MLBjohannes — FRIDAY · APRIL 24

DET

at

CIN

Framber Valdez vs Andrew Abbott · Great American Ball Park · 6:40 PM ET

TOSS-UP: DET

DET

4.4

54%

ML -116

TOTAL

8.3

3–14

CIN

3.8

46%

ML +116

DET 54%

46% CIN

Park1.00 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.530% RL Away +1.570% F5 Total4.6

Score Distributions

DET · mean 4.4, median 4.0

CIN · mean 3.8, median 3.0

Total Runs

O6.564%O752%O7.552%O844%O8.544%O933%O9.533%O1027%O10.527%

First 5 Innings

            F5 total mean: 4.61
          

O3.5: 58%O4: 46%O4.5: 46%O5: 34%

Most Likely Finals

3-43%2-33%1-23%4-33%3-23%

Starters

DET Starter

Framber Valdez

CIN Starter

Andrew Abbott

Bullpens

BOS

at

BAL

Brayan Bello vs Brandon Young · Oriole Park at Camden Yards · 7:05 PM ET

TOSS-UP: BAL

BOS

4.4

42%

ML +135

TOTAL

9.4

4–15

BAL

5.0

57%

ML -135

BOS 42%

57% BAL

Park1.00 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.542% RL Away +1.558% F5 Total5.6

Score Distributions

BOS · mean 4.4, median 4.0

BAL · mean 5.0, median 5.0

Total Runs

O6.573%O763%O7.563%O856%O8.556%O944%O9.544%O1037%O10.537%

First 5 Innings

            F5 total mean: 5.64
          

O3.5: 70%O4: 58%O4.5: 58%O5: 46%

Most Likely Finals

4-53%3-43%2-32%2-42%3-22%

Starters

BOS Starter

Brayan Bello

BAL Starter

Brandon Young

Bullpens

CLE

at

TOR

Gavin Williams vs Max Scherzer · Rogers Centre · 7:07 PM ET

TOSS-UP: CLE

CLE

4.8

56%

ML -125

TOTAL

8.9

4–15

TOR

4.1

44%

ML +125

CLE 56%

44% TOR

Park1.00 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.530% RL Away +1.570% F5 Total4.9

Score Distributions

CLE · mean 4.8, median 4.0

TOR · mean 4.1, median 4.0

Total Runs

O6.570%O759%O7.559%O851%O8.551%O940%O9.540%O1033%O10.533%

First 5 Innings

            F5 total mean: 4.88
          

O3.5: 62%O4: 49%O4.5: 49%O5: 37%

Most Likely Finals

2-33%3-43%4-53%4-32%3-22%

Starters

CLE Starter

Gavin Williams

TOR Starter

Max Scherzer

Bullpens

COL

at

NYM

Michael Lorenzen vs Freddy Peralta · Citi Field · 7:10 PM ET

SLIGHT EDGE: NYM

COL

4.0

40%

ML +150

TOTAL

8.8

4–14

NYM

4.8

60%

ML -150

COL 40%

60% NYM

Park1.00 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.544% RL Away +1.556% F5 Total5.0

Score Distributions

COL · mean 4.0, median 4.0

NYM · mean 4.8, median 4.0

Total Runs

O6.569%O758%O7.558%O849%O8.549%O938%O9.538%O1031%O10.531%

First 5 Innings

            F5 total mean: 4.99
          

O3.5: 64%O4: 50%O4.5: 50%O5: 38%

Most Likely Finals

3-43%2-33%4-53%2-42%3-52%

Starters

COL Starter

Michael Lorenzen

NYM Starter

Freddy Peralta

Bullpens

MIN

at

TB

Taj Bradley vs Drew Rasmussen · Tropicana Field · 7:10 PM ET

TOSS-UP: TB

MIN

3.4

48%

ML +108

TOTAL

6.7

3–12

TB

3.4

52%

ML -108

MIN 48%

52% TB

Park1.00 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.533% RL Away +1.567% F5 Total3.4

Score Distributions

MIN · mean 3.4, median 3.0

TB · mean 3.4, median 3.0

Total Runs

O6.548%O736%O7.536%O829%O8.529%O920%O9.520%O1015%O10.515%

First 5 Innings

            F5 total mean: 3.42
          

O3.5: 42%O4: 29%O4.5: 29%O5: 19%

Most Likely Finals

2-34%1-24%3-24%2-13%3-43%

Starters

MIN Starter

Taj Bradley

TB Starter

Drew Rasmussen

Bullpens

PHI at ATL

Andrew Painter vs Grant Holmes · Truist Park ·7:15 PM ET

SKIPPED away_batter_data_gap

batter/away player=596117 season=2026 — no_row_current_or_prior (vsRHP)

LAA

at

KC

Yusei Kikuchi vs Noah Cameron · Kauffman Stadium · 7:40 PM ET

TOSS-UP: LAA

LAA

3.5

52%

ML -106

TOTAL

6.8

3–12

KC

3.3

48%

ML +106

LAA 52%

48% KC

Park1.00 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.531% RL Away +1.569% F5 Total3.7

Score Distributions

LAA · mean 3.5, median 3.0

KC · mean 3.3, median 3.0

Total Runs

O6.549%O737%O7.537%O829%O8.529%O921%O9.521%O1016%O10.516%

First 5 Innings

            F5 total mean: 3.73
          

O3.5: 47%O4: 33%O4.5: 33%O5: 23%

Most Likely Finals

1-24%2-34%3-24%2-13%3-43%

Starters

LAA Starter

Yusei Kikuchi

KC Starter

Noah Cameron

Bullpens

WSH

at

CWS

PJ Poulin vs Bryan Hudson · Rate Field · 7:40 PM ET

SLIGHT EDGE: CWS

WSH

4.0

40%

ML +148

TOTAL

8.7

4–14

CWS

4.7

60%

ML -148

WSH 40%

60% CWS

Park1.00 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.544% RL Away +1.556% F5 Total4.7

Score Distributions

WSH · mean 4.0, median 4.0

CWS · mean 4.7, median 4.0

Total Runs

O6.568%O756%O7.556%O848%O8.548%O938%O9.538%O1031%O10.531%

First 5 Innings

            F5 total mean: 4.68
          

O3.5: 60%O4: 46%O4.5: 46%O5: 35%

Most Likely Finals

3-43%2-33%4-53%3-52%2-42%

Starters

WSH Starter

PJ Poulin

CWS Starter

Bryan Hudson

Bullpens

PIT

at

MIL

Paul Skenes vs Brandon Woodruff · American Family Field · 7:40 PM ET

TOSS-UP: MIL

PIT

3.5

46%

ML +117

TOTAL

7.3

3–12

MIL

3.8

54%

ML -117

PIT 46%

54% MIL

Park1.00 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.537% RL Away +1.563% F5 Total3.9

Score Distributions

PIT · mean 3.5, median 3.0

MIL · mean 3.8, median 3.0

Total Runs

O6.554%O742%O7.542%O834%O8.534%O925%O9.525%O1019%O10.519%

First 5 Innings

            F5 total mean: 3.86
          

O3.5: 48%O4: 35%O4.5: 35%O5: 24%

Most Likely Finals

2-34%1-24%3-43%3-23%2-43%

Starters

PIT Starter

Paul Skenes

MIL Starter

Brandon Woodruff

Bullpens

ATH

at

TEX

Luis Severino vs Nathan Eovaldi · Globe Life Field · 8:05 PM ET

TOSS-UP: TEX

ATH

3.4

43%

ML +132

TOTAL

7.2

3–12

TEX

3.8

57%

ML -132

ATH 43%

57% TEX

Park1.00 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.539% RL Away +1.561% F5 Total4.0

Score Distributions

ATH · mean 3.4, median 3.0

TEX · mean 3.8, median 3.0

Total Runs

O6.554%O741%O7.541%O833%O8.533%O924%O9.524%O1018%O10.518%

First 5 Innings

            F5 total mean: 3.99
          

O3.5: 51%O4: 37%O4.5: 37%O5: 26%

Most Likely Finals

2-34%1-23%3-43%2-13%2-43%

Starters

ATH Starter

Luis Severino

TEX Starter

Nathan Eovaldi

Bullpens

NYY

at

HOU

Will Warren vs Lance McCullers Jr. · Daikin Park · 8:10 PM ET

TOSS-UP: HOU

NYY

4.0

49%

ML +104

TOTAL

8.0

3–13

HOU

4.0

51%

ML -104

NYY 49%

51% HOU

Park1.00 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.535% RL Away +1.565% F5 Total4.2

Score Distributions

NYY · mean 4.0, median 4.0

HOU · mean 4.0, median 4.0

Total Runs

O6.561%O749%O7.549%O840%O8.540%O931%O9.531%O1024%O10.524%

First 5 Innings

            F5 total mean: 4.22
          

O3.5: 54%O4: 40%O4.5: 40%O5: 29%

Most Likely Finals

2-33%3-43%4-33%3-23%1-23%

Starters

NYY Starter

Will Warren

HOU Starter

Lance McCullers Jr.

Bullpens

SEA

at

STL

George Kirby vs Andre Pallante · Busch Stadium · 8:15 PM ET

TOSS-UP: SEA

SEA

4.2

51%

ML -103

TOTAL

8.3

3–14

STL

4.0

49%

ML +103

SEA 51%

49% STL

Park1.00 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.534% RL Away +1.566% F5 Total4.4

Score Distributions

SEA · mean 4.2, median 4.0

STL · mean 4.0, median 4.0

Total Runs

O6.563%O752%O7.552%O843%O8.543%O934%O9.534%O1027%O10.527%

First 5 Innings

            F5 total mean: 4.43
          

O3.5: 57%O4: 43%O4.5: 43%O5: 31%

Most Likely Finals

2-33%3-43%4-33%2-43%1-23%

Starters

SEA Starter

George Kirby

STL Starter

Andre Pallante

Bullpens

CHC

at

LAD

Jameson Taillon vs Emmet Sheehan · UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium · 10:15 PM ET

TOSS-UP: LAD

CHC

4.9

45%

ML +123

TOTAL

10.2

5–16

LAD

5.3

55%

ML -123

CHC 45%

55% LAD

Park1.00 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.541% RL Away +1.559% F5 Total5.8

Score Distributions

CHC · mean 4.9, median 4.0

LAD · mean 5.3, median 5.0

Total Runs

O6.579%O769%O7.569%O861%O8.561%O951%O9.551%O1044%O10.544%

First 5 Innings

            F5 total mean: 5.76
          

O3.5: 71%O4: 59%O4.5: 59%O5: 47%

Most Likely Finals

3-43%4-52%2-32%5-62%2-42%

Starters

CHC Starter

Jameson Taillon

LAD Starter

Emmet Sheehan

Bullpens

MIA

at

SF

Sandy Alcantara vs Adrian Houser · Oracle Park · 10:15 PM ET

TOSS-UP: MIA

MIA

4.3

53%

ML -114

TOTAL

8.1

3–13

SF

3.8

47%

ML +114

MIA 53%

47% SF

Park1.00 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.531% RL Away +1.569% F5 Total4.5

Score Distributions

MIA · mean 4.3, median 4.0

SF · mean 3.8, median 3.0

Total Runs

O6.563%O750%O7.550%O842%O8.542%O932%O9.532%O1025%O10.525%

First 5 Innings

            F5 total mean: 4.46
          

O3.5: 57%O4: 44%O4.5: 44%O5: 32%

Most Likely Finals

3-43%2-33%1-23%3-23%4-33%

Starters

MIA Starter

Sandy Alcantara

SF Starter

Adrian Houser

Bullpens

Today's Projections