Vol. 1 · No. 128 Est. 2026

MLBjohannes

A daily register of Monte Carlo model projections and plays for the U.S. Mint.

FRIDAY · MAY 8 · 2026
Games
15
Sims / Game
10000
Model
sim_v2a4_johannes
Picks
7
The Board

Today's Projections

HOU
at
CIN
Mike Burrows vs Nick Lodolo · Great American Ball Park · 6:10 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: CIN
HOU
3.9
38%
ML +164
TOTAL
8.9
4–14
CIN
4.9
62%
ML -164
FANDUEL
ML HOU +132 / CIN -156
RL +1.5 (-164) / -1.5 (+136)
Total 8.5 (O -105 / U -115)
HOU 38%
62% CIN
Park0.96 Weather1.02 RL Home −1.547% RL Away +1.553% F5 Total4.8
⚠ CIN Connor Phillips (SE:4.8)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.569%O758%O7.558%O850%O8.550%O939%O9.539%O1032%O10.532%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.76
O3.5: 61%O4: 48%O4.5: 48%O5: 36%
Starters
HOU Starter
Mike Burrows
ERA6.16
IP36.5
K36
WHIP1.70
CIN Starter
Nick Lodolo
AAA 2026
IP4.3
K6
WHIP1.62
Bullpens
HOU Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 10.0 Bryan King 80 3.45 15.7
MR 10.0 Kai-Wei Teng 71 2.35 23.0
MR 9.0 Enyel De Los Santos 70 4.80 15.0
MR 10.0 Steven Okert 56 4.60 15.7
MR 10.0 Jayden Murray 55 6.00 6.0
MR 10.0 ID:656986 50 8.10 3.3
MR 10.0 AJ Blubaugh 49 5.32 22.0
MR 10.0 Christian Roa 48 5.19 8.7
LR 10.0 Colton Gordon 31 11.57 9.3
MR 10.0 Bryan Abreu 30 9.49 12.3
CIN Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 9.0 Brock Burke 78 3.24 16.7
SU 7.4 Graham Ashcraft 70 1.93 18.7
MR 9.0 Sam Moll 63 1.76 15.3
MR 10.0 Pierce Johnson 61 4.05 13.3
SU 4.8 Connor Phillips 56 5.40 20.0
MR 4.0 ID:682825 51 1.80 5.0
SU 10.0 Tony Santillan 51 2.87 15.7
MR 9.0 Tejay Antone 50 0.00 1.0
MR 6.0 Jose Franco 49 4.30 14.7
MR 10.0 ID:687209 48 36.00 1.0
COL
at
PHI
Chase Dollander vs Jesús Luzardo · Citizens Bank Park · 6:40 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: PHI
COL
3.8
41%
ML +142
TOTAL
8.3
3–14
PHI
4.5
59%
ML -142
FANDUEL
ML COL +150 / PHI -178
RL +1.5 (-146) / -1.5 (+122)
Total 8.5 (O -105 / U -115)
COL 41%
59% PHI
Park1.04 Weather1.01 RL Home −1.542% RL Away +1.558% F5 Total4.4
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.564%O753%O7.553%O844%O8.544%O934%O9.534%O1027%O10.527%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.41
O3.5: 56%O4: 43%O4.5: 43%O5: 31%
Starters
COL Starter
Chase Dollander
ERA3.46
IP36.4
K42
WHIP1.18
PHI Starter
Jesús Luzardo
ERA5.34
IP38.8
K51
WHIP1.34
Bullpens
COL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
LR 7.2 Antonio Senzatela 96 1.11 24.3
LR 10.0 Chase Dollander 82 3.38 37.3
MR 10.0 Jimmy Herget 72 4.50 14.0
MR 6.0 Juan Mejia 72 4.91 18.3
MR 9.0 Brennan Bernardino 71 1.84 14.7
SU 10.0 Jaden Hill 61 4.26 12.7
MR 7.0 Zach Agnos 61 6.35 22.7
CL 10.0 Victor Vodnik 53 7.24 13.7
MR 10.0 Seth Halvorsen 52 0.00 2.0
LR 10.0 Tanner Gordon 43 6.43 14.0
PHI Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 9.0 José Alvarado 73 7.45 9.7
MR 10.0 Tim Mayza 70 3.94 16.0
MR 8.0 Jonathan Bowlan 69 3.86 7.0
MR 4.0 Tanner Banks 67 7.20 10.0
CL 10.0 Jhoan Duran 65 1.35 6.7
SU 7.4 Brad Keller 64 3.86 11.7
MR 10.0 Zach Pop 62 3.68 7.3
MR 10.0 Orion Kerkering 60 2.70 10.0
MR 2.0 Chase Shugart 59 1.17 7.7
MR 10.0 Kyle Backhus 58 4.66 9.7
ATH
at
BAL
Jacob Lopez vs Kyle Bradish · Oriole Park at Camden Yards · 7:05 PM ET
TOSS-UP: BAL
ATH
5.3
44%
ML +127
TOTAL
11.0
5–17
BAL
5.7
56%
ML -127
FANDUEL
ML ATH +110 / BAL -130
RL +1.5 (-184) / -1.5 (+152)
Total 9.0 (O -122 / U +100)
ATH 44%
56% BAL
Park1.03 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.542% RL Away +1.558% F5 Total6.5
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.583%O775%O7.575%O868%O8.568%O959%O9.559%O1051%O10.551%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 6.46
O3.5: 77%O4: 66%O4.5: 66%O5: 55%
Starters
ATH Starter
Jacob Lopez
ERA6.76
IP29.3
K23
WHIP1.95
BAL Starter
Kyle Bradish
ERA5.14
IP33.3
K35
WHIP1.86
Bullpens
ATH Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 7.0 Jack Perkins 79 2.92 12.3
CL 10.0 Joel Kuhnel 66 2.16 8.3
SU 10.0 Justin Sterner 64 4.02 15.7
MR 10.0 Mark Leiter Jr. 62 6.39 12.7
MR 10.0 Luis Medina 60 2.70 10.0
SU 10.0 Scott Barlow 59 3.38 13.3
SU 10.0 Hogan Harris 54 2.65 17.0
MR 10.0 Elvis Alvarado 53 8.38 9.7
MR 10.0 Michael Kelly 46 6.23 4.3
MR 10.0 Brady Basso 45 0.00 0.7
BAL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 8.7 Rico Garcia 77 0.53 17.0
SU 8.7 Grant Wolfram 76 4.85 13.0
SU 10.0 Tyler Wells 73 3.44 18.3
MR 6.0 Yennier Cano 72 1.29 14.0
CL 10.0 Ryan Helsley 70 2.53 10.7
MR 10.0 Cameron Foster 60 5.87 7.7
MR 8.0 Dietrich Enns 59 2.25 8.0
SU 8.7 Anthony Nunez 58 4.50 18.0
MR 2.0 Keegan Akin 57 11.12 5.7
MR 8.0 Andrew Kittredge 52 13.50 4.7
LAA
at
TOR
Reid Detmers vs Dylan Cease · Rogers Centre · 7:07 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: TOR
LAA
3.7
41%
ML +144
TOTAL
8.1
3–13
TOR
4.3
59%
ML -144
FANDUEL
ML LAA +150 / TOR -178
RL +1.5 (-150) / -1.5 (+125)
Total 8.0 (O -110 / U -110)
LAA 41%
59% TOR
Park1.05 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.542% RL Away +1.558% F5 Total4.2
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.561%O750%O7.550%O842%O8.542%O932%O9.532%O1025%O10.525%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.23
O3.5: 54%O4: 40%O4.5: 40%O5: 29%
Starters
LAA Starter
Reid Detmers
ERA4.43
IP38.6
K44
WHIP1.19
TOR Starter
Dylan Cease
ERA3.13
IP37.4
K56
WHIP1.36
Bullpens
LAA Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Ryan Zeferjahn 87 4.58 19.7
SU 10.0 Sam Bachman 67 3.38 18.7
LR 10.0 Mitch Farris 62 2.25 12.0
MR 8.0 Brent Suter 61 4.22 21.3
MR 8.0 Chase Silseth 59 2.70 13.3
CL 10.0 Jordan Romano 56 10.13 8.0
MR 10.0 ID:820862 50 1.93 4.7
MR 10.0 ID:642048 50 13.50 0.7
MR 10.0 Shaun Anderson 49 5.94 16.7
MR 10.0 Nick Sandlin 44 11.42 8.7
TOR Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 6.8 Louis Varland 87 0.56 16.0
SU 7.4 Braydon Fisher 78 1.76 15.3
MR 10.0 Jeff Hoffman 78 6.39 12.7
MR 10.0 Tommy Nance 77 6.00 12.0
SU 10.0 Tyler Rogers 77 0.59 15.3
MR 10.0 Joe Mantiply 74 3.38 10.7
MR 10.0 Spencer Miles 69 3.29 13.7
SU 8.7 Mason Fluharty 67 5.06 10.7
MR 10.0 ID:695445 50 6.75 1.3
LR 10.0 Josh Fleming 44 12.00 3.0
TB
at
BOS
Jesse Scholtens vs Connelly Early · Fenway Park · 7:10 PM ET
TOSS-UP: TB
TB
4.3
51%
ML -106
TOTAL
8.3
3–14
BOS
4.0
49%
ML +106
FANDUEL
ML TB +112 / BOS -132
RL +1.5 (-192) / -1.5 (+158)
Total 8.5 (O -112 / U -108)
TB 51%
49% BOS
Park0.99 Weather0.99 RL Home −1.533% RL Away +1.567% F5 Total4.5
⚠ TB Kevin Kelly (SE:0.0) · TB Hunter Bigge (SE:4.8)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.565%O753%O7.553%O845%O8.545%O934%O9.534%O1028%O10.528%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.55
O3.5: 58%O4: 45%O4.5: 45%O5: 33%
Starters
TB Starter
Jesse Scholtens
ERA3.35
IP21.5
K17
WHIP1.21
BOS Starter
Connelly Early
ERA3.91
IP34.5
K31
WHIP1.36
Bullpens
TB Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 8.7 Ian Seymour 77 6.75 13.3
CL 8.4 Bryan Baker 76 3.18 11.3
MR 4.0 Cole Sulser 75 3.24 16.7
LR 10.0 Jesse Scholtens 74 3.20 19.7
SU 0.0 Kevin Kelly 73 4.26 12.7
SU 4.8 Hunter Bigge 58 4.50 8.0
MR 2.0 Griffin Jax 53 6.35 11.3
MR 10.0 Trevor Martin 51 6.23 4.3
MR 10.0 Mason Englert 41 7.11 12.7
MR 10.0 Yoendrys Gómez 32 7.04 15.3
BOS Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 10.0 Aroldis Chapman 73 0.77 11.7
MR 3.0 Tyler Samaniego 71 0.00 13.7
MR 8.0 Zack Kelly 64 3.29 13.7
SU 10.0 Garrett Whitlock 63 3.77 14.3
MR 10.0 Justin Slaten 57 0.00 3.3
LR 10.0 ID:681252 56 3.38 8.0
MR 10.0 Jovani Morán 54 3.10 20.3
MR 10.0 Danny Coulombe 54 5.63 8.0
MR 4.0 Greg Weissert 51 5.52 14.7
MR 10.0 ID:687941 50 0.00 1.0
WSH
at
MIA
Foster Griffin vs Robby Snelling · loanDepot park · 7:10 PM ET
TOSS-UP: MIA
WSH
3.7
45%
ML +123
TOTAL
7.7
3–13
MIA
4.0
55%
ML -123
FANDUEL
ML WSH +132 / MIA -156
RL +1.5 (-164) / -1.5 (+136)
Total 8.5 (O -110 / U -110)
WSH 45%
55% MIA
Park0.94 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.538% RL Away +1.562% F5 Total4.0
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.558%O746%O7.546%O838%O8.538%O928%O9.528%O1022%O10.522%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.03
O3.5: 50%O4: 37%O4.5: 37%O5: 26%
Starters
WSH Starter
Foster Griffin
ERA2.30
IP39.2
K33
WHIP1.10
MIA Starter
Robby Snelling
AAA 2026
IP29.0
K44
WHIP0.90
Bullpens
WSH Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 6.8 Gus Varland 76 3.07 14.7
LR 8.6 Mitchell Parker 73 3.38 16.0
MR 10.0 Brad Lord 67 3.80 23.7
MR 10.0 Paxton Schultz 63 2.77 13.0
MR 8.0 Richard Lovelady 59 1.17 7.7
MR 6.0 ID:687377 58 3.60 5.0
MR 10.0 Cole Henry 54 6.43 7.0
MR 6.0 PJ Poulin 50 3.44 18.3
MR 10.0 Julian Fernández 48 2.25 4.0
SU 10.0 Cionel Pérez 47 6.19 16.0
MIA Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Tyler Phillips 76 1.47 18.3
SU 10.0 Anthony Bender 73 5.25 12.0
MR 8.0 Michael Petersen 72 3.65 12.3
MR 10.0 John King 71 0.71 12.7
MR 10.0 Lake Bachar 70 3.29 13.7
MR 8.0 Calvin Faucher 66 5.40 10.0
MR 10.0 Ryan Gusto 64 0.00 1.0
CL 10.0 Pete Fairbanks 63 10.00 9.0
SU 7.4 Andrew Nardi 51 7.20 10.0
MIN
at
CLE
Connor Prielipp vs Parker Messick · Progressive Field · 7:15 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: CLE
MIN
3.1
40%
ML +148
TOTAL
6.9
3–12
CLE
3.8
60%
ML -148
FANDUEL
ML MIN -108 / CLE -108
RL -1.5 (+158) / +1.5 (-192)
Total 7.5 (O -122 / U +100)
MIN 40%
60% CLE
Park0.87 Weather1.01 RL Home −1.541% RL Away +1.559% F5 Total3.6
⚠ CLE Cade Smith (CL:0.4) · CLE Erik Sabrowski (SE:2.2) · CLE Connor Brogdon (SE:2.2)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.550%O738%O7.538%O830%O8.530%O922%O9.522%O1016%O10.516%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 3.60
O3.5: 44%O4: 32%O4.5: 32%O5: 21%
Starters
MIN Starter
Connor Prielipp
ERA3.86
IP14.0
K15
WHIP0.93
CLE Starter
Parker Messick
ERA2.45
IP40.4
K44
WHIP0.94
Bullpens
MIN Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Eric Orze 77 3.09 11.7
MR 6.0 Taylor Rogers 74 6.52 9.7
LR 9.3 Andrew Morris 73 7.20 10.0
MR 10.0 Garrett Acton 63 2.70 6.7
MR 10.0 Cody Laweryson 63 4.26 6.3
MR 6.0 Anthony Banda 61 8.74 11.3
MR 10.0 Cole Sands 56 4.63 11.7
SU 8.7 Kody Funderburk 54 2.31 11.7
MR 10.0 Kendry Rojas 47 0.00 2.0
MR 9.0 Luis García 45 19.64 3.7
CLE Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 0.4 Cade Smith 85 3.12 17.3
SU 2.2 Erik Sabrowski 83 2.20 16.3
MR 10.0 ID:670059 68 1.50 12.0
SU 8.7 Matt Festa 64 4.50 18.0
MR 10.0 Peyton Pallette 60 4.91 14.7
MR 8.0 Tim Herrin 58 0.00 10.7
MR 10.0 Shawn Armstrong 52 4.22 10.7
MR 10.0 Kolby Allard 51 10.38 8.7
MR 5.0 Hunter Gaddis 43 9.00 7.0
SU 2.2 Connor Brogdon 43 5.28 15.3
DET
at
KC
Keider Montero vs Kris Bubic · Kauffman Stadium · 7:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: KC
DET
3.4
48%
ML +107
TOTAL
6.8
3–12
KC
3.4
52%
ML -107
FANDUEL
ML DET +120 / KC -142
RL +1.5 (-178) / -1.5 (+146)
Total 8.5 (O -115 / U -105)
DET 48%
52% KC
Park0.83 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.534% RL Away +1.566% F5 Total3.4
⚠ KC Nick Mears (SE:4.8)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.548%O736%O7.536%O829%O8.529%O920%O9.520%O1015%O10.515%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 3.44
O3.5: 42%O4: 29%O4.5: 29%O5: 19%
Starters
DET Starter
Keider Montero
ERA3.60
IP32.5
K25
WHIP1.05
KC Starter
Kris Bubic
ERA3.36
IP40.2
K42
WHIP1.14
Bullpens
DET Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 9.0 Brant Hurter 76 1.45 18.7
MR 9.0 Burch Smith 73 1.59 11.3
MR 10.0 Enmanuel De Jesus 68 7.71 11.7
MR 7.0 Drew Anderson 63 4.79 20.7
SU 10.0 Will Vest 63 6.17 11.7
MR 10.0 Brenan Hanifee 62 0.00 6.7
SU 8.7 Kyle Finnegan 60 0.51 17.7
MR 10.0 Connor Seabold 53 4.09 11.0
MR 10.0 Tyler Holton 53 4.91 14.7
LR 10.0 Ty Madden 50 0.00 5.0
KC Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 7.4 Daniel Lynch IV 80 1.72 15.7
SU 4.8 Nick Mears 68 1.98 13.7
CL 10.0 Lucas Erceg 68 3.52 15.3
MR 0.0 Alex Lange 60 6.35 17.0
LR 7.9 Luinder Avila 59 7.36 11.0
SU 10.0 Matt Strahm 59 3.29 13.7
MR 10.0 Mason Black 59 0.00 4.7
MR 10.0 Eli Morgan 48 2.61 10.3
MR 0.0 ID:672021 45 9.00 3.0
MR 7.0 John Schreiber 45 3.86 14.0
SEA
at
CWS
Emerson Hancock vs Sean Burke · Rate Field · 7:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: CWS
SEA
3.4
48%
ML +108
TOTAL
6.8
3–12
CWS
3.4
52%
ML -108
FANDUEL
ML SEA -138 / CWS +118
RL -1.5 (+116) / +1.5 (-140)
Total 9.0 (O -105 / U -115)
SEA 48%
52% CWS
Park0.94 Weather0.92 RL Home −1.534% RL Away +1.566% F5 Total3.5
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.548%O736%O7.536%O829%O8.529%O920%O9.520%O1015%O10.515%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 3.50
O3.5: 43%O4: 30%O4.5: 30%O5: 20%
Starters
SEA Starter
Emerson Hancock
ERA2.62
IP41.2
K46
WHIP0.97
CWS Starter
Sean Burke
ERA2.76
IP39.2
K32
WHIP1.02
Bullpens
SEA Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 5.0 Jose A. Ferrer 88 1.93 14.0
MR 8.0 Eduard Bazardo 79 1.29 14.0
MR 10.0 Casey Legumina 74 4.63 11.7
SU 10.0 Matt Brash 71 0.00 11.3
SU 10.0 Gabe Speier 64 2.31 11.7
CL 10.0 Andrés Muñoz 64 6.55 11.0
MR 9.0 Cooper Criswell 61 2.57 14.0
MR 10.0 Alex Hoppe 57 16.20 1.7
MR 10.0 Cole Wilcox 56 6.35 11.3
CWS Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Sean Newcomb 88 4.00 18.0
MR 8.0 Grant Taylor 85 2.93 15.3
MR 10.0 Bryan Hudson 82 1.29 14.0
MR 10.0 Tyler Davis 58 0.00 2.0
MR 9.0 Jordan Hicks 57 4.26 12.7
MR 10.0 Lucas Sims 55 4.50 10.0
CL 10.0 Seranthony Domínguez 49 4.50 12.0
MR 10.0 Chris Murphy 48 10.50 6.0
MR 8.0 Osvaldo Bido 47 6.75 5.3
MR 10.0 Jordan Leasure 39 6.91 14.3
NYY
at
MIL
Max Fried vs Jacob Misiorowski · American Family Field · 7:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: NYY
NYY
3.7
52%
ML -109
TOTAL
7.1
3–12
MIL
3.3
48%
ML +109
FANDUEL
ML NYY -146 / MIL +124
RL -1.5 (+122) / +1.5 (-146)
Total 7.5 (O +100 / U -122)
NYY 52%
48% MIL
Park0.93 Weather1.01 RL Home −1.531% RL Away +1.569% F5 Total3.4
⚠ NYY Tim Hill (SE:2.2)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.551%O739%O7.539%O832%O8.532%O923%O9.523%O1018%O10.518%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 3.38
O3.5: 42%O4: 28%O4.5: 28%O5: 19%
Starters
NYY Starter
Max Fried
ERA2.45
IP51.5
K43
WHIP0.91
MIL Starter
Jacob Misiorowski
ERA2.90
IP37.3
K59
WHIP1.02
Bullpens
NYY Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 8.0 Brent Headrick 89 1.93 14.0
CL 10.0 David Bednar 81 3.55 12.7
MR 6.0 Paul Blackburn 70 4.09 11.0
SU 2.2 Tim Hill 68 1.50 12.0
MR 8.0 Jake Bird 66 6.75 8.0
MR 8.0 Ryan Yarbrough 62 4.09 11.0
MR 6.0 Camilo Doval 59 6.97 10.3
SU 10.0 Fernando Cruz 59 3.60 10.0
MR 10.0 Angel Chivilli 45 3.86 2.3
MIL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 8.0 Aaron Ashby 90 2.45 18.3
CL 6.8 Trevor Megill 76 7.20 10.0
MR 10.0 Jake Woodford 76 4.61 13.7
SU 8.7 Abner Uribe 72 3.97 11.3
MR 9.0 DL Hall 69 2.31 11.7
LR 10.0 Shane Drohan 69 4.70 7.7
SU 10.0 Grant Anderson 64 2.57 14.0
MR 10.0 Angel Zerpa 50 6.39 12.7
MR 10.0 Carlos Rodriguez 50 2.25 4.0
CHC
at
TEX
Ben Brown vs Kumar Rocker · Globe Life Field · 8:05 PM ET
TOSS-UP: CHC
CHC
3.6
54%
ML -119
TOTAL
6.7
3–11
TEX
3.1
46%
ML +119
FANDUEL
ML CHC -142 / TEX +120
RL -1.5 (+125) / +1.5 (-150)
Total 8.5 (O -110 / U -110)
CHC 54%
46% TEX
Park0.79 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.529% RL Away +1.571% F5 Total3.5
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.547%O736%O7.536%O828%O8.528%O920%O9.520%O1014%O10.514%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 3.49
O3.5: 43%O4: 30%O4.5: 30%O5: 20%
Starters
CHC Starter
Ben Brown
ERA2.20
IP24.5
K24
WHIP1.06
TEX Starter
Kumar Rocker
ERA4.79
IP28.2
K24
WHIP1.49
Bullpens
CHC Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Ben Brown 90 2.10 25.7
MR 10.0 Ryan Rolison 62 3.12 8.7
MR 9.0 Daniel Palencia 62 0.00 6.3
MR 10.0 Riley Martin 62 2.16 8.3
MR 9.0 Phil Maton 58 8.64 8.3
MR 9.0 Jacob Webb 55 3.52 15.3
MR 8.0 Hoby Milner 54 2.55 17.7
MR 3.0 Trent Thornton 51 0.00 2.0
CL 10.0 Caleb Thielbar 50 3.12 8.7
MR 10.0 ID:605441 50 0.00 1.7
TEX Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 8.0 Jacob Latz 79 1.23 14.7
MR 8.0 Tyler Alexander 72 0.63 14.3
CL 10.0 Jakob Junis 70 1.88 14.3
SU 7.4 Jalen Beeks 64 2.08 13.0
MR 9.0 Gavin Collyer 63 0.00 5.3
LR 10.0 Cal Quantrill 59 6.43 7.0
MR 4.0 ID:682608 56 0.00 4.0
MR 10.0 Robert Garcia 55 3.38 8.0
SU 8.7 Cole Winn 54 4.85 13.0
MR 10.0 Chris Martin 50 7.11 6.3
NYM
at
AZ
Nolan McLean vs Ryne Nelson · Chase Field · 9:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: NYM
NYM
4.8
55%
ML -122
TOTAL
8.9
4–15
AZ
4.1
45%
ML +122
FANDUEL
ML NYM -116 / AZ -102
RL -1.5 (+140) / +1.5 (-170)
Total 8.5 (O -120 / U -102)
NYM 55%
45% AZ
Park1.07 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.530% RL Away +1.570% F5 Total4.7
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.569%O758%O7.558%O850%O8.550%O940%O9.540%O1033%O10.533%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.71
O3.5: 60%O4: 47%O4.5: 47%O5: 35%
Starters
NYM Starter
Nolan McLean
ERA3.05
IP38.4
K51
WHIP0.96
AZ Starter
Ryne Nelson
ERA7.14
IP29.0
K28
WHIP1.55
Bullpens
NYM Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 6.0 Huascar Brazobán 74 1.53 17.7
SU 8.7 Brooks Raley 74 1.29 14.0
CL 10.0 Devin Williams 71 6.17 11.7
LR 9.3 Sean Manaea 67 6.85 22.3
SU 7.4 Luke Weaver 66 4.70 15.3
MR 8.0 Tobias Myers 61 3.57 22.7
MR 6.0 Craig Kimbrel 59 7.56 8.3
MR 8.0 Richard Lovelady 59 3.68 7.3
MR 6.0 Austin Warren 58 2.45 3.7
LR 10.0 Carl Edwards Jr. 56 1.50 6.0
AZ Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 8.7 Juan Morillo 80 2.16 16.7
MR 10.0 Kevin Ginkel 78 3.45 15.7
SU 8.7 Taylor Clarke 73 2.60 17.3
SU 10.0 Jonathan Loáisiga 72 3.45 15.7
CL 6.8 Paul Sewald 54 3.55 12.7
SU 8.7 Ryan Thompson 54 3.14 14.3
LR 10.0 Brandon Pfaadt 51 5.83 29.3
MR 10.0 Taylor Rashi 50 9.82 3.7
MR 8.0 ID:805299 50 0.00 4.0
MR 10.0 Andrew Hoffmann 42 7.71 11.7
STL
at
SD
Michael McGreevy vs Griffin Canning · Petco Park · 9:45 PM ET
TOSS-UP: SD
STL
3.6
49%
ML +104
TOTAL
7.1
3–12
SD
3.5
51%
ML -104
FANDUEL
ML STL +122 / SD -144
RL +1.5 (-176) / -1.5 (+146)
Total 8.0 (O -118 / U -104)
STL 49%
51% SD
Park0.87 Weather0.96 RL Home −1.533% RL Away +1.567% F5 Total3.8
⚠ SD Jason Adam (SE:4.8)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.552%O739%O7.539%O831%O8.531%O923%O9.523%O1017%O10.517%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 3.83
O3.5: 48%O4: 35%O4.5: 35%O5: 24%
Starters
STL Starter
Michael McGreevy
ERA2.58
IP38.4
K24
WHIP0.94
SD Starter
Griffin Canning
ERA1.80
IP5.0
K7
WHIP1.20
Bullpens
STL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 6.8 Riley O'Brien 86 1.26 14.3
MR 10.0 Gordon Graceffo 67 1.13 16.0
MR 8.0 George Soriano 65 4.38 12.3
SU 10.0 Ryne Stanek 63 7.71 11.7
MR 10.0 Ryan Fernandez 61 1.59 5.7
MR 7.0 Jared Shuster 57 4.91 3.7
SU 8.7 JoJo Romero 55 3.95 13.7
SU 10.0 Justin Bruihl 54 5.87 15.3
MR 8.0 Matt Svanson 42 10.34 15.7
SD Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 8.4 Mason Miller 85 1.26 14.3
MR 1.0 Bradgley Rodriguez 83 2.08 13.0
SU 7.4 Adrian Morejon 82 5.28 15.3
SU 10.0 Kyle Hart 74 5.87 15.3
MR 10.0 Ron Marinaccio 67 5.40 16.7
MR 10.0 Jeremiah Estrada 62 5.14 7.0
SU 4.8 Jason Adam 58 1.29 7.0
MR 8.0 Wandy Peralta 52 4.05 13.3
MR 10.0 David Morgan 50 6.08 13.3
ATL
at
LAD
Chris Sale vs Emmet Sheehan · UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium · 10:10 PM ET
TOSS-UP: ATL
ATL
4.8
53%
ML -114
TOTAL
9.0
4–15
LAD
4.2
47%
ML +114
FANDUEL
ML ATL +116 / LAD -136
RL +1.5 (-176) / -1.5 (+146)
Total 9.0 (O -120 / U -102)
ATL 53%
47% LAD
Park1.07 Weather0.99 RL Home −1.533% RL Away +1.567% F5 Total4.8
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.571%O759%O7.559%O851%O8.551%O941%O9.541%O1033%O10.533%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.79
O3.5: 62%O4: 48%O4.5: 48%O5: 36%
Starters
ATL Starter
Chris Sale
ERA2.14
IP42.0
K49
WHIP0.90
LAD Starter
Emmet Sheehan
ERA5.47
IP29.6
K36
WHIP1.39
Bullpens
ATL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Dylan Lee 85 1.38 13.0
MR 10.0 Robert Suarez 81 0.71 12.7
MR 10.0 José Suarez 76 5.87 15.3
LR 7.9 Didier Fuentes 71 5.00 9.0
CL 10.0 Raisel Iglesias 69 0.00 8.7
SU 10.0 Tyler Kinley 64 1.38 13.0
MR 10.0 Joel Payamps 48 6.14 7.3
MR 8.0 Osvaldo Bido 47 6.30 10.0
MR 10.0 Carlos Carrasco 46 0.00 1.0
SU 10.0 Aaron Bummer 39 4.66 9.7
LAD Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 8.0 Jack Dreyer 80 2.60 17.3
MR 10.0 Will Klein 79 3.07 14.7
MR 10.0 Alex Vesia 75 1.42 12.7
SU 10.0 Tanner Scott 69 1.76 15.3
MR 9.0 Kyle Hurt 68 1.00 9.0
MR 8.0 Edgardo Henriquez 61 4.38 12.3
SU 8.7 Blake Treinen 58 4.09 11.0
MR 10.0 Jake Eder 55 2.25 4.0
CL 10.0 Edwin Díaz 53 10.50 6.0
MR 9.0 ID:592779 50 0.00 1.0
PIT at SF
Carmen Mlodzinski vs TBD · Oracle Park ·10:15 PM ET
SKIPPED null_starter
starter/home — starter_id_null
The Editor's Plays

On Today's Slate

Best Bets

MIN @ CLE
Guardians/Twins F5 Under 4 -121
SEA @ CWS
White Sox/Mariners Under 9.5 -121
MIN @ CLE
Guardians ML -112
NYM @ AZ
Mets ML -117
NYY @ MIL
Yankees ML -114

Value Plays

ATL @ LAD
Braves ML +116
ATH @ BAL
Orioles F5 -0.5 +113