHIP0.86
COL Starter
Kyle Freeland
ERA3.56
IP20.2
K17
WHIP1.14
Bullpens
ATL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Dylan Lee 76 1.38 13.0
MR 10.0 José Suarez 75 5.87 15.3
MR 10.0 Robert Suarez 75 0.71 12.7
SU 10.0 Tyler Kinley 72 1.38 13.0
CL 10.0 Raisel Iglesias 67 0.00 8.7
LR 10.0 Didier Fuentes 63 5.00 9.0
MR 10.0 Joel Payamps 48 6.14 7.3
MR 10.0 Carlos Carrasco 46 0.00 1.0
MR 10.0 Osvaldo Bido 43 6.30 10.0
SU 10.0 Aaron Bummer 43 4.66 9.7
COL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
LR 10.0 Chase Dollander 89 2.25 32.0
LR 10.0 Antonio Senzatela 86 0.50 18.0
MR 10.0 Jimmy Herget 74 1.50 12.0
MR 10.0 Brennan Bernardino 71 0.82 11.0
MR 10.0 Juan Mejia 67 5.40 13.3
MR 10.0 Zach Agnos 64 5.71 17.3
SU 10.0 Jaden Hill 57 3.18 11.3
MR 10.0 Seth Halvorsen 52 0.00 2.0
CL 10.0 Victor Vodnik 51 6.94 11.7
LR 10.0 Tanner Gordon 42 7.36 11.0
CLE
at
ATH
Parker Messick vs Aaron Civale · Sutter Health Park · 4:05 PM ET
TOSS-UP: CLE
CLE
5.4
57%
ML -135
TOTAL
9.8
4–16
ATH
4.3
43%
ML +135
FANDUEL
ML CLE -120 / ATH +102
RL -1.5 (+130) / +1.5 (-156)
Total 9.5 (O +100 / U -122)
CLE 57%
43% ATH
Park1.10 Weather1.04 RL Home −1.529% RL Away +1.571% F5 Total5.1
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.575%O765%O7.565%O857%O8.557%O947%O9.547%O1040%O10.540%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 5.07
O3.5: 64%O4: 51%O4.5: 51%O5: 39%
Starters
CLE Starter
Parker Messick
ERA1.78
IP35.4
K38
WHIP0.90
ATH Starter
Aaron Civale
ERA3.36
IP29.5
K24
WHIP1.36
Bullpens
CLE Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Erik Sabrowski 74 2.70 13.3
CL 10.0 Cade Smith 70 4.15 13.0
MR 10.0 Matt Festa 66 5.27 13.7
MR 10.0 Peyton Pallette 62 3.55 12.7
MR 10.0 Tim Herrin 57 0.00 8.3
MR 10.0 ID:670059 54 2.84 6.3
MR 10.0 Connor Brogdon 52 5.25 12.0
MR 10.0 Shawn Armstrong 52 4.22 10.7
MR 10.0 Kolby Allard 51 10.38 8.7
MR 10.0 Hunter Gaddis 47 6.75 5.3
ATH Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Jack Perkins 75 2.92 12.3
SU 10.0 Justin Sterner 68 4.02 15.7
CL 10.0 Joel Kuhnel 64 2.16 8.3
MR 10.0 Mark Leiter Jr. 60 6.39 12.7
MR 10.0 Brady Basso 59 0.00 0.7
MR 10.0 Luis Medina 59 2.70 10.0
SU 10.0 Scott Barlow 54 3.38 13.3
MR 10.0 Elvis Alvarado 53 8.38 9.7
SU 10.0 Hogan Harris 51 2.65 17.0
MR 10.0 Michael Kelly 46 6.23 4.3
NYM
at
LAA
Clay Holmes vs Jack Kochanowicz · Angel Stadium · 4:07 PM ET
TOSS-UP: LAA
NYM
4.6
44%
ML +125
TOTAL
9.6
4–16
LAA
5.0
56%
ML -125
FANDUEL
ML NYM -134 / LAA +114
RL -1.5 (+125) / +1.5 (-150)
Total 9.0 (O -104 / U -118)
NYM 44%
56% LAA
Park1.04 Weather1.08 RL Home −1.541% RL Away +1.559% F5 Total5.2
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.574%O763%O7.563%O856%O8.556%O946%O9.546%O1039%O10.539%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 5.16
O3.5: 65%O4: 53%O4.5: 53%O5: 40%
Starters
NYM Starter
Clay Holmes
ERA1.78
IP35.3
K25
WHIP0.99
LAA Starter
Jack Kochanowicz
ERA3.21
IP33.6
K24
WHIP1.25
Bullpens
NYM Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Tobias Myers 74 2.33 19.3
LR 10.0 Sean Manaea 69 4.66 19.3
MR 10.0 Huascar Brazobán 68 1.35 13.3
MR 10.0 Brooks Raley 61 1.86 9.7
MR 10.0 Luis García 61 7.11 6.3
MR 10.0 Craig Kimbrel 61 5.06 5.3
CL 10.0 Devin Williams 60 9.00 8.0
MR 10.0 Luke Weaver 58 4.91 11.0
MR 10.0 Richard Lovelady 58 3.68 7.3
LR 10.0 Carl Edwards Jr. 55 0.00 3.3
LAA Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Ryan Zeferjahn 78 5.28 15.3
SU 10.0 Sam Bachman 63 3.52 15.3
MR 10.0 Brent Suter 59 3.32 19.0
CL 10.0 Jordan Romano 56 10.13 8.0
MR 10.0 Mitch Farris 53 2.25 8.0
MR 10.0 Nick Sandlin 52 14.29 5.7
MR 10.0 Chase Silseth 51 3.27 11.0
MR 10.0 ID:820862 50 0.00 2.7
MR 10.0 Shaun Anderson 49 5.94 16.7
MR 10.0 Joey Lucchesi 43 13.50 3.3
KC
at
SEA
Kris Bubic vs Luis Castillo · T-Mobile Park · 4:10 PM ET
TOSS-UP: KC
KC
4.2
53%
ML -112
TOTAL
7.9
3–13
SEA
3.7
47%
ML +112
FANDUEL
ML KC +104 / SEA -122
RL -1.5 (+172) / +1.5 (-210)
Total 8.0 (O -110 / U -110)
KC 53%
47% SEA
Park0.90 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.531% RL Away +1.569% F5 Total4.3
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.561%O748%O7.548%O840%O8.540%O930%O9.530%O1024%O10.524%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.28
O3.5: 55%O4: 41%O4.5: 41%O5: 29%
Starters
KC Starter
Kris Bubic
ERA3.80
IP33.2
K35
WHIP1.20
SEA Starter
Luis Castillo
ERA6.57
IP27.4
K26
WHIP1.79
Bullpens
KC Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Daniel Lynch IV 73 0.79 11.3
MR 10.0 Nick Mears 65 2.45 11.0
CL 10.0 Lucas Erceg 60 4.38 12.3
MR 10.0 Mason Black 57 0.00 3.7
MR 10.0 Alex Lange 57 7.71 11.7
SU 10.0 Matt Strahm 54 4.22 10.7
MR 10.0 Eli Morgan 48 2.61 10.3
MR 10.0 John Schreiber 43 4.50 10.0
MR 10.0 Steven Cruz 40 14.40 5.0
SEA Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Jose A. Ferrer 75 1.93 14.0
MR 10.0 Eduard Bazardo 71 1.29 14.0
SU 10.0 Matt Brash 71 0.00 11.3
MR 10.0 Casey Legumina 71 4.63 11.7
SU 10.0 Gabe Speier 63 2.31 11.7
CL 10.0 Andrés Muñoz 60 6.55 11.0
MR 10.0 Cole Wilcox 60 6.35 11.3
MR 10.0 Cooper Criswell 56 2.57 14.0
MR 10.0 Alex Hoppe 50 16.20 1.7
CWS
at
SD
Anthony Kay vs Griffin Canning · Petco Park · 4:10 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: SD
CWS
3.5
39%
ML +159
TOTAL
8.0
3–13
SD
4.4
61%
ML -159
FANDUEL
ML CWS +154 / SD -184
RL +1.5 (-134) / -1.5 (+112)
Total 8.5 (O -105 / U -115)
CWS 39%
61% SD
Park0.87 Weather0.99 RL Home −1.544% RL Away +1.556% F5 Total4.6
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.562%O749%O7.549%O841%O8.541%O931%O9.531%O1024%O10.524%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.61
O3.5: 59%O4: 46%O4.5: 46%O5: 34%
Starters
CWS Starter
Anthony Kay
ERA6.68
IP22.9
K15
WHIP1.83
SD Starter
Griffin Canning
AAA 2026
IP15.0
K18
WHIP1.67
Bullpens
CWS Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Grant Taylor 81 2.93 15.3
MR 10.0 Sean Newcomb 80 4.00 18.0
MR 10.0 Bryan Hudson 76 1.29 14.0
MR 10.0 Lucas Sims 55 4.50 10.0
MR 10.0 Jordan Hicks 54 4.26 12.7
MR 10.0 Tyler Davis 52 0.00 2.0
MR 10.0 Chris Murphy 48 10.50 6.0
CL 10.0 Seranthony Domínguez 44 4.50 12.0
MR 10.0 Osvaldo Bido 43 6.75 5.3
MR 10.0 Jordan Leasure 33 6.91 14.3
SD Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 10.0 Mason Miller 79 1.26 14.3
SU 10.0 Adrian Morejon 76 5.28 15.3
MR 10.0 Bradgley Rodriguez 75 2.08 13.0
SU 10.0 Kyle Hart 69 5.87 15.3
MR 10.0 Ron Marinaccio 62 5.40 16.7
SU 10.0 Jason Adam 61 1.29 7.0
MR 10.0 Jeremiah Estrada 60 5.14 7.0
MR 10.0 Wandy Peralta 50 4.05 13.3
MR 10.0 David Morgan 50 6.08 13.3
TEX
at
DET
Jack Leiter vs Tyler Holton · Comerica Park · 7:20 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: DET
TEX
4.4
38%
ML +160
TOTAL
9.8
4–16
DET
5.4
62%
ML -160
FANDUEL
ML TEX +102 / DET -120
RL +1.5 (-205) / -1.5 (+168)
Total 8.5 (O +100 / U -122)
TEX 38%
62% DET
Park1.03 Weather1.04 RL Home −1.547% RL Away +1.553% F5 Total5.3
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.576%O766%O7.566%O858%O8.558%O948%O9.548%O1040%O10.540%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 5.33
O3.5: 67%O4: 54%O4.5: 54%O5: 42%
Starters
TEX Starter
Jack Leiter
ERA5.33
IP30.4
K33
WHIP1.51
DET Starter
Tyler Holton
ERA6.61
IP10.9
K9
WHIP2.29
Bullpens
TEX Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Tyler Alexander 78 0.63 14.3
MR 10.0 Jacob Latz 72 1.23 14.7
CL 10.0 Jakob Junis 69 1.88 14.3
SU 10.0 Jalen Beeks 62 2.08 13.0
MR 10.0 Gavin Collyer 56 0.00 5.3
LR 10.0 Cal Quantrill 56 6.43 7.0
MR 10.0 Robert Garcia 55 3.38 8.0
SU 10.0 Cole Winn 53 4.85 13.0
MR 10.0 ID:682608 52 0.00 4.0
MR 10.0 Chris Martin 50 7.11 6.3
DET Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Brant Hurter 65 1.98 13.7
SU 10.0 Will Vest 63 6.17 11.7
MR 10.0 Enmanuel De Jesus 61 10.13 8.0
MR 10.0 Burch Smith 61 1.69 5.3
MR 10.0 Kyle Finnegan 58 0.66 13.7
MR 10.0 Connor Seabold 53 4.09 11.0
MR 10.0 Drew Anderson 53 6.60 15.0
MR 10.0 Brenan Hanifee 50 0.00 1.0
CL 10.0 Kenley Jansen 50 3.68 7.3
MR 10.0 Tyler Holton 48 5.54 13.0
The Editor's Plays

On Today's Slate

Best Bets

TOR @ MIN
Jays/Twins F5 Under 4.5 -128
CLE @ ATH
Guardians ML -113
SF @ TB
Rays ML -114

Value Plays

BAL @ NYY + PHI @ MIA
Yankees ML + Phillies ML Parlay +150
ATL @ COL
Rockies ML +136