Vol. 1 · No. 126 Est. 2026

MLBjohannes

A daily register of Monte Carlo model projections and plays for the U.S. Mint.

WEDNESDAY · MAY 6 · 2026
Games
15
Sims / Game
10000
Model
sim_v2a4_johannes
Picks
6
The Board

Today's Projections

TOR
at
TB
Patrick Corbin vs Shane McClanahan · Tropicana Field · 1:10 PM ET
TOSS-UP: TB
TOR
3.6
47%
ML +115
TOTAL
7.3
3–12
TB
3.7
53%
ML -115
FANDUEL
ML TOR +118 / TB -138
RL +1.5 (-182) / -1.5 (+150)
Total 7.5 (O -115 / U -105)
TOR 47%
53% TB
Park0.87 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.536% RL Away +1.564% F5 Total4.0
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.555%O743%O7.543%O834%O8.534%O925%O9.525%O1019%O10.519%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 3.99
O3.5: 51%O4: 37%O4.5: 37%O5: 26%
Starters
TOR Starter
Patrick Corbin
ERA3.83
IP23.5
K20
WHIP1.32
TB Starter
Shane McClanahan
ERA3.18
IP28.3
K30
WHIP1.20
Bullpens
TOR Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 10.0 Louis Varland 82 0.56 16.0
SU 10.0 Tyler Rogers 73 0.59 15.3
MR 10.0 Jeff Hoffman 71 6.39 12.7
SU 10.0 Braydon Fisher 70 1.76 15.3
MR 9.0 Joe Mantiply 69 3.38 10.7
SU 10.0 Mason Fluharty 66 5.06 10.7
MR 9.0 Tommy Nance 64 6.00 12.0
MR 8.0 Spencer Miles 60 3.29 13.7
MR 10.0 ID:695445 50 6.75 1.3
LR 10.0 Josh Fleming 44 12.00 3.0
TB Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 7.4 Ian Seymour 70 6.75 13.3
CL 10.0 Bryan Baker 68 3.18 11.3
LR 10.0 Jesse Scholtens 67 3.20 19.7
MR 9.0 Cole Sulser 66 3.24 16.7
SU 10.0 Kevin Kelly 65 4.26 12.7
MR 10.0 Trevor Martin 51 6.23 4.3
SU 10.0 Hunter Bigge 46 4.50 8.0
MR 10.0 Griffin Jax 42 6.35 11.3
MR 10.0 Mason Englert 41 7.11 12.7
MR 10.0 Yoendrys Gómez 28 7.04 15.3
MIL
at
STL
Brandon Sproat vs Andre Pallante · Busch Stadium · 1:15 PM ET
TOSS-UP: STL
MIL
4.2
44%
ML +125
TOTAL
8.9
4–15
STL
4.6
56%
ML -125
FANDUEL
ML MIL -106 / STL -110
RL -1.5 (+164) / +1.5 (-200)
Total 8.0 (O -102 / U -120)
MIL 44%
56% STL
Park0.94 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.541% RL Away +1.559% F5 Total5.0
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.569%O758%O7.558%O850%O8.550%O939%O9.539%O1032%O10.532%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 5.04
O3.5: 64%O4: 51%O4.5: 51%O5: 39%
Starters
MIL Starter
Brandon Sproat
ERA7.26
IP24.8
K25
WHIP1.73
STL Starter
Andre Pallante
ERA3.76
IP31.1
K26
WHIP1.32
Bullpens
MIL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Aaron Ashby 83 2.45 18.3
SU 10.0 Grant Anderson 71 2.57 14.0
CL 10.0 Trevor Megill 69 7.20 10.0
MR 8.0 Jake Woodford 68 4.61 13.7
SU 10.0 Abner Uribe 68 3.97 11.3
LR 8.6 Shane Drohan 57 4.70 7.7
MR 8.0 DL Hall 57 2.31 11.7
MR 10.0 Angel Zerpa 50 6.39 12.7
MR 10.0 Carlos Rodriguez 50 2.25 4.0
STL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 10.0 Riley O'Brien 79 1.26 14.3
MR 9.0 Gordon Graceffo 70 1.13 16.0
MR 10.0 Ryan Fernandez 61 1.59 5.7
SU 10.0 Ryne Stanek 60 7.71 11.7
MR 9.0 George Soriano 60 4.38 12.3
SU 8.7 JoJo Romero 55 3.95 13.7
MR 10.0 Jared Shuster 52 4.91 3.7
SU 10.0 Justin Bruihl 51 5.87 15.3
MR 10.0 Matt Svanson 37 10.34 15.7
LAD
at
HOU
Tyler Glasnow vs Lance McCullers Jr. · Daikin Park · 2:10 PM ET
TOSS-UP: LAD
LAD
4.4
57%
ML -133
TOTAL
8.1
3–13
HOU
3.6
43%
ML +133
FANDUEL
ML LAD -215 / HOU +180
RL -1.5 (-128) / +1.5 (+106)
Total 8.5 (O -122 / U +100)
LAD 57%
43% HOU
Park0.92 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.528% RL Away +1.572% F5 Total4.3
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.562%O750%O7.550%O842%O8.542%O932%O9.532%O1025%O10.525%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.27
O3.5: 54%O4: 41%O4.5: 41%O5: 29%
Starters
LAD Starter
Tyler Glasnow
ERA2.59
IP38.2
K47
WHIP0.84
HOU Starter
Lance McCullers Jr.
ERA6.37
IP31.1
K33
WHIP1.41
Bullpens
LAD Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Will Klein 72 2.45 11.0
MR 10.0 Alex Vesia 71 1.74 10.3
MR 9.0 Jack Dreyer 70 3.46 13.0
SU 10.0 Tanner Scott 64 2.03 13.3
MR 10.0 Edgardo Henriquez 58 3.86 9.3
MR 10.0 Jake Eder 53 3.00 3.0
CL 10.0 Edwin Díaz 53 10.50 6.0
SU 8.7 Blake Treinen 51 4.15 8.7
MR 9.0 Kyle Hurt 50 1.80 5.0
MR 10.0 Ben Casparius 46 9.64 4.7
HOU Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Bryan King 72 3.86 11.7
MR 7.0 Kai-Wei Teng 64 2.75 19.7
MR 8.0 Steven Okert 62 2.70 13.3
CL 10.0 Enyel De Los Santos 60 6.10 10.3
MR 10.0 Jayden Murray 55 6.00 6.0
MR 10.0 Christian Roa 48 5.19 8.7
MR 10.0 ID:656986 48 13.50 1.3
MR 10.0 AJ Blubaugh 47 6.23 17.3
LR 7.9 Ryan Weiss 33 6.65 21.7
MR 9.0 Bryan Abreu 33 12.96 8.3
SD
at
SF
Bradgley Rodriguez vs Adrian Houser · Oracle Park · 3:45 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: SD
SD
5.1
58%
ML -139
TOTAL
9.1
4–15
SF
4.0
42%
ML +139
FANDUEL
ML SD -112 / SF -104
RL -1.5 (+150) / +1.5 (-182)
Total 8.5 (O -105 / U -115)
SD 58%
42% SF
Park0.93 Weather1.09 RL Home −1.527% RL Away +1.573% F5 Total5.1
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.571%O760%O7.560%O852%O8.552%O941%O9.541%O1034%O10.534%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 5.11
O3.5: 65%O4: 52%O4.5: 52%O5: 40%
Starters
SD Starter
Bradgley Rodriguez
ERA2.01
IP13.4
K12
WHIP1.34
SF Starter
Adrian Houser
ERA7.53
IP28.7
K16
WHIP1.81
Bullpens
SD Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 10.0 Mason Miller 79 1.26 14.3
SU 10.0 Adrian Morejon 76 5.28 15.3
MR 9.0 Bradgley Rodriguez 75 2.08 13.0
SU 10.0 Kyle Hart 69 5.87 15.3
MR 10.0 Ron Marinaccio 62 5.40 16.7
SU 10.0 Jason Adam 61 1.29 7.0
MR 10.0 Jeremiah Estrada 60 5.14 7.0
MR 9.0 Wandy Peralta 50 4.05 13.3
MR 10.0 David Morgan 50 6.08 13.3
SF Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Keaton Winn 71 2.53 10.7
MR 10.0 Erik Miller 71 3.48 10.3
MR 10.0 Blade Tidwell 65 3.00 12.0
MR 9.0 Caleb Kilian 62 0.75 12.0
CL 10.0 Ryan Walker 62 3.00 12.0
MR 10.0 JT Brubaker 58 2.51 14.3
MR 10.0 Matt Gage 55 1.50 12.0
MR 10.0 Ryan Borucki 50 5.19 8.7
CWS
at
LAA
Noah Schultz vs Walbert Ureña · Angel Stadium · 4:07 PM ET
TOSS-UP: CWS
CWS
5.0
51%
ML -104
TOTAL
9.7
4–16
LAA
4.7
49%
ML +104
FANDUEL
ML CWS -112 / LAA -104
RL -1.5 (+146) / +1.5 (-178)
Total 9.0 (O -105 / U -115)
CWS 51%
49% LAA
Park1.04 Weather1.07 RL Home −1.535% RL Away +1.565% F5 Total5.3
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.575%O765%O7.565%O857%O8.557%O947%O9.547%O1040%O10.540%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 5.28
O3.5: 66%O4: 53%O4.5: 53%O5: 42%
Starters
CWS Starter
Noah Schultz
ERA2.56
IP21.1
K20
WHIP1.04
LAA Starter
Walbert Ureña
ERA4.09
IP15.4
K17
WHIP1.95
Bullpens
CWS Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Grant Taylor 81 2.93 15.3
MR 8.0 Sean Newcomb 80 4.00 18.0
MR 10.0 Bryan Hudson 76 1.29 14.0
MR 10.0 Lucas Sims 55 4.50 10.0
MR 10.0 Jordan Hicks 54 4.26 12.7
MR 10.0 Tyler Davis 52 0.00 2.0
MR 10.0 Chris Murphy 48 10.50 6.0
CL 10.0 Seranthony Domínguez 44 4.50 12.0
MR 10.0 Osvaldo Bido 43 6.75 5.3
MR 10.0 Jordan Leasure 33 6.91 14.3
LAA Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Ryan Zeferjahn 78 5.28 15.3
SU 10.0 Sam Bachman 63 3.52 15.3
MR 9.0 Brent Suter 59 3.32 19.0
CL 10.0 Jordan Romano 56 10.13 8.0
MR 7.0 Mitch Farris 53 2.25 8.0
MR 10.0 Nick Sandlin 52 14.29 5.7
MR 10.0 Chase Silseth 51 3.27 11.0
MR 10.0 ID:820862 50 0.00 2.7
MR 10.0 Shaun Anderson 49 5.94 16.7
MR 10.0 Joey Lucchesi 43 13.50 3.3
ATL
at
SEA
Martín Pérez vs Bryan Woo · T-Mobile Park · 4:10 PM ET
TOSS-UP: SEA
ATL
3.8
49%
ML +104
TOTAL
7.6
3–13
SEA
3.8
51%
ML -104
FANDUEL
ML ATL +116 / SEA -134
RL +1.5 (-192) / -1.5 (+158)
Total 8.0 (O -118 / U -104)
ATL 49%
51% SEA
Park0.90 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.534% RL Away +1.566% F5 Total4.1
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.558%O745%O7.545%O837%O8.537%O928%O9.528%O1022%O10.522%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.08
O3.5: 52%O4: 38%O4.5: 38%O5: 26%
Starters
ATL Starter
Martín Pérez
ERA2.24
IP28.1
K19
WHIP1.00
SEA Starter
Bryan Woo
ERA4.61
IP41.0
K29
WHIP1.07
Bullpens
ATL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Dylan Lee 76 1.38 13.0
MR 10.0 José Suarez 75 5.87 15.3
MR 10.0 Robert Suarez 75 0.71 12.7
SU 7.4 Tyler Kinley 72 1.38 13.0
CL 10.0 Raisel Iglesias 67 0.00 8.7
LR 10.0 Didier Fuentes 63 5.00 9.0
MR 10.0 Joel Payamps 48 6.14 7.3
MR 9.0 Carlos Carrasco 46 0.00 1.0
MR 10.0 Osvaldo Bido 43 6.30 10.0
SU 8.7 Aaron Bummer 43 4.66 9.7
SEA Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 9.0 Jose A. Ferrer 75 1.93 14.0
MR 9.0 Eduard Bazardo 71 1.29 14.0
SU 10.0 Matt Brash 71 0.00 11.3
MR 9.0 Casey Legumina 71 4.63 11.7
SU 10.0 Gabe Speier 63 2.31 11.7
CL 8.4 Andrés Muñoz 60 6.55 11.0
MR 10.0 Cole Wilcox 60 6.35 11.3
MR 10.0 Cooper Criswell 56 2.57 14.0
MR 10.0 Alex Hoppe 50 16.20 1.7
BOS
at
DET
Sonny Gray vs Jack Flaherty · Comerica Park · 6:40 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: DET
BOS
4.3
41%
ML +142
TOTAL
9.3
4–15
DET
5.0
59%
ML -142
FANDUEL
ML BOS -102 / DET -116
RL -1.5 (+152) / +1.5 (-184)
Total 8.5 (O -108 / U -112)
BOS 41%
59% DET
Park1.03 Weather0.99 RL Home −1.543% RL Away +1.557% F5 Total5.2
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.572%O762%O7.562%O854%O8.554%O943%O9.543%O1036%O10.536%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 5.25
O3.5: 67%O4: 54%O4.5: 54%O5: 42%
Starters
BOS Starter
Sonny Gray
ERA4.44
IP22.3
K13
WHIP1.35
DET Starter
Jack Flaherty
ERA6.20
IP27.6
K32
WHIP1.88
Bullpens
BOS Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 8.4 Aroldis Chapman 67 1.04 8.7
MR 10.0 Tyler Samaniego 64 0.00 8.3
SU 7.4 Garrett Whitlock 62 2.70 10.0
MR 10.0 Zack Kelly 62 3.48 10.3
MR 10.0 Jovani Morán 59 2.25 16.0
MR 10.0 Justin Slaten 57 0.00 3.3
MR 10.0 Greg Weissert 54 3.86 11.7
MR 10.0 Danny Coulombe 53 6.14 7.3
MR 10.0 Ryan Watson 51 6.62 17.7
DET Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Brant Hurter 65 1.98 13.7
SU 10.0 Will Vest 63 6.17 11.7
MR 7.0 Enmanuel De Jesus 61 10.13 8.0
MR 10.0 Burch Smith 61 1.69 5.3
MR 10.0 Kyle Finnegan 58 0.66 13.7
MR 10.0 Connor Seabold 53 4.09 11.0
MR 10.0 Drew Anderson 53 6.60 15.0
MR 10.0 Brenan Hanifee 50 0.00 1.0
CL 8.4 Kenley Jansen 50 3.68 7.3
MR 8.0 Tyler Holton 48 5.54 13.0
ATH
at
PHI
Jeffrey Springs vs Zack Wheeler · Citizens Bank Park · 6:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: PHI
ATH
3.9
44%
ML +127
TOTAL
8.2
3–13
PHI
4.3
56%
ML -127
FANDUEL
ML ATH +144 / PHI -172
RL +1.5 (-144) / -1.5 (+120)
Total 8.5 (O -104 / U -118)
ATH 44%
56% PHI
Park1.04 Weather0.99 RL Home −1.539% RL Away +1.561% F5 Total4.1
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.563%O751%O7.551%O843%O8.543%O932%O9.532%O1026%O10.526%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.09
O3.5: 52%O4: 38%O4.5: 38%O5: 27%
Starters
ATH Starter
Jeffrey Springs
ERA4.01
IP38.2
K35
WHIP1.10
PHI Starter
Zack Wheeler
ERA2.45
IP11.0
K14
WHIP1.00
Bullpens
ATH Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Jack Perkins 75 2.92 12.3
SU 10.0 Justin Sterner 68 4.02 15.7
CL 10.0 Joel Kuhnel 64 2.16 8.3
MR 10.0 Mark Leiter Jr. 60 6.39 12.7
MR 10.0 Brady Basso 59 0.00 0.7
MR 10.0 Luis Medina 59 2.70 10.0
SU 10.0 Scott Barlow 54 3.38 13.3
MR 10.0 Elvis Alvarado 53 8.38 9.7
SU 10.0 Hogan Harris 51 2.65 17.0
MR 10.0 Michael Kelly 46 6.23 4.3
PHI Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 José Alvarado 67 7.45 9.7
MR 10.0 Tim Mayza 64 3.94 16.0
MR 10.0 Jonathan Bowlan 64 3.86 7.0
MR 10.0 Zach Pop 62 3.68 7.3
MR 10.0 Kyle Backhus 58 4.66 9.7
MR 9.0 Tanner Banks 57 7.20 10.0
MR 10.0 Chase Shugart 57 1.17 7.7
SU 8.7 Brad Keller 57 3.86 11.7
MR 10.0 Orion Kerkering 54 2.70 10.0
CL 10.0 Jhoan Duran 50 1.35 6.7
BAL
at
MIA
Brandon Young vs Eury Pérez · loanDepot park · 6:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: MIA
BAL
4.4
46%
ML +117
TOTAL
9.0
4–15
MIA
4.6
54%
ML -117
FANDUEL
ML BAL +110 / MIA -130
RL +1.5 (-188) / -1.5 (+155)
Total 8.5 (O -115 / U -105)
BAL 46%
54% MIA
Park0.94 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.538% RL Away +1.562% F5 Total5.2
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.570%O758%O7.558%O851%O8.551%O940%O9.540%O1033%O10.533%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 5.15
O3.5: 65%O4: 52%O4.5: 52%O5: 40%
Starters
BAL Starter
Brandon Young
ERA6.34
IP14.2
K9
WHIP1.69
MIA Starter
Eury Pérez
ERA4.49
IP36.1
K39
WHIP1.39
Bullpens
BAL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Rico Garcia 71 0.68 13.3
MR 10.0 Grant Wolfram 70 4.50 10.0
MR 10.0 Anthony Nunez 70 2.51 14.3
CL 10.0 Ryan Helsley 70 2.53 10.7
SU 10.0 Tyler Wells 69 3.38 16.0
MR 10.0 Yennier Cano 64 1.86 9.7
MR 10.0 Keegan Akin 57 54.00 1.0
MR 10.0 Cameron Foster 57 6.35 5.7
MR 10.0 Andrew Kittredge 56 0.00 3.0
LR 10.0 Albert Suárez 42 3.46 13.0
MIA Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Anthony Bender 68 5.25 12.0
MR 10.0 Tyler Phillips 68 1.47 18.3
MR 10.0 Michael Petersen 65 3.65 12.3
MR 9.0 John King 65 0.71 12.7
MR 10.0 Ryan Gusto 64 0.00 1.0
MR 9.0 Calvin Faucher 63 5.40 10.0
CL 10.0 Pete Fairbanks 63 10.00 9.0
MR 8.0 Lake Bachar 59 3.29 13.7
SU 10.0 Andrew Nardi 48 7.20 10.0
MIN
at
WSH
Bailey Ober vs Miles Mikolas · Nationals Park · 6:45 PM ET
TOSS-UP: MIN
MIN
5.6
58%
ML -137
TOTAL
10.2
5–16
WSH
4.6
42%
ML +137
FANDUEL
ML MIN -136 / WSH +116
RL -1.5 (+120) / +1.5 (-144)
Total 9.5 (O -105 / U -115)
MIN 58%
42% WSH
Park1.08 Weather0.94 RL Home −1.529% RL Away +1.571% F5 Total5.7
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.579%O769%O7.569%O861%O8.561%O951%O9.551%O1044%O10.544%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 5.71
O3.5: 71%O4: 59%O4.5: 59%O5: 47%
Starters
MIN Starter
Bailey Ober
ERA3.62
IP37.3
K29
WHIP1.15
WSH Starter
Miles Mikolas
ERA8.52
IP26.4
K19
WHIP1.78
Bullpens
MIN Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Eric Orze 72 3.09 11.7
MR 10.0 Anthony Banda 65 8.74 11.3
MR 10.0 Garrett Acton 63 2.70 6.7
MR 10.0 Cody Laweryson 63 4.26 6.3
LR 10.0 Andrew Morris 62 7.20 10.0
MR 10.0 Luis García 61 18.00 1.0
MR 10.0 Taylor Rogers 61 6.52 9.7
MR 10.0 Justin Topa 60 3.55 12.7
MR 10.0 Cole Sands 56 4.63 11.7
SU 10.0 Kody Funderburk 51 2.31 11.7
WSH Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 10.0 Gus Varland 68 3.18 11.3
MR 10.0 Brad Lord 65 3.74 21.7
MR 10.0 Mitchell Parker 60 5.40 8.3
MR 10.0 Richard Lovelady 58 1.59 5.7
MR 10.0 Paxton Schultz 56 4.00 9.0
MR 10.0 Cole Henry 54 6.43 7.0
MR 10.0 Julian Fernández 48 2.25 4.0
MR 10.0 ID:683000 47 9.00 2.0
MR 10.0 Clayton Beeter 45 3.48 10.3
SU 10.0 Cionel Pérez 43 7.62 13.0
TEX
at
NYY
Nathan Eovaldi vs Will Warren · Yankee Stadium · 7:05 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: NYY
TEX
3.7
35%
ML +186
TOTAL
8.7
4–14
NYY
5.0
65%
ML -186
FANDUEL
ML TEX +168 / NYY -200
RL +1.5 (-120) / -1.5 (+100)
Total 8.5 (O -115 / U -105)
TEX 35%
65% NYY
Park0.99 Weather0.98 RL Home −1.550% RL Away +1.550% F5 Total4.7
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.567%O756%O7.556%O848%O8.548%O937%O9.537%O1030%O10.530%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.73
O3.5: 60%O4: 47%O4.5: 47%O5: 35%
Starters
TEX Starter
Nathan Eovaldi
ERA4.82
IP39.2
K39
WHIP1.35
NYY Starter
Will Warren
ERA2.51
IP35.8
K46
WHIP1.12
Bullpens
TEX Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Tyler Alexander 78 0.63 14.3
MR 10.0 Jacob Latz 72 1.23 14.7
CL 10.0 Jakob Junis 69 1.88 14.3
SU 10.0 Jalen Beeks 62 2.08 13.0
MR 10.0 Gavin Collyer 56 0.00 5.3
LR 10.0 Cal Quantrill 56 6.43 7.0
MR 10.0 Robert Garcia 55 3.38 8.0
SU 10.0 Cole Winn 53 4.85 13.0
MR 10.0 ID:682608 52 0.00 4.0
MR 10.0 Chris Martin 50 7.11 6.3
NYY Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Brent Headrick 76 1.93 14.0
CL 10.0 David Bednar 75 3.55 12.7
MR 9.0 Paul Blackburn 68 4.09 11.0
MR 10.0 Jake Bird 63 6.75 8.0
SU 8.7 Tim Hill 60 1.50 12.0
MR 10.0 Ryan Yarbrough 59 4.09 11.0
SU 10.0 Fernando Cruz 52 3.60 10.0
MR 10.0 Camilo Doval 50 6.97 10.3
MR 10.0 Angel Chivilli 45 3.86 2.3
CIN
at
CHC
Brady Singer vs Colin Rea · Wrigley Field · 7:40 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: CHC
CIN
3.9
40%
ML +151
TOTAL
8.6
4–14
CHC
4.7
60%
ML -151
FANDUEL
ML CIN +142 / CHC -168
RL +1.5 (-150) / -1.5 (+125)
Total 8.0 (O -115 / U -105)
CIN 40%
60% CHC
Park0.95 Weather0.96 RL Home −1.544% RL Away +1.556% F5 Total4.8
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.567%O756%O7.556%O847%O8.547%O937%O9.537%O1030%O10.530%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.82
O3.5: 62%O4: 48%O4.5: 48%O5: 36%
Starters
CIN Starter
Brady Singer
ERA5.73
IP31.4
K20
WHIP1.78
CHC Starter
Colin Rea
ERA4.57
IP31.5
K30
WHIP1.37
Bullpens
CIN Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Brock Burke 79 0.63 14.3
SU 7.4 Graham Ashcraft 74 1.20 15.0
MR 10.0 Pierce Johnson 62 3.75 12.0
MR 10.0 Connor Phillips 58 2.16 16.7
MR 10.0 Sam Moll 58 2.19 12.3
SU 10.0 Tony Santillan 56 2.13 12.7
CL 8.4 Emilio Pagán 52 4.38 12.3
MR 10.0 Jose Franco 47 4.70 7.7
MR 10.0 Kyle Nicolas 37 8.59 7.3
CHC Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
LR 8.6 Ben Brown 83 2.14 21.0
MR 10.0 Riley Martin 62 2.16 8.3
MR 10.0 Daniel Palencia 59 0.00 5.0
MR 10.0 Corbin Martin 56 0.00 4.0
MR 9.0 Hoby Milner 52 2.45 14.7
CL 10.0 Caleb Thielbar 50 3.12 8.7
MR 10.0 Phil Maton 50 14.40 5.0
MR 10.0 ID:605441 50 0.00 1.7
LR 10.0 ID:656212 50 9.00 3.0
MR 10.0 Jacob Webb 44 5.06 10.7
CLE
at
KC
Joey Cantillo vs Cole Ragans · Kauffman Stadium · 7:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: CLE
CLE
3.9
54%
ML -117
TOTAL
7.2
3–12
KC
3.3
46%
ML +117
FANDUEL
ML CLE +116 / KC -134
RL +1.5 (-192) / -1.5 (+158)
Total 7.5 (O -112 / U -108)
CLE 54%
46% KC
Park0.83 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.528% RL Away +1.572% F5 Total3.9
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.553%O741%O7.541%O833%O8.533%O924%O9.524%O1019%O10.519%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 3.91
O3.5: 49%O4: 37%O4.5: 37%O5: 25%
Starters
CLE Starter
Joey Cantillo
ERA3.85
IP32.7
K36
WHIP1.47
KC Starter
Cole Ragans
ERA5.45
IP31.4
K41
WHIP1.50
Bullpens
CLE Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Erik Sabrowski 74 2.70 13.3
CL 10.0 Cade Smith 70 4.15 13.0
MR 8.0 Matt Festa 66 5.27 13.7
MR 8.0 Peyton Pallette 62 3.55 12.7
MR 10.0 Tim Herrin 57 0.00 8.3
MR 10.0 ID:670059 54 2.84 6.3
MR 8.0 Connor Brogdon 52 5.25 12.0
MR 10.0 Shawn Armstrong 52 4.22 10.7
MR 10.0 Kolby Allard 51 10.38 8.7
MR 10.0 Hunter Gaddis 47 6.75 5.3
KC Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Daniel Lynch IV 73 0.79 11.3
MR 10.0 Nick Mears 65 2.45 11.0
CL 10.0 Lucas Erceg 60 4.38 12.3
MR 10.0 Mason Black 57 0.00 3.7
MR 10.0 Alex Lange 57 7.71 11.7
SU 10.0 Matt Strahm 54 4.22 10.7
MR 10.0 Eli Morgan 48 2.61 10.3
MR 10.0 John Schreiber 43 4.50 10.0
MR 10.0 Steven Cruz 40 14.40 5.0
NYM
at
COL
Freddy Peralta vs Michael Lorenzen · Coors Field · 9:20 PM ET
TOSS-UP: NYM
NYM
6.2
53%
ML -111
TOTAL
12.0
6–19
COL
5.7
47%
ML +111
FANDUEL
ML NYM -166 / COL +140
RL -1.5 (-108) / +1.5 (-111)
Total 9.5 (O -114 / U -106)
NYM 53%
47% COL
Park1.29 Weather0.97 RL Home −1.535% RL Away +1.565% F5 Total6.8
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.587%O780%O7.580%O874%O8.574%O965%O9.565%O1058%O10.558%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 6.76
O3.5: 80%O4: 70%O4.5: 70%O5: 59%
Starters
NYM Starter
Freddy Peralta
ERA3.68
IP36.7
K42
WHIP1.25
COL Starter
Michael Lorenzen
ERA6.35
IP32.6
K24
WHIP1.84
Bullpens
NYM Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Tobias Myers 74 2.33 19.3
LR 10.0 Sean Manaea 69 4.66 19.3
MR 9.0 Huascar Brazobán 68 1.35 13.3
MR 10.0 Brooks Raley 61 1.86 9.7
MR 10.0 Luis García 61 7.11 6.3
MR 9.0 Craig Kimbrel 61 5.06 5.3
CL 10.0 Devin Williams 60 9.00 8.0
MR 10.0 Luke Weaver 58 4.91 11.0
MR 10.0 Richard Lovelady 58 3.68 7.3
LR 10.0 Carl Edwards Jr. 55 0.00 3.3
COL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
LR 10.0 Chase Dollander 89 2.25 32.0
LR 10.0 Antonio Senzatela 86 0.50 18.0
MR 10.0 Jimmy Herget 74 1.50 12.0
MR 9.0 Brennan Bernardino 71 0.82 11.0
MR 8.0 Juan Mejia 67 5.40 13.3
MR 10.0 Zach Agnos 64 5.71 17.3
SU 8.7 Jaden Hill 57 3.18 11.3
MR 10.0 Seth Halvorsen 52 0.00 2.0
CL 10.0 Victor Vodnik 51 6.94 11.7
LR 10.0 Tanner Gordon 42 7.36 11.0
PIT
at
AZ
Paul Skenes vs Michael Soroka · Chase Field · 9:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: AZ
PIT
4.2
47%
ML +111
TOTAL
8.5
4–14
AZ
4.3
53%
ML -111
FANDUEL
ML PIT -132 / AZ +112
RL -1.5 (+130) / +1.5 (-160)
Total 8.0 (O -105 / U -115)
PIT 47%
53% AZ
Park1.07 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.536% RL Away +1.564% F5 Total4.4
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.566%O754%O7.554%O846%O8.546%O936%O9.536%O1029%O10.529%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.40
O3.5: 56%O4: 43%O4.5: 43%O5: 31%
Starters
PIT Starter
Paul Skenes
ERA3.24
IP33.3
K39
WHIP0.87
AZ Starter
Michael Soroka
ERA4.77
IP30.2
K36
WHIP1.46
Bullpens
PIT Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Gregory Soto 75 1.84 14.7
SU 10.0 Mason Montgomery 74 3.65 12.3
SU 10.0 Isaac Mattson 73 1.13 16.0
MR 10.0 Yohan Ramírez 72 2.04 17.7
MR 10.0 Evan Sisk 68 2.00 9.0
MR 10.0 Justin Lawrence 56 5.14 14.0
MR 10.0 Cam Sanders 55 12.00 3.0
MR 10.0 José Urquidy 54 8.53 6.3
LR 10.0 Wilber Dotel 50 1.35 6.7
CL 10.0 Dennis Santana 50 3.29 13.7
AZ Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Juan Morillo 72 1.98 13.7
MR 10.0 Kevin Ginkel 71 4.38 12.3
SU 10.0 Jonathan Loáisiga 70 3.29 13.7
SU 10.0 Taylor Clarke 67 3.07 14.7
MR 10.0 Taylor Rashi 50 9.82 3.7
SU 10.0 Ryan Thompson 49 3.97 11.3
CL 10.0 Paul Sewald 49 4.50 10.0
MR 10.0 Andrew Hoffmann 42 7.71 11.7
The Editor's Plays

On Today's Slate

Best Bets

Brewers @ Cardinals
Cardinals F5 ML +100
Padres @ Giants
Padres ML -103
Red Sox @ Tigers
Over 8.5 -106
Twins @ Nationals
Twins ML -122

Value Plays

Guardians @ Royals
Guardians ML +128
Mets @ Rockies
Mets -1.5 +110