Vol. 1 · No. 118 Est. 2026

MLBjohannes

A daily register of Monte Carlo model projections and plays for the U.S. Mint.

TUESDAY · APRIL 28 · 2026
Games
15
Sims / Game
10000
Model
sim_v2a4_johannes
Picks
5
The Board

Today's Projections

TB
at
CLE
Nick Martinez vs Tanner Bibee · Progressive Field · 6:10 PM ET
TOSS-UP: CLE
TB
3.8
48%
ML +107
TOTAL
7.6
3–13
CLE
3.8
52%
ML -107
FANDUEL
ML TB +112 / CLE -132
RL +1.5 (-188) / -1.5 (+155)
Total 7.5 (O -112 / U -108)
TB 48%
52% CLE
Park0.87 Weather0.97 RL Home −1.535% RL Away +1.565% F5 Total4.2
TB Bryan Baker (CL:0.0) · CLE Erik Sabrowski (SE:4.8)
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.557%O746%O7.546%O838%O8.538%O928%O9.528%O1022%O10.522%
F5 total mean: 4.18
O3.5: 52%O4: 40%O4.5: 40%O5: 29%
TB Starter
Nick Martinez
ERA2.15
IP29.3
K20
WHIP1.13
CLE Starter
Tanner Bibee
ERA4.59
IP29.4
K26
WHIP1.50
TB Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
LR 7.9 Jesse Scholtens 73 2.93 15.3
SU 7.4 Ian Seymour 69 7.71 11.7
MR 10.0 Kevin Kelly 61 5.23 10.3
CL 0.0 Bryan Baker 59 4.32 8.3
MR 8.0 Cole Sulser 58 4.05 13.3
LR 10.0 Trevor Martin 50 3.86 2.3
SU 10.0 Hunter Bigge 43 5.14 7.0
MR 10.0 Mason Englert 41 7.11 12.7
MR 7.0 Griffin Jax 38 8.00 9.0
MR 10.0 Yoendrys Gómez 28 7.04 15.3
CLE Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 4.8 Erik Sabrowski 72 3.09 11.7
CL 10.0 Cade Smith 69 4.50 12.0
MR 10.0 Peyton Pallette 62 3.38 10.7
MR 9.0 Matt Festa 60 5.84 12.3
MR 9.0 Tim Herrin 54 0.00 5.7
MR 8.0 Hunter Gaddis 53 4.50 4.0
MR 10.0 Shawn Armstrong 52 4.22 10.7
MR 10.0 Kolby Allard 51 10.38 8.7
MR 10.0 Connor Brogdon 47 6.52 9.7
HOU
at
BAL
Kai-Wei Teng vs Shane Baz · Oriole Park at Camden Yards · 6:35 PM ET
TOSS-UP: HOU
HOU
4.5
50%
ML -101
TOTAL
8.8
4–15
BAL
4.2
50%
ML +101
FANDUEL
ML HOU +116 / BAL -136
RL +1.5 (-164) / -1.5 (+136)
Total 9.0 (O -110 / U -110)
HOU 50%
50% BAL
Park1.03 Weather0.95 RL Home −1.535% RL Away +1.565% F5 Total4.8
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.568%O756%O7.556%O848%O8.548%O938%O9.538%O1031%O10.531%
F5 total mean: 4.77
O3.5: 60%O4: 47%O4.5: 47%O5: 36%
HOU Starter
Kai-Wei Teng
ERA2.55
IP14.1
K16
WHIP1.06
BAL Starter
Shane Baz
ERA5.26
IP27.4
K23
WHIP1.61
HOU Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 9.0 Bryan King 70 4.22 10.7
MR 10.0 Kai-Wei Teng 65 1.65 16.3
MR 10.0 Steven Okert 60 3.00 12.0
CL 6.8 Enyel De Los Santos 59 3.86 9.3
MR 10.0 Jayden Murray 54 4.50 4.0
MR 10.0 AJ Blubaugh 49 6.19 16.0
MR 10.0 Christian Roa 48 5.19 8.7
LR 10.0 Colton Gordon 40 8.59 7.3
LR 10.0 Ryan Weiss 36 6.50 18.0
MR 10.0 Bryan Abreu 35 14.73 7.3
BAL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 9.0 Grant Wolfram 70 2.70 10.0
CL 10.0 Ryan Helsley 68 2.79 9.7
SU 8.7 Rico Garcia 67 0.75 12.0
SU 10.0 Tyler Wells 66 3.68 14.7
MR 9.0 Anthony Nunez 65 1.46 12.3
MR 9.0 Yennier Cano 62 2.16 8.3
MR 10.0 Cameron Foster 55 9.82 3.7
LR 10.0 Albert Suárez 40 5.00 9.0
COL
at
CIN
Kyle Freeland vs Chase Burns · Great American Ball Park · 6:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: CIN
COL
3.7
48%
ML +110
TOTAL
7.5
3–13
CIN
3.8
52%
ML -110
FANDUEL
ML COL +166 / CIN -198
RL +1.5 (-128) / -1.5 (+106)
Total 8.5 (O -124 / U +102)
COL 48%
52% CIN
Park0.96 Weather0.95 RL Home −1.536% RL Away +1.564% F5 Total4.0
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.556%O744%O7.544%O836%O8.536%O927%O9.527%O1021%O10.521%
F5 total mean: 3.97
O3.5: 50%O4: 37%O4.5: 37%O5: 26%
COL Starter
Kyle Freeland
ERA2.37
IP15.2
K13
WHIP1.12
CIN Starter
Chase Burns
ERA2.64
IP27.3
K30
WHIP1.10
COL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
LR 7.9 Chase Dollander 86 2.88 25.0
LR 10.0 Antonio Senzatela 83 0.55 16.3
MR 10.0 Jimmy Herget 74 1.50 12.0
MR 10.0 Brennan Bernardino 70 0.87 10.3
MR 9.0 Zach Agnos 65 6.08 13.3
MR 7.0 Juan Mejia 58 6.30 10.0
SU 7.4 Jaden Hill 56 1.80 10.0
CL 8.4 Victor Vodnik 54 3.60 10.0
LR 10.0 Tanner Gordon 42 6.75 8.0
LR 10.0 Valente Bellozo 29 7.59 10.7
CIN Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 8.0 Brock Burke 73 0.79 11.3
SU 10.0 Graham Ashcraft 72 1.50 12.0
SU 10.0 Tony Santillan 68 0.00 10.7
MR 9.0 Pierce Johnson 67 2.61 10.3
MR 9.0 Sam Moll 63 1.64 11.0
MR 10.0 Connor Phillips 56 2.25 16.0
MR 7.0 Jose Franco 53 3.18 5.7
CL 10.0 Emilio Pagán 51 4.76 11.3
MR 10.0 Kyle Nicolas 41 9.95 6.3
STL
at
PIT
Kyle Leahy vs Braxton Ashcraft · PNC Park · 6:40 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: PIT
STL
3.1
36%
ML +177
TOTAL
7.5
3–13
PIT
4.3
64%
ML -177
FANDUEL
ML STL +134 / PIT -158
RL +1.5 (-164) / -1.5 (+136)
Total 8.5 (O +100 / U -122)
STL 36%
64% PIT
Park0.83 Weather1.02 RL Home −1.547% RL Away +1.553% F5 Total4.1
PIT Isaac Mattson (SE:3.5) · PIT Mason Montgomery (SE:3.5) · PIT Dennis Santana (CL:3.6)
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.556%O744%O7.544%O836%O8.536%O927%O9.527%O1021%O10.521%
F5 total mean: 4.09
O3.5: 51%O4: 39%O4.5: 39%O5: 27%
STL Starter
Kyle Leahy
ERA5.62
IP24.0
K15
WHIP1.67
PIT Starter
Braxton Ashcraft
ERA2.47
IP29.2
K32
WHIP1.03
STL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Gordon Graceffo 62 0.77 11.7
SU 7.4 JoJo Romero 58 2.25 12.0
MR 6.0 Ryan Fernandez 57 2.45 3.7
SU 7.4 Ryne Stanek 54 9.00 10.0
MR 2.0 George Soriano 54 4.66 9.7
MR 10.0 Jared Shuster 52 4.91 3.7
SU 10.0 Justin Bruihl 52 5.84 12.3
CL 10.0 Riley O'Brien 50 0.00 13.3
MR 9.0 Matt Svanson 37 11.08 13.0
PIT Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 7.4 Gregory Soto 71 2.13 12.7
SU 3.5 Isaac Mattson 70 1.32 13.7
SU 3.5 Mason Montgomery 68 4.82 9.3
CL 3.6 Dennis Santana 68 0.75 12.0
MR 10.0 Yohan Ramírez 66 2.30 15.7
MR 3.0 Evan Sisk 60 3.60 5.0
MR 10.0 José Urquidy 54 8.53 6.3
MR 6.0 Justin Lawrence 50 6.55 11.0
MR 2.0 Wilber Dotel 45 3.38 2.7
MR 10.0 Hunter Barco 36 6.43 7.0
SF
at
PHI
Tyler Mahle vs Jesús Luzardo · Citizens Bank Park · 6:40 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: PHI
SF
4.1
40%
ML +149
TOTAL
9.0
4–15
PHI
4.9
60%
ML -149
FANDUEL
ML SF +142 / PHI -168
RL +1.5 (-146) / -1.5 (+122)
Total 8.0 (O -112 / U -108)
SF 40%
60% PHI
Park1.04 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.544% RL Away +1.556% F5 Total5.1
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.570%O758%O7.558%O850%O8.550%O940%O9.540%O1033%O10.533%
F5 total mean: 5.07
O3.5: 64%O4: 51%O4.5: 51%O5: 39%
SF Starter
Tyler Mahle
ERA5.36
IP25.2
K26
WHIP1.63
PHI Starter
Jesús Luzardo
ERA7.35
IP25.7
K33
WHIP1.63
SF Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Keaton Winn 69 2.79 9.7
MR 9.0 Erik Miller 66 4.50 8.0
MR 10.0 Caleb Kilian 63 0.82 11.0
CL 10.0 Ryan Walker 60 3.27 11.0
MR 10.0 Blade Tidwell 58 2.25 8.0
MR 10.0 Matt Gage 55 1.80 10.0
MR 10.0 JT Brubaker 53 2.38 11.3
MR 10.0 Ryan Borucki 51 5.87 7.7
PHI Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 José Alvarado 65 9.82 7.3
MR 10.0 Jonathan Bowlan 64 3.86 7.0
MR 10.0 Zach Pop 62 3.68 7.3
SU 10.0 Brad Keller 60 3.86 9.3
MR 9.0 Tim Mayza 58 4.85 13.0
MR 10.0 Tanner Banks 58 5.59 9.7
MR 10.0 Kyle Backhus 55 5.87 7.7
MR 10.0 Chase Shugart 53 1.59 5.7
CL 10.0 Jhoan Duran 50 1.35 6.7
MR 10.0 Orion Kerkering 49 4.05 6.7
BOS
at
TOR
Payton Tolle vs Trey Yesavage · Rogers Centre · 7:07 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: TOR
BOS
4.0
38%
ML +166
TOTAL
8.9
4–15
TOR
5.0
62%
ML -166
FANDUEL
ML BOS -102 / TOR -116
RL -1.5 (+168) / +1.5 (-205)
Total 7.5 (O -115 / U -105)
BOS 38%
62% TOR
Park1.05 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.546% RL Away +1.554% F5 Total5.0
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.569%O758%O7.558%O850%O8.550%O940%O9.540%O1033%O10.533%
F5 total mean: 5.00
O3.5: 64%O4: 50%O4.5: 50%O5: 38%
BOS Starter
Payton Tolle
ERA1.50
IP6.0
K11
WHIP0.67
TOR Starter
Trey Yesavage
AAA 2026
IP6.7
K7
WHIP2.10
BOS Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 10.0 Aroldis Chapman 64 1.17 7.7
MR 10.0 Jovani Morán 64 2.03 13.3
MR 9.0 Garrett Whitlock 60 2.00 9.0
MR 10.0 Zack Kelly 60 4.00 9.0
MR 10.0 Tyler Samaniego 58 0.00 5.3
MR 10.0 Justin Slaten 57 0.00 3.3
MR 8.0 Greg Weissert 50 4.82 9.3
MR 10.0 Danny Coulombe 47 3.18 5.7
MR 10.0 Ryan Watson 39 8.10 13.3
TOR Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 8.0 Louis Varland 76 0.00 13.0
SU 8.7 Braydon Fisher 70 2.08 13.0
CL 6.8 Jeff Hoffman 67 7.59 10.7
SU 8.7 Tyler Rogers 65 0.73 12.3
MR 8.0 Joe Mantiply 62 4.50 8.0
MR 10.0 Mason Fluharty 61 6.23 8.7
MR 8.0 Tommy Nance 60 7.20 10.0
MR 10.0 Spencer Miles 55 3.09 11.7
LR 10.0 Josh Fleming 44 12.00 3.0
WSH
at
NYM
Zack Littell vs Clay Holmes · Citi Field · 7:10 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: NYM
WSH
4.5
39%
ML +158
TOTAL
9.8
5–16
NYM
5.4
61%
ML -158
FANDUEL
ML WSH +158 / NYM -188
RL +1.5 (-146) / -1.5 (+122)
Total 7.5 (O -122 / U +100)
WSH 39%
61% NYM
Park1.01 Weather0.98 RL Home −1.546% RL Away +1.554% F5 Total5.6
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.577%O767%O7.567%O860%O8.560%O949%O9.549%O1041%O10.541%
F5 total mean: 5.64
O3.5: 71%O4: 58%O4.5: 58%O5: 47%
WSH Starter
Zack Littell
ERA7.56
IP25.0
K15
WHIP1.68
NYM Starter
Clay Holmes
ERA2.15
IP29.3
K19
WHIP1.06
WSH Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 9.0 Gus Varland 62 3.86 9.3
LR 10.0 Brad Lord 60 4.42 18.3
LR 10.0 Mitchell Parker 58 3.86 7.0
MR 9.0 Richard Lovelady 57 2.25 4.0
MR 10.0 Cole Henry 54 6.43 7.0
MR 10.0 Julian Fernández 50 9.00 2.0
CL 10.0 Clayton Beeter 45 3.48 10.3
SU 10.0 Cionel Pérez 44 8.25 12.0
MR 10.0 Andre Granillo 41 12.46 4.3
MR 10.0 PJ Poulin 39 4.97 12.7
NYM Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 7.0 Huascar Brazobán 71 0.00 10.7
MR 10.0 Tobias Myers 64 3.00 15.0
MR 10.0 Luis García 60 7.11 6.3
MR 9.0 Brooks Raley 59 2.08 8.7
LR 10.0 Sean Manaea 58 4.50 16.0
MR 10.0 Luke Weaver 57 5.40 10.0
MR 9.0 Richard Lovelady 57 3.68 7.3
MR 10.0 Craig Kimbrel 57 0.00 3.7
CL 8.4 Devin Williams 53 9.95 6.3
MR 8.0 Austin Warren 50 5.40 1.7
DET
at
ATL
Casey Mize vs Martín Pérez · Truist Park · 7:15 PM ET
TOSS-UP: ATL
DET
4.2
47%
ML +115
TOTAL
8.5
3–14
ATL
4.3
53%
ML -115
FANDUEL
ML DET +106 / ATL -124
RL +1.5 (-205) / -1.5 (+168)
Total 8.5 (O -122 / U +100)
DET 47%
53% ATL
Park0.99 Weather0.97 RL Home −1.538% RL Away +1.562% F5 Total4.5
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.565%O754%O7.554%O846%O8.546%O936%O9.536%O1029%O10.529%
F5 total mean: 4.55
O3.5: 58%O4: 44%O4.5: 44%O5: 33%
DET Starter
Casey Mize
ERA2.62
IP27.5
K32
WHIP1.20
ATL Starter
Martín Pérez
ERA2.73
IP23.1
K14
WHIP0.95
DET Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Will Vest 68 5.40 10.0
MR 10.0 Enmanuel De Jesus 61 10.13 8.0
MR 10.0 Connor Seabold 56 4.22 10.7
MR 9.0 Kyle Finnegan 56 0.00 11.0
MR 9.0 Brant Hurter 56 3.00 9.0
CL 10.0 Kenley Jansen 55 1.35 6.7
MR 10.0 Tyler Holton 55 3.27 11.0
MR 10.0 Drew Anderson 49 7.94 11.3
ATL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
LR 10.0 José Suarez 72 5.02 14.3
SU 10.0 Dylan Lee 72 0.82 11.0
SU 8.7 Robert Suarez 71 0.84 10.7
MR 10.0 Tyler Kinley 68 0.82 11.0
CL 10.0 Raisel Iglesias 67 0.00 8.7
MR 8.0 Aaron Bummer 53 4.05 6.7
MR 9.0 Joel Payamps 44 8.44 5.3
MR 2.0 Osvaldo Bido 44 6.30 10.0
SEA
at
MIN
Logan Gilbert vs Joe Ryan · Target Field · 7:40 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: MIN
SEA
3.7
40%
ML +150
TOTAL
8.1
3–13
MIN
4.4
60%
ML -150
FANDUEL
ML SEA -126 / MIN +108
RL -1.5 (+142) / +1.5 (-172)
Total 7.5 (O -105 / U -115)
SEA 40%
60% MIN
Park1.06 Weather0.97 RL Home −1.543% RL Away +1.557% F5 Total4.2
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.562%O750%O7.550%O842%O8.542%O932%O9.532%O1026%O10.526%
F5 total mean: 4.19
O3.5: 54%O4: 40%O4.5: 40%O5: 28%
SEA Starter
Logan Gilbert
ERA4.46
IP32.3
K35
WHIP1.30
MIN Starter
Joe Ryan
ERA3.93
IP32.1
K33
WHIP1.03
SEA Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 9.0 Jose A. Ferrer 72 2.45 11.0
MR 10.0 Casey Legumina 71 4.63 11.7
MR 9.0 Eduard Bazardo 66 1.74 10.3
MR 10.0 Matt Brash 64 0.00 8.3
MR 9.0 Gabe Speier 61 2.79 9.7
MR 2.0 Cole Wilcox 60 6.30 10.0
CL 10.0 Andrés Muñoz 56 8.00 9.0
MR 10.0 Cooper Criswell 54 1.64 11.0
MIN Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Eric Orze 65 3.72 9.7
MR 10.0 Anthony Banda 64 9.31 9.7
MR 8.0 Taylor Rogers 63 4.15 8.7
MR 10.0 Cody Laweryson 63 4.26 6.3
MR 10.0 Cole Sands 61 3.48 10.3
MR 10.0 Garrett Acton 61 1.59 5.7
MR 9.0 Justin Topa 57 3.86 11.7
MR 2.0 Andrew Morris 57 8.31 4.3
SU 7.4 Kody Funderburk 51 2.00 9.0
MR 10.0 Kendry Rojas 47 0.00 2.0
LAA
at
CWS
José Soriano vs Davis Martin · Rate Field · 7:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: LAA
LAA
3.8
54%
ML -115
TOTAL
7.0
3–12
CWS
3.2
46%
ML +115
FANDUEL
ML LAA -132 / CWS +112
RL -1.5 (+128) / +1.5 (-154)
Total 7.5 (O -122 / U +100)
LAA 54%
46% CWS
Park0.94 Weather0.96 RL Home −1.530% RL Away +1.570% F5 Total3.5
LAA Drew Pomeranz (SE:0.0)
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.551%O739%O7.539%O831%O8.531%O923%O9.523%O1017%O10.517%
F5 total mean: 3.47
O3.5: 43%O4: 30%O4.5: 30%O5: 20%
LAA Starter
José Soriano
ERA0.24
IP37.2
K43
WHIP0.83
CWS Starter
Davis Martin
ERA2.03
IP31.1
K26
WHIP1.03
LAA Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 8.0 Sam Bachman 72 2.63 13.7
MR 8.0 Ryan Zeferjahn 70 6.94 11.7
MR 8.0 Brent Suter 65 2.12 17.0
LR 10.0 Walbert Urena 63 2.35 7.7
CL 10.0 Jordan Romano 57 6.14 7.3
MR 10.0 Chase Silseth 56 2.89 9.3
SU 0.0 Drew Pomeranz 54 7.00 9.0
MR 10.0 Mitch Farris 48 2.08 4.3
MR 9.0 Nick Sandlin 47 12.46 4.3
MR 10.0 Shaun Anderson 46 5.52 14.7
CWS Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 9.0 Sean Newcomb 76 4.60 15.7
MR 4.0 Grant Taylor 73 3.97 11.3
MR 2.0 Bryan Hudson 68 1.69 10.7
MR 10.0 Lucas Sims 55 4.50 10.0
MR 9.0 Jordan Hicks 54 4.76 11.3
MR 10.0 Chris Murphy 48 10.50 6.0
MR 10.0 Jordan Leasure 44 4.63 11.7
MR 2.0 Osvaldo Bido 44 13.50 2.0
CL 8.4 Seranthony Domínguez 43 5.63 8.0
AZ
at
MIL
Merrill Kelly vs Chad Patrick · American Family Field · 7:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: AZ
AZ
4.2
51%
ML -106
TOTAL
8.0
3–13
MIL
3.8
49%
ML +106
FANDUEL
ML AZ -104 / MIL -112
RL -1.5 (+158) / +1.5 (-192)
Total 8.0 (O -108 / U -112)
AZ 51%
49% MIL
Park0.93 Weather1.02 RL Home −1.532% RL Away +1.568% F5 Total4.2
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.561%O749%O7.549%O841%O8.541%O931%O9.531%O1024%O10.524%
F5 total mean: 4.22
O3.5: 54%O4: 40%O4.5: 40%O5: 29%
AZ Starter
Merrill Kelly
ERA9.78
IP9.2
K8
WHIP2.39
MIL Starter
Chad Patrick
ERA2.42
IP22.3
K11
WHIP1.30
AZ Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 9.0 Kevin Ginkel 69 4.66 9.7
SU 8.7 Jonathan Loáisiga 66 3.97 11.3
SU 7.4 Juan Morillo 65 2.38 11.3
CL 10.0 Paul Sewald 60 1.93 9.3
MR 10.0 Andrew Hoffmann 51 1.74 10.3
MR 10.0 Taylor Rashi 50 9.82 3.7
SU 10.0 Taylor Clarke 50 3.55 12.7
SU 10.0 Ryan Thompson 46 4.66 9.7
MIL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 8.0 Aaron Ashby 75 2.93 15.3
SU 10.0 Grant Anderson 71 2.63 13.7
SU 8.7 Abner Uribe 68 4.00 9.0
CL 6.8 Trevor Megill 66 8.31 8.7
MR 10.0 Jake Woodford 61 5.91 10.7
MR 10.0 DL Hall 57 2.31 11.7
MR 10.0 Angel Zerpa 54 5.73 11.0
MR 10.0 Carlos Rodriguez 50 2.25 4.0
NYY
at
TEX
Cam Schlittler vs Jacob deGrom · Globe Life Field · 8:05 PM ET
TOSS-UP: NYY
NYY
3.3
56%
ML -128
TOTAL
6.0
2–11
TEX
2.7
44%
ML +128
FANDUEL
ML NYY -120 / TEX +102
RL -1.5 (+136) / +1.5 (-164)
Total 7.5 (O +100 / U -122)
NYY 56%
44% TEX
Park0.79 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.526% RL Away +1.574% F5 Total2.9
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.539%O728%O7.528%O821%O8.521%O914%O9.514%O1010%O10.510%
F5 total mean: 2.87
O3.5: 34%O4: 22%O4.5: 22%O5: 13%
NYY Starter
Cam Schlittler
ERA1.79
IP35.2
K41
WHIP0.74
TEX Starter
Jacob deGrom
ERA2.21
IP24.4
K35
WHIP1.11
NYY Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Brent Headrick 75 2.08 13.0
CL 6.8 David Bednar 69 3.72 9.7
MR 7.0 Paul Blackburn 61 4.50 8.0
MR 10.0 Jake Bird 61 7.71 7.0
MR 10.0 Fernando Cruz 59 2.45 7.3
MR 8.0 Camilo Doval 53 7.56 8.3
MR 9.0 Ryan Yarbrough 52 5.63 8.0
MR 6.0 Tim Hill 50 0.90 10.0
MR 10.0 Angel Chivilli 45 3.86 2.3
TEX Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 9.0 Tyler Alexander 77 0.68 13.3
MR 10.0 Jacob Latz 70 1.32 13.7
CL 10.0 Jakob Junis 65 2.38 11.3
MR 10.0 Jalen Beeks 61 1.80 10.0
MR 10.0 Cal Quantrill 58 6.75 4.0
SU 10.0 Cole Winn 56 4.91 11.0
MR 10.0 Robert Garcia 55 3.38 8.0
MR 4.0 Gavin Collyer 54 0.00 3.0
MR 10.0 Chris Martin 50 7.11 6.3
MR 10.0 Luis Curvelo 41 5.40 5.0
KC
at
ATH
Kris Bubic vs Aaron Civale · Sutter Health Park · 9:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: ATH
KC
4.8
49%
ML +106
TOTAL
9.5
4–15
ATH
4.7
51%
ML -106
FANDUEL
ML KC -118 / ATH +100
RL -1.5 (+138) / +1.5 (-166)
Total 9.5 (O -105 / U -115)
KC 49%
51% ATH
Park1.10 Weather0.99 RL Home −1.537% RL Away +1.563% F5 Total5.0
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O6.573%O763%O7.563%O855%O8.555%O945%O9.545%O1037%O10.537%
F5 total mean: 5.05
O3.5: 64%O4: 51%O4.5: 51%O5: 39%
KC Starter
Kris Bubic
ERA4.15
IP28.2
K29
WHIP1.13
ATH Starter
Aaron Civale
ERA4.04
IP24.5
K21
WHIP1.39
KC Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Daniel Lynch IV 68 1.00 9.0
MR 9.0 Nick Mears 62 3.12 8.7
MR 7.0 Alex Lange 58 7.59 10.7
CL 6.8 Lucas Erceg 56 5.79 9.3
MR 10.0 Mason Black 54 0.00 2.7
SU 10.0 Matt Strahm 51 5.19 8.7
MR 9.0 Eli Morgan 47 2.79 9.7
MR 10.0 Steven Cruz 40 14.40 5.0
MR 10.0 John Schreiber 39 5.63 8.0
ATH Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 8.7 Justin Sterner 70 3.46 13.0
MR 8.0 Jack Perkins 69 3.86 9.3
MR 10.0 Brady Basso 59 0.00 0.7
MR 10.0 Luis Medina 57 3.00 9.0
SU 8.7 Hogan Harris 56 2.45 14.7
MR 10.0 Mark Leiter Jr. 55 7.59 10.7
MR 10.0 Elvis Alvarado 53 8.38 9.7
CL 10.0 Joel Kuhnel 50 2.35 7.7
SU 10.0 Scott Barlow 50 4.09 11.0
MR 10.0 Michael Kelly 46 6.23 4.3
CHC
at
SD
Edward Cabrera vs Walker Buehler · Petco Park · 9:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: CHC
CHC
3.8
51%
ML -103
TOTAL
7.3
3–13
SD
3.5
49%
ML +103
FANDUEL
ML CHC -118 / SD +100
RL -1.5 (+134) / +1.5 (-162)
Total 8.5 (O +100 / U -122)
CHC 51%
49% SD
Park0.87 Weather0.96 RL Home −1.533% RL Away +1.567% F5 Total3.9
SD Mason Miller (CL:3.6)
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O6.553%O742%O7.542%O834%O8.534%O925%O9.525%O1019%O10.519%
F5 total mean: 3.91
O3.5: 49%O4: 36%O4.5: 36%O5: 25%
CHC Starter
Edward Cabrera
ERA2.77
IP29.2
K22
WHIP1.20
SD Starter
Walker Buehler
ERA6.03
IP19.4
K20
WHIP1.70
CHC Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
LR 10.0 Colin Rea 82 3.00 24.0
LR 4.4 Ben Brown 81 2.37 19.0
MR 10.0 Riley Martin 61 2.45 7.3
CL 10.0 Caleb Thielbar 60 2.08 8.7
MR 10.0 Daniel Palencia 59 0.00 5.0
MR 9.0 Hoby Milner 58 1.54 11.7
MR 10.0 Corbin Martin 53 0.00 3.0
MR 8.0 Jacob Webb 50 4.82 9.3
MR 6.0 Phil Maton 46 13.50 4.0
MR 10.0 Hunter Harvey 43 6.75 4.0
SD Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 8.0 Bradgley Rodriguez 75 0.73 12.3
MR 6.0 Adrian Morejon 73 6.17 11.7
CL 3.6 Mason Miller 73 0.00 11.3
SU 10.0 Kyle Hart 69 4.91 14.7
MR 10.0 Jeremiah Estrada 60 5.14 7.0
MR 9.0 Wandy Peralta 58 2.31 11.7
MR 9.0 David Morgan 58 2.92 12.3
MR 8.0 Ron Marinaccio 57 3.65 12.3
SU 7.4 Jason Adam 57 1.93 4.7
MIA
at
LAD
Janson Junk vs Shohei Ohtani · UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium · 10:10 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: LAD
MIA
4.0
40%
ML +149
TOTAL
8.9
4–15
LAD
4.8
60%
ML -149
FANDUEL
ML MIA +235 / LAD -290
RL +1.5 (+110) / -1.5 (-132)
Total 7.5 (O -114 / U -106)
MIA 40%
60% LAD
Park1.07 Weather0.99 RL Home −1.544% RL Away +1.556% F5 Total4.7
MIA Pete Fairbanks (CL:3.6)
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O6.569%O758%O7.558%O849%O8.549%O939%O9.539%O1032%O10.532%
F5 total mean: 4.73
O3.5: 61%O4: 47%O4.5: 47%O5: 35%
MIA Starter
Janson Junk
ERA3.76
IP26.3
K17
WHIP1.18
LAD Starter
Shohei Ohtani
ERA0.00
IP6.0
K6
WHIP0.67
MIA Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 9.0 Tyler Phillips 76 0.60 15.0
CL 3.6 Pete Fairbanks 67 7.27 8.7
MR 9.0 Anthony Bender 64 6.75 9.3
MR 10.0 Ryan Gusto 64 0.00 1.0
MR 10.0 Lake Bachar 63 3.09 11.7
MR 6.0 Michael Petersen 62 3.38 10.7
MR 9.0 John King 62 0.90 10.0
MR 4.0 Calvin Faucher 61 4.50 8.0
MR 1.0 Andrew Nardi 56 5.40 8.3
LAD Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Will Klein 69 2.79 9.7
MR 6.0 Alex Vesia 67 0.00 8.7
SU 7.4 Tanner Scott 64 0.93 9.7
MR 9.0 Jack Dreyer 62 4.35 10.3
MR 0.0 Edgardo Henriquez 56 5.14 7.0
CL 10.0 Edwin Díaz 53 10.50 6.0
SU 10.0 Blake Treinen 53 4.05 6.7
MR 10.0 Kyle Hurt 50 3.00 3.0
MR 9.0 Jake Eder 50 9.00 1.0
MR 10.0 Ben Casparius 46 9.64 4.7
The Editor's Plays

On Today's Slate

STL @ PIT
Pirates F5 -0.5 -127
BOS @ TOR
Blue Jays F5 ML -105
WSH @ NYM
Mets -1.5 +123
NYY @ TEX
Yankees F5 ML -115
CHC @ SD
Cubs ML -110