Vol. 1 · No. 119 Est. 2026

MLBjohannes

A daily register of Monte Carlo model projections and plays for the U.S. Mint.

WEDNESDAY · APRIL 29 · 2026
Games
15
Sims / Game
10000
Model
sim_v2a4_johannes
Picks
4
The Board

Today's Projections

TB
at
CLE
Drew Rasmussen vs Gavin Williams · Progressive Field · 1:10 PM ET
TOSS-UP: CLE
TB
3.1
47%
ML +113
TOTAL
6.2
2–11
CLE
3.1
53%
ML -113
FANDUEL
ML TB +1200 / CLE -4500
RL +3.5 (-200) / -3.5 (+148)
Total 4.5 (O -140 / U +106)
TB 47%
53% CLE
Park0.87 Weather0.90 RL Home −1.534% RL Away +1.566% F5 Total3.2
⚠ TB Ian Seymour (SE:2.2)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.543%O731%O7.531%O824%O8.524%O916%O9.516%O1011%O10.511%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 3.22
O3.5: 39%O4: 27%O4.5: 27%O5: 17%
Starters
TB Starter
Drew Rasmussen
ERA2.55
IP28.2
K28
WHIP0.82
CLE Starter
Gavin Williams
ERA3.05
IP38.4
K47
WHIP1.07
Bullpens
TB Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 2.2 Ian Seymour 70 6.75 13.3
CL 6.8 Bryan Baker 68 3.18 11.3
LR 10.0 Jesse Scholtens 67 3.20 19.7
MR 8.0 Cole Sulser 66 3.24 16.7
SU 8.7 Kevin Kelly 65 4.26 12.7
MR 10.0 Trevor Martin 51 6.23 4.3
SU 10.0 Hunter Bigge 46 4.50 8.0
MR 10.0 Griffin Jax 42 6.35 11.3
MR 10.0 Mason Englert 41 7.11 12.7
MR 10.0 Yoendrys Gómez 28 7.04 15.3
CLE Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 7.4 Erik Sabrowski 74 2.70 13.3
CL 10.0 Cade Smith 70 4.15 13.0
MR 10.0 Matt Festa 66 5.27 13.7
MR 8.0 Peyton Pallette 62 3.55 12.7
MR 6.0 Tim Herrin 57 0.00 8.3
MR 8.0 ID:670059 54 2.84 6.3
MR 8.0 Connor Brogdon 52 5.25 12.0
MR 10.0 Shawn Armstrong 52 4.22 10.7
MR 10.0 Kolby Allard 51 10.38 8.7
MR 9.0 Hunter Gaddis 47 6.75 5.3
LAA
at
CWS
Yusei Kikuchi vs Erick Fedde · Rate Field · 1:10 PM ET
TOSS-UP: CWS
LAA
4.3
46%
ML +116
TOTAL
8.8
4–15
CWS
4.5
54%
ML -116
FANDUEL
ML LAA +158 / CWS -205
RL —
Total 5.5 (O -118 / U -112)
LAA 46%
54% CWS
Park0.94 Weather1.05 RL Home −1.538% RL Away +1.562% F5 Total4.9
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.568%O757%O7.557%O849%O8.549%O939%O9.539%O1032%O10.532%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.86
O3.5: 62%O4: 49%O4.5: 49%O5: 37%
Starters
LAA Starter
Yusei Kikuchi
ERA5.94
IP30.3
K33
WHIP1.62
CWS Starter
Erick Fedde
ERA3.33
IP32.4
K22
WHIP1.08
Bullpens
LAA Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Ryan Zeferjahn 78 5.28 15.3
SU 10.0 Sam Bachman 63 3.52 15.3
MR 8.0 Brent Suter 59 3.32 19.0
CL 10.0 Jordan Romano 56 10.13 8.0
MR 10.0 Mitch Farris 53 2.25 8.0
MR 10.0 Nick Sandlin 52 14.29 5.7
MR 10.0 Chase Silseth 51 3.27 11.0
MR 2.0 ID:820862 50 0.00 2.7
MR 10.0 Shaun Anderson 49 5.94 16.7
MR 6.0 Joey Lucchesi 43 13.50 3.3
CWS Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 7.0 Grant Taylor 81 2.93 15.3
MR 6.0 Sean Newcomb 80 4.00 18.0
MR 10.0 Bryan Hudson 76 1.29 14.0
MR 10.0 Lucas Sims 55 4.50 10.0
MR 10.0 Jordan Hicks 54 4.26 12.7
MR 10.0 Tyler Davis 52 0.00 2.0
MR 10.0 Chris Murphy 48 10.50 6.0
CL 6.8 Seranthony Domínguez 44 4.50 12.0
MR 7.0 Osvaldo Bido 43 6.75 5.3
MR 8.0 Jordan Leasure 33 6.91 14.3
SEA
at
MIN
George Kirby vs Taj Bradley · Target Field · 1:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: MIN
SEA
4.1
44%
ML +126
TOTAL
8.5
3–14
MIN
4.4
56%
ML -126
FANDUEL
ML SEA +124 / MIN -158
RL +1.5 (-650) / -1.5 (+390)
Total 5.5 (O -140 / U +106)
SEA 44%
56% MIN
Park1.06 Weather0.95 RL Home −1.540% RL Away +1.560% F5 Total4.5
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.565%O754%O7.554%O846%O8.546%O936%O9.536%O1029%O10.529%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.51
O3.5: 58%O4: 44%O4.5: 44%O5: 32%
Starters
SEA Starter
George Kirby
ERA3.10
IP43.6
K34
WHIP1.17
MIN Starter
Taj Bradley
ERA2.74
IP39.4
K43
WHIP1.22
Bullpens
SEA Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Jose A. Ferrer 75 1.93 14.0
MR 8.0 Eduard Bazardo 71 1.29 14.0
SU 7.4 Matt Brash 71 0.00 11.3
MR 10.0 Casey Legumina 71 4.63 11.7
SU 7.4 Gabe Speier 63 2.31 11.7
CL 10.0 Andrés Muñoz 60 6.55 11.0
MR 7.0 Cole Wilcox 60 6.35 11.3
MR 8.0 Cooper Criswell 56 2.57 14.0
MR 7.0 Alex Hoppe 50 16.20 1.7
MIN Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Eric Orze 72 3.09 11.7
MR 10.0 Anthony Banda 65 8.74 11.3
MR 10.0 Garrett Acton 63 2.70 6.7
MR 10.0 Cody Laweryson 63 4.26 6.3
LR 7.9 Andrew Morris 62 7.20 10.0
MR 6.0 Luis García 61 18.00 1.0
MR 9.0 Taylor Rogers 61 6.52 9.7
MR 10.0 Justin Topa 60 3.55 12.7
MR 8.0 Cole Sands 56 4.63 11.7
SU 7.4 Kody Funderburk 51 2.31 11.7
NYY
at
TEX
Elmer Rodríguez vs Nathan Eovaldi · Globe Life Field · 2:35 PM ET
TOSS-UP: NYY
NYY
3.7
52%
ML -106
TOTAL
7.2
3–12
TEX
3.5
48%
ML +106
FANDUEL
ML NYY -106 / TEX -120
RL +1.5 (-330) / -1.5 (+230)
Total 4.5 (O +108 / U -144)
NYY 52%
48% TEX
Park0.79 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.532% RL Away +1.568% F5 Total3.9
⚠ NYY David Bednar (CL:0.0) · TEX Cole Winn (SE:4.8)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.554%O741%O7.541%O832%O8.532%O924%O9.524%O1018%O10.518%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 3.91
O3.5: 50%O4: 36%O4.5: 36%O5: 24%
Starters
NYY Starter
Elmer Rodríguez
ERA0.00
IP2.2
K2
WHIP2.27
TEX Starter
Nathan Eovaldi
ERA5.37
IP35.2
K36
WHIP1.39
Bullpens
NYY Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 8.0 Brent Headrick 76 1.93 14.0
CL 0.0 David Bednar 75 3.55 12.7
MR 10.0 Paul Blackburn 68 4.09 11.0
MR 10.0 Jake Bird 63 6.75 8.0
SU 7.4 Tim Hill 60 1.50 12.0
MR 10.0 Ryan Yarbrough 59 4.09 11.0
SU 7.4 Fernando Cruz 52 3.60 10.0
MR 9.0 Camilo Doval 50 6.97 10.3
MR 10.0 Angel Chivilli 45 3.86 2.3
TEX Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Tyler Alexander 78 0.63 14.3
MR 10.0 Jacob Latz 72 1.23 14.7
CL 6.8 Jakob Junis 69 1.88 14.3
SU 7.4 Jalen Beeks 62 2.08 13.0
MR 9.0 Gavin Collyer 56 0.00 5.3
LR 10.0 Cal Quantrill 56 6.43 7.0
MR 10.0 Robert Garcia 55 3.38 8.0
SU 4.8 Cole Winn 53 4.85 13.0
MR 7.0 ID:682608 52 0.00 4.0
MR 10.0 Chris Martin 50 7.11 6.3
BOS
at
TOR
Brayan Bello vs Eric Lauer · Rogers Centre · 3:07 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: TOR
BOS
4.7
38%
ML +165
TOTAL
10.6
5–17
TOR
5.8
62%
ML -165
FANDUEL
ML BOS +190 / TOR -250
RL +1.5 (-118) / -1.5 (-112)
Total 9.5 (O +104 / U -138)
BOS 38%
62% TOR
Park1.05 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.548% RL Away +1.552% F5 Total6.4
⚠ TOR Louis Varland (CL:0.4) · TOR Tyler Rogers (SE:2.2)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.581%O772%O7.572%O865%O8.565%O955%O9.555%O1047%O10.547%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 6.44
O3.5: 77%O4: 67%O4.5: 67%O5: 56%
Starters
BOS Starter
Brayan Bello
ERA9.57
IP20.7
K15
WHIP2.42
TOR Starter
Eric Lauer
ERA6.98
IP23.2
K20
WHIP1.59
Bullpens
BOS Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 10.0 Aroldis Chapman 67 1.04 8.7
MR 9.0 Tyler Samaniego 64 0.00 8.3
SU 10.0 Garrett Whitlock 62 2.70 10.0
MR 6.0 Zack Kelly 62 3.48 10.3
MR 10.0 Jovani Morán 59 2.25 16.0
MR 10.0 Justin Slaten 57 0.00 3.3
MR 9.0 Greg Weissert 54 3.86 11.7
MR 10.0 Danny Coulombe 53 6.14 7.3
MR 8.0 Ryan Watson 51 6.62 17.7
TOR Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 0.4 Louis Varland 82 0.56 16.0
SU 2.2 Tyler Rogers 73 0.59 15.3
MR 8.0 Jeff Hoffman 71 6.39 12.7
SU 10.0 Braydon Fisher 70 1.76 15.3
MR 9.0 Joe Mantiply 69 3.38 10.7
SU 7.4 Mason Fluharty 66 5.06 10.7
MR 9.0 Tommy Nance 64 6.00 12.0
MR 10.0 Spencer Miles 60 3.29 13.7
MR 8.0 ID:695445 50 6.75 1.3
LR 10.0 Josh Fleming 44 12.00 3.0
MIA
at
LAD
Sandy Alcantara vs Tyler Glasnow · UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium · 3:10 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: LAD
MIA
4.0
35%
ML +183
TOTAL
9.4
4–15
LAD
5.3
65%
ML -183
FANDUEL
ML MIA +200 / LAD -265
RL +1.5 (-136) / -1.5 (+102)
Total 7.5 (O -130 / U -102)
MIA 35%
65% LAD
Park1.07 Weather1.03 RL Home −1.550% RL Away +1.550% F5 Total5.0
⚠ MIA Anthony Bender (SE:3.5) · LAD Tanner Scott (SE:2.2) · LAD Blake Treinen (SE:4.8)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.572%O762%O7.562%O853%O8.553%O943%O9.543%O1036%O10.536%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.99
O3.5: 63%O4: 50%O4.5: 50%O5: 38%
Starters
MIA Starter
Sandy Alcantara
ERA2.99
IP42.1
K28
WHIP1.12
LAD Starter
Tyler Glasnow
ERA2.38
IP34.0
K39
WHIP0.71
Bullpens
MIA Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 3.5 Anthony Bender 68 5.25 12.0
MR 1.0 Tyler Phillips 68 1.47 18.3
MR 4.0 Michael Petersen 65 3.65 12.3
MR 6.0 John King 65 0.71 12.7
MR 10.0 Ryan Gusto 64 0.00 1.0
MR 9.0 Calvin Faucher 63 5.40 10.0
CL 6.8 Pete Fairbanks 63 10.00 9.0
MR 10.0 Lake Bachar 59 3.29 13.7
SU 7.4 Andrew Nardi 48 7.20 10.0
LAD Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Will Klein 72 2.45 11.0
MR 8.0 Alex Vesia 71 1.74 10.3
MR 2.0 Jack Dreyer 70 3.46 13.0
SU 2.2 Tanner Scott 64 2.03 13.3
MR 10.0 Edgardo Henriquez 58 3.86 9.3
MR 10.0 Jake Eder 53 3.00 3.0
CL 10.0 Edwin Díaz 53 10.50 6.0
SU 4.8 Blake Treinen 51 4.15 8.7
MR 10.0 Kyle Hurt 50 1.80 5.0
MR 10.0 Ben Casparius 46 9.64 4.7
CHC
at
SD
Jameson Taillon vs Matt Waldron · Petco Park · 4:10 PM ET
TOSS-UP: SD
CHC
3.8
47%
ML +112
TOTAL
7.8
3–13
SD
3.9
53%
ML -112
FANDUEL
ML CHC -104 / SD -112
RL -1.5 (+155) / +1.5 (-184)
Total 8.5 (O -124 / U +102)
CHC 47%
53% SD
Park0.87 Weather0.96 RL Home −1.536% RL Away +1.564% F5 Total4.4
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.560%O747%O7.547%O839%O8.539%O929%O9.529%O1022%O10.522%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.38
O3.5: 56%O4: 43%O4.5: 43%O5: 31%
Starters
CHC Starter
Jameson Taillon
ERA4.63
IP27.2
K25
WHIP1.32
SD Starter
Matt Waldron
ERA13.17
IP8.2
K7
WHIP2.44
Bullpens
CHC Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
LR 7.9 Ben Brown 83 2.14 21.0
MR 10.0 Riley Martin 62 2.16 8.3
MR 10.0 Daniel Palencia 59 0.00 5.0
MR 10.0 Corbin Martin 56 0.00 4.0
MR 6.0 Hoby Milner 52 2.45 14.7
CL 10.0 Caleb Thielbar 50 3.12 8.7
MR 8.0 Phil Maton 50 14.40 5.0
MR 10.0 ID:605441 50 0.00 1.7
LR 10.0 ID:656212 50 9.00 3.0
MR 9.0 Jacob Webb 44 5.06 10.7
SD Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 6.8 Mason Miller 79 1.26 14.3
SU 7.4 Adrian Morejon 76 5.28 15.3
MR 10.0 Bradgley Rodriguez 75 2.08 13.0
SU 7.4 Kyle Hart 69 5.87 15.3
MR 4.0 Ron Marinaccio 62 5.40 16.7
SU 8.7 Jason Adam 61 1.29 7.0
MR 10.0 Jeremiah Estrada 60 5.14 7.0
MR 6.0 Wandy Peralta 50 4.05 13.3
MR 6.0 David Morgan 50 6.08 13.3
SF
at
PHI
Logan Webb vs Cristopher Sánchez · Citizens Bank Park · 6:10 PM ET
TOSS-UP: PHI
SF
3.9
43%
ML +132
TOTAL
8.3
3–14
PHI
4.4
57%
ML -132
FANDUEL
ML SF +120 / PHI -142
RL +1.5 (-176) / -1.5 (+146)
Total 8.5 (O -118 / U -104)
SF 43%
57% PHI
Park1.04 Weather0.98 RL Home −1.541% RL Away +1.559% F5 Total4.6
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.565%O753%O7.553%O844%O8.544%O934%O9.534%O1028%O10.528%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.59
O3.5: 58%O4: 45%O4.5: 45%O5: 33%
Starters
SF Starter
Logan Webb
ERA4.86
IP37.0
K32
WHIP1.38
PHI Starter
Cristopher Sánchez
ERA2.98
IP33.2
K43
WHIP1.63
Bullpens
SF Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Keaton Winn 71 2.53 10.7
MR 10.0 Erik Miller 71 3.48 10.3
MR 2.0 Blade Tidwell 65 3.00 12.0
MR 10.0 Caleb Kilian 62 0.75 12.0
CL 10.0 Ryan Walker 62 3.00 12.0
MR 10.0 JT Brubaker 58 2.51 14.3
MR 6.0 Matt Gage 55 1.50 12.0
MR 10.0 Ryan Borucki 50 5.19 8.7
PHI Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 José Alvarado 67 7.45 9.7
MR 8.0 Tim Mayza 64 3.94 16.0
MR 10.0 Jonathan Bowlan 64 3.86 7.0
MR 10.0 Zach Pop 62 3.68 7.3
MR 10.0 Kyle Backhus 58 4.66 9.7
MR 10.0 Tanner Banks 57 7.20 10.0
MR 10.0 Chase Shugart 57 1.17 7.7
SU 10.0 Brad Keller 57 3.86 11.7
MR 6.0 Orion Kerkering 54 2.70 10.0
CL 10.0 Jhoan Duran 50 1.35 6.7
HOU
at
BAL
Peter Lambert vs Chris Bassitt · Oriole Park at Camden Yards · 6:35 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: HOU
HOU
5.7
62%
ML -164
TOTAL
9.9
5–16
BAL
4.2
38%
ML +164
HOU 62%
38% BAL
Park1.03 Weather0.97 RL Home −1.525% RL Away +1.575% F5 Total5.6
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.577%O767%O7.567%O859%O8.559%O949%O9.549%O1042%O10.542%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 5.60
O3.5: 70%O4: 58%O4.5: 58%O5: 46%
Starters
HOU Starter
Peter Lambert
ERA3.27
IP11.0
K16
WHIP1.27
BAL Starter
Chris Bassitt
ERA7.06
IP20.4
K10
WHIP2.16
Bullpens
HOU Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Bryan King 72 3.86 11.7
MR 2.0 Kai-Wei Teng 64 2.75 19.7
MR 8.0 Steven Okert 62 2.70 13.3
CL 10.0 Enyel De Los Santos 60 6.10 10.3
MR 10.0 Jayden Murray 55 6.00 6.0
MR 10.0 Christian Roa 48 5.19 8.7
MR 8.0 ID:656986 48 13.50 1.3
MR 10.0 AJ Blubaugh 47 6.23 17.3
LR 4.4 Ryan Weiss 33 6.65 21.7
MR 10.0 Bryan Abreu 33 12.96 8.3
BAL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 8.7 Rico Garcia 71 0.68 13.3
MR 10.0 Grant Wolfram 70 4.50 10.0
MR 8.0 Anthony Nunez 70 2.51 14.3
CL 6.8 Ryan Helsley 70 2.53 10.7
SU 10.0 Tyler Wells 69 3.38 16.0
MR 10.0 Yennier Cano 64 1.86 9.7
MR 10.0 Keegan Akin 57 54.00 1.0
MR 10.0 Cameron Foster 57 6.35 5.7
MR 6.0 Andrew Kittredge 56 0.00 3.0
LR 10.0 Albert Suárez 42 3.46 13.0
COL
at
CIN
Tomoyuki Sugano vs Brandon Williamson · Great American Ball Park · 6:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: CIN
COL
4.1
48%
ML +108
TOTAL
8.1
3–13
CIN
4.0
52%
ML -108
FANDUEL
ML COL +146 / CIN -174
RL +1.5 (-150) / -1.5 (+125)
Total 9.5 (O -102 / U -120)
COL 48%
52% CIN
Park0.96 Weather0.92 RL Home −1.535% RL Away +1.565% F5 Total4.6
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.563%O751%O7.551%O842%O8.542%O932%O9.532%O1025%O10.525%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.56
O3.5: 58%O4: 45%O4.5: 45%O5: 34%
Starters
COL Starter
Tomoyuki Sugano
ERA3.54
IP25.4
K19
WHIP1.18
CIN Starter
Brandon Williamson
ERA5.72
IP23.6
K15
WHIP1.61
Bullpens
COL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
LR 10.0 Chase Dollander 89 2.25 32.0
LR 10.0 Antonio Senzatela 86 0.50 18.0
MR 10.0 Jimmy Herget 74 1.50 12.0
MR 10.0 Brennan Bernardino 71 0.82 11.0
MR 10.0 Juan Mejia 67 5.40 13.3
MR 10.0 Zach Agnos 64 5.71 17.3
SU 10.0 Jaden Hill 57 3.18 11.3
MR 10.0 Seth Halvorsen 52 0.00 2.0
CL 10.0 Victor Vodnik 51 6.94 11.7
LR 4.4 Tanner Gordon 42 7.36 11.0
CIN Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 8.0 Brock Burke 79 0.63 14.3
SU 7.4 Graham Ashcraft 74 1.20 15.0
MR 10.0 Pierce Johnson 62 3.75 12.0
MR 10.0 Connor Phillips 58 2.16 16.7
MR 10.0 Sam Moll 58 2.19 12.3
SU 7.4 Tony Santillan 56 2.13 12.7
CL 10.0 Emilio Pagán 52 4.38 12.3
MR 10.0 Jose Franco 47 4.70 7.7
MR 10.0 Kyle Nicolas 37 8.59 7.3
STL
at
PIT
Andre Pallante vs Bubba Chandler · PNC Park · 6:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: STL
STL
3.9
51%
ML -102
TOTAL
7.7
3–13
PIT
3.7
49%
ML +102
FANDUEL
ML STL +184 / PIT -220
RL +1.5 (-122) / -1.5 (+102)
Total 7.5 (O -105 / U -115)
STL 51%
49% PIT
Park0.83 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.533% RL Away +1.567% F5 Total4.3
⚠ STL Justin Bruihl (SE:4.8)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.558%O746%O7.546%O838%O8.538%O928%O9.528%O1022%O10.522%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.32
O3.5: 55%O4: 42%O4.5: 42%O5: 30%
Starters
STL Starter
Andre Pallante
ERA4.30
IP25.1
K20
WHIP1.43
PIT Starter
Bubba Chandler
ERA5.02
IP23.3
K21
WHIP1.55
Bullpens
STL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 10.0 Riley O'Brien 79 1.26 14.3
MR 8.0 Gordon Graceffo 70 1.13 16.0
MR 8.0 Ryan Fernandez 61 1.59 5.7
SU 10.0 Ryne Stanek 60 7.71 11.7
MR 8.0 George Soriano 60 4.38 12.3
SU 10.0 JoJo Romero 55 3.95 13.7
MR 10.0 Jared Shuster 52 4.91 3.7
SU 4.8 Justin Bruihl 51 5.87 15.3
MR 4.0 Matt Svanson 37 10.34 15.7
PIT Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 8.7 Gregory Soto 75 1.84 14.7
SU 10.0 Mason Montgomery 74 3.65 12.3
SU 10.0 Isaac Mattson 73 1.13 16.0
MR 10.0 Yohan Ramírez 72 2.04 17.7
MR 9.0 Evan Sisk 68 2.00 9.0
MR 10.0 Justin Lawrence 56 5.14 14.0
MR 10.0 Cam Sanders 55 12.00 3.0
MR 10.0 José Urquidy 54 8.53 6.3
LR 7.9 Wilber Dotel 50 1.35 6.7
CL 6.8 Dennis Santana 50 3.29 13.7
WSH
at
NYM
Cade Cavalli vs David Peterson · Citi Field · 7:10 PM ET
TOSS-UP: NYM
WSH
4.1
49%
ML +102
TOTAL
8.0
3–13
NYM
3.9
51%
ML -102
FANDUEL
ML WSH +190 / NYM -230
RL +1.5 (-120) / -1.5 (+100)
Total 7.5 (O -124 / U +102)
WSH 49%
51% NYM
Park1.01 Weather0.94 RL Home −1.534% RL Away +1.566% F5 Total4.3
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.562%O750%O7.550%O841%O8.541%O932%O9.532%O1025%O10.525%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.28
O3.5: 54%O4: 40%O4.5: 40%O5: 30%
Starters
WSH Starter
Cade Cavalli
ERA4.21
IP23.5
K28
WHIP1.74
NYM Starter
David Peterson
ERA5.29
IP25.5
K24
WHIP1.73
Bullpens
WSH Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 10.0 Gus Varland 68 3.18 11.3
MR 6.0 Brad Lord 65 3.74 21.7
MR 10.0 Mitchell Parker 60 5.40 8.3
MR 10.0 Richard Lovelady 58 1.59 5.7
MR 10.0 Paxton Schultz 56 4.00 9.0
MR 10.0 Cole Henry 54 6.43 7.0
MR 10.0 Julian Fernández 48 2.25 4.0
MR 10.0 ID:683000 47 9.00 2.0
MR 10.0 Clayton Beeter 45 3.48 10.3
SU 10.0 Cionel Pérez 43 7.62 13.0
NYM Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 6.0 Tobias Myers 74 2.33 19.3
LR 10.0 Sean Manaea 69 4.66 19.3
MR 10.0 Huascar Brazobán 68 1.35 13.3
MR 10.0 Brooks Raley 61 1.86 9.7
MR 6.0 Luis García 61 7.11 6.3
MR 8.0 Craig Kimbrel 61 5.06 5.3
CL 10.0 Devin Williams 60 9.00 8.0
MR 10.0 Luke Weaver 58 4.91 11.0
MR 10.0 Richard Lovelady 58 3.68 7.3
LR 10.0 Carl Edwards Jr. 55 0.00 3.3
DET
at
ATL
Tarik Skubal vs JR Ritchie · Truist Park · 7:15 PM ET
TOSS-UP: DET
DET
4.9
54%
ML -118
TOTAL
9.2
4–15
ATL
4.3
46%
ML +118
FANDUEL
ML DET -108 / ATL -108
RL -1.5 (+160) / +1.5 (-194)
Total 8.5 (O +100 / U -122)
DET 54%
46% ATL
Park0.99 Weather1.05 RL Home −1.531% RL Away +1.569% F5 Total4.8
⚠ ATL Tyler Kinley (SE:4.8)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.571%O760%O7.560%O852%O8.552%O942%O9.542%O1035%O10.535%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.79
O3.5: 61%O4: 47%O4.5: 47%O5: 36%
Starters
DET Starter
Tarik Skubal
ERA2.80
IP35.4
K38
WHIP1.02
ATL Starter
JR Ritchie
ERA2.57
IP7.0
K7
WHIP1.00
Bullpens
DET Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 4.0 Brant Hurter 65 1.98 13.7
SU 10.0 Will Vest 63 6.17 11.7
MR 10.0 Enmanuel De Jesus 61 10.13 8.0
MR 4.0 Burch Smith 61 1.69 5.3
MR 10.0 Kyle Finnegan 58 0.66 13.7
MR 10.0 Connor Seabold 53 4.09 11.0
MR 10.0 Drew Anderson 53 6.60 15.0
MR 10.0 Brenan Hanifee 50 0.00 1.0
CL 10.0 Kenley Jansen 50 3.68 7.3
MR 6.0 Tyler Holton 48 5.54 13.0
ATL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Dylan Lee 76 1.38 13.0
MR 10.0 José Suarez 75 5.87 15.3
MR 10.0 Robert Suarez 75 0.71 12.7
SU 4.8 Tyler Kinley 72 1.38 13.0
CL 10.0 Raisel Iglesias 67 0.00 8.7
LR 7.2 Didier Fuentes 63 5.00 9.0
MR 10.0 Joel Payamps 48 6.14 7.3
MR 10.0 Carlos Carrasco 46 0.00 1.0
MR 7.0 Osvaldo Bido 43 6.30 10.0
SU 7.4 Aaron Bummer 43 4.66 9.7
AZ
at
MIL
Eduardo Rodriguez vs Brandon Sproat · American Family Field · 7:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: AZ
AZ
4.2
51%
ML -103
TOTAL
8.2
3–14
MIL
4.0
49%
ML +103
FANDUEL
ML AZ +104 / MIL -122
RL +1.5 (-215) / -1.5 (+176)
Total 7.5 (O -122 / U +100)
AZ 51%
49% MIL
Park0.93 Weather0.97 RL Home −1.534% RL Away +1.566% F5 Total4.6
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.563%O752%O7.552%O844%O8.544%O933%O9.533%O1027%O10.527%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.63
O3.5: 59%O4: 46%O4.5: 46%O5: 34%
Starters
AZ Starter
Eduardo Rodriguez
ERA2.89
IP28.0
K18
WHIP1.32
MIL Starter
Brandon Sproat
ERA6.96
IP20.7
K20
WHIP1.69
Bullpens
AZ Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Juan Morillo 72 1.98 13.7
MR 10.0 Kevin Ginkel 71 4.38 12.3
SU 10.0 Jonathan Loáisiga 70 3.29 13.7
SU 7.4 Taylor Clarke 67 3.07 14.7
MR 10.0 Taylor Rashi 50 9.82 3.7
SU 8.7 Ryan Thompson 49 3.97 11.3
CL 10.0 Paul Sewald 49 4.50 10.0
MR 4.0 Andrew Hoffmann 42 7.71 11.7
MIL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Aaron Ashby 83 2.45 18.3
SU 10.0 Grant Anderson 71 2.57 14.0
CL 10.0 Trevor Megill 69 7.20 10.0
MR 4.0 Jake Woodford 68 4.61 13.7
SU 10.0 Abner Uribe 68 3.97 11.3
LR 8.6 Shane Drohan 57 4.70 7.7
MR 10.0 DL Hall 57 2.31 11.7
MR 10.0 Angel Zerpa 50 6.39 12.7
MR 10.0 Carlos Rodriguez 50 2.25 4.0
KC
at
ATH
Michael Wacha vs Luis Severino · Sutter Health Park · 9:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: KC
KC
5.3
50%
ML -102
TOTAL
10.3
5–17
ATH
5.0
50%
ML +102
FANDUEL
ML KC +110 / ATH -130
RL +1.5 (-188) / -1.5 (+155)
Total 10.0 (O -105 / U -115)
KC 50%
50% ATH
Park1.10 Weather1.01 RL Home −1.535% RL Away +1.565% F5 Total5.5
⚠ KC Lucas Erceg (CL:3.6) · KC Matt Strahm (SE:4.8) · ATH Hogan Harris (SE:4.8)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.579%O769%O7.569%O862%O8.562%O952%O9.552%O1044%O10.544%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 5.52
O3.5: 69%O4: 57%O4.5: 57%O5: 45%
Starters
KC Starter
Michael Wacha
ERA2.52
IP32.1
K28
WHIP0.93
ATH Starter
Luis Severino
ERA5.33
IP30.4
K32
WHIP1.61
Bullpens
KC Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 6.0 Daniel Lynch IV 73 0.79 11.3
MR 8.0 Nick Mears 65 2.45 11.0
CL 3.6 Lucas Erceg 60 4.38 12.3
MR 10.0 Mason Black 57 0.00 3.7
MR 10.0 Alex Lange 57 7.71 11.7
SU 4.8 Matt Strahm 54 4.22 10.7
MR 10.0 Eli Morgan 48 2.61 10.3
MR 8.0 John Schreiber 43 4.50 10.0
MR 10.0 Steven Cruz 40 14.40 5.0
ATH Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 8.0 Jack Perkins 75 2.92 12.3
SU 7.4 Justin Sterner 68 4.02 15.7
CL 10.0 Joel Kuhnel 64 2.16 8.3
MR 9.0 Mark Leiter Jr. 60 6.39 12.7
MR 10.0 Brady Basso 59 0.00 0.7
MR 10.0 Luis Medina 59 2.70 10.0
SU 7.4 Scott Barlow 54 3.38 13.3
MR 10.0 Elvis Alvarado 53 8.38 9.7
SU 4.8 Hogan Harris 51 2.65 17.0
MR 10.0 Michael Kelly 46 6.23 4.3
The Editor's Plays

On Today's Slate

TB @ CLE
Guardians F5 ML -124
MIA @ LAD
Dodgers RL +106
SF @ PHI
Phillies ML -136
DET @ ATL
Tigers ML -138