Vol. 1 · No. 132 Est. 2026

MLBjohannes

A daily register of Monte Carlo model projections and plays for the U.S. Mint.

TUESDAY · MAY 12 · 2026
Games
15
Sims / Game
10000
Model
sim_v2a4_johannes
Picks
6
The Board

Today's Projections

LAA
at
CLE
Walbert Ureña vs Slade Cecconi · Progressive Field · 6:10 PM ET
TOSS-UP: CLE
LAA
4.2
48%
ML +107
TOTAL
8.5
3–14
CLE
4.2
52%
ML -107
FANDUEL
ML LAA +120 / CLE -142
RL +1.5 (-188) / -1.5 (+155)
Total 7.0 (O -105 / U -115)
LAA 48%
52% CLE
Park0.87 Weather1.04 RL Home −1.536% RL Away +1.564% F5 Total4.8
⚠ CLE Matt Festa (SE:4.8)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.566%O754%O7.554%O846%O8.546%O936%O9.536%O1029%O10.529%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.83
O3.5: 62%O4: 49%O4.5: 49%O5: 37%
Starters
LAA Starter
Walbert Ureña
ERA3.36
IP21.4
K22
WHIP1.64
CLE Starter
Slade Cecconi
ERA6.36
IP39.6
K31
WHIP1.64
Bullpens
LAA Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 9.0 Ryan Zeferjahn 87 4.58 19.7
SU 10.0 Sam Bachman 67 3.38 18.7
LR 10.0 Mitch Farris 62 2.25 12.0
MR 4.0 Brent Suter 61 4.22 21.3
MR 10.0 Chase Silseth 59 2.70 13.3
CL 10.0 Jordan Romano 56 10.13 8.0
MR 6.0 ID:820862 50 1.93 4.7
MR 10.0 ID:642048 50 13.50 0.7
MR 10.0 Shaun Anderson 49 5.94 16.7
MR 10.0 Nick Sandlin 44 11.42 8.7
CLE Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 10.0 Cade Smith 85 3.12 17.3
SU 10.0 Erik Sabrowski 83 2.20 16.3
MR 0.0 ID:670059 68 1.50 12.0
SU 4.8 Matt Festa 64 4.50 18.0
MR 8.0 Peyton Pallette 60 4.91 14.7
MR 9.0 Tim Herrin 58 0.00 10.7
MR 10.0 Shawn Armstrong 52 4.22 10.7
MR 10.0 Kolby Allard 51 10.38 8.7
MR 10.0 Hunter Gaddis 43 9.00 7.0
SU 10.0 Connor Brogdon 43 5.28 15.3
NYY
at
BAL
Will Warren vs Trevor Rogers · Oriole Park at Camden Yards · 6:35 PM ET
TOSS-UP: NYY
NYY
4.7
52%
ML -109
TOTAL
9.0
4–15
BAL
4.3
48%
ML +109
FANDUEL
ML NYY -142 / BAL +120
RL -1.5 (+110) / +1.5 (-132)
Total 8.5 (O -115 / U -105)
NYY 52%
48% BAL
Park1.03 Weather0.98 RL Home −1.533% RL Away +1.567% F5 Total4.9
⚠ BAL Rico Garcia (SE:3.5) · BAL Anthony Nunez (SE:0.9)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.570%O760%O7.560%O851%O8.551%O941%O9.541%O1033%O10.533%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.89
O3.5: 63%O4: 50%O4.5: 50%O5: 38%
Starters
NYY Starter
Will Warren
ERA3.62
IP39.8
K53
WHIP1.26
BAL Starter
Trevor Rogers
ERA4.90
IP29.4
K27
WHIP1.50
Bullpens
NYY Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 8.0 Brent Headrick 89 1.93 14.0
CL 10.0 David Bednar 81 3.55 12.7
MR 9.0 Paul Blackburn 70 4.09 11.0
SU 10.0 Tim Hill 68 1.50 12.0
MR 10.0 Jake Bird 66 6.75 8.0
MR 10.0 Ryan Yarbrough 62 4.09 11.0
MR 8.0 Camilo Doval 59 6.97 10.3
SU 7.4 Fernando Cruz 59 3.60 10.0
MR 10.0 Angel Chivilli 45 3.86 2.3
BAL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 3.5 Rico Garcia 77 0.53 17.0
SU 10.0 Grant Wolfram 76 4.85 13.0
SU 10.0 Tyler Wells 73 3.44 18.3
MR 10.0 Yennier Cano 72 1.29 14.0
CL 10.0 Ryan Helsley 70 2.53 10.7
MR 10.0 Cameron Foster 60 5.87 7.7
MR 6.0 Dietrich Enns 59 2.25 8.0
SU 0.9 Anthony Nunez 58 4.50 18.0
MR 9.0 Keegan Akin 57 11.12 5.7
MR 10.0 Andrew Kittredge 52 13.50 4.7
WSH
at
CIN
Miles Mikolas vs Brady Singer · Great American Ball Park · 6:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: CIN
WSH
4.9
48%
ML +109
TOTAL
9.9
5–16
CIN
5.0
52%
ML -109
FANDUEL
ML WSH +134 / CIN -158
RL +1.5 (-160) / -1.5 (+132)
Total 9.0 (O -115 / U -105)
WSH 48%
52% CIN
Park0.96 Weather1.01 RL Home −1.539% RL Away +1.561% F5 Total5.8
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.577%O768%O7.568%O860%O8.560%O949%O9.549%O1042%O10.542%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 5.76
O3.5: 72%O4: 60%O4.5: 60%O5: 48%
Starters
WSH Starter
Miles Mikolas
ERA7.71
IP31.5
K22
WHIP1.59
CIN Starter
Brady Singer
ERA5.78
IP37.4
K26
WHIP1.68
Bullpens
WSH Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 6.8 Gus Varland 76 3.07 14.7
LR 10.0 Mitchell Parker 73 3.38 16.0
MR 10.0 Brad Lord 67 3.80 23.7
MR 10.0 Paxton Schultz 63 2.77 13.0
MR 10.0 Richard Lovelady 59 1.17 7.7
MR 9.0 ID:687377 58 3.60 5.0
MR 10.0 Cole Henry 54 6.43 7.0
MR 10.0 PJ Poulin 50 3.44 18.3
MR 10.0 Julian Fernández 48 2.25 4.0
SU 10.0 Cionel Pérez 47 6.19 16.0
CIN Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Brock Burke 78 3.24 16.7
SU 8.7 Graham Ashcraft 70 1.93 18.7
MR 9.0 Sam Moll 63 1.76 15.3
MR 10.0 Pierce Johnson 61 4.05 13.3
SU 10.0 Connor Phillips 56 5.40 20.0
MR 10.0 ID:682825 51 1.80 5.0
SU 10.0 Tony Santillan 51 2.87 15.7
MR 9.0 Tejay Antone 50 0.00 1.0
MR 10.0 Jose Franco 49 4.30 14.7
MR 10.0 ID:687209 48 36.00 1.0
COL
at
PIT
Michael Lorenzen vs Paul Skenes · PNC Park · 6:40 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: PIT
COL
2.7
31%
ML +220
TOTAL
7.0
3–12
PIT
4.3
69%
ML -220
FANDUEL
ML COL +152 / PIT -180
RL +1.5 (-142) / -1.5 (+118)
Total 8.5 (O -105 / U -115)
COL 31%
69% PIT
Park0.83 Weather0.99 RL Home −1.551% RL Away +1.549% F5 Total3.9
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.552%O739%O7.539%O831%O8.531%O922%O9.522%O1017%O10.517%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 3.89
O3.5: 49%O4: 36%O4.5: 36%O5: 25%
Starters
COL Starter
Michael Lorenzen
ERA7.18
IP37.6
K26
WHIP1.97
PIT Starter
Paul Skenes
ERA2.40
IP41.3
K46
WHIP0.73
Bullpens
COL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
LR 10.0 Antonio Senzatela 96 1.11 24.3
LR 10.0 Chase Dollander 82 3.32 38.0
MR 10.0 Jimmy Herget 72 4.50 14.0
MR 10.0 Juan Mejia 72 4.91 18.3
MR 10.0 Brennan Bernardino 71 1.84 14.7
SU 10.0 Jaden Hill 61 4.26 12.7
MR 8.0 Zach Agnos 61 6.35 22.7
CL 10.0 Victor Vodnik 53 7.24 13.7
MR 8.0 Seth Halvorsen 52 0.00 2.0
LR 10.0 Tanner Gordon 43 6.43 14.0
PIT Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 8.4 Gregory Soto 85 1.42 19.0
MR 7.0 Yohan Ramírez 81 4.09 22.0
MR 10.0 Evan Sisk 76 2.08 13.0
SU 8.7 Mason Montgomery 73 3.21 14.0
MR 10.0 Chris Devenski 72 7.71 2.3
SU 8.7 Isaac Mattson 72 3.71 17.0
MR 9.0 Justin Lawrence 57 4.80 15.0
MR 10.0 Cam Sanders 55 12.00 3.0
MR 10.0 José Urquidy 54 8.53 6.3
MR 9.0 Dennis Santana 52 3.78 16.7
PHI
at
BOS
Zack Wheeler vs Jovani Morán · Fenway Park · 6:45 PM ET
TOSS-UP: PHI
PHI
4.1
52%
ML -107
TOTAL
7.8
3–13
BOS
3.7
48%
ML +107
FANDUEL
ML PHI +112 / BOS -132
RL +1.5 (-184) / -1.5 (+152)
Total 9.0 (O +100 / U -122)
PHI 52%
48% BOS
Park0.99 Weather0.97 RL Home −1.532% RL Away +1.568% F5 Total4.1
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.560%O747%O7.547%O839%O8.539%O929%O9.529%O1023%O10.523%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.11
O3.5: 52%O4: 39%O4.5: 39%O5: 28%
Starters
PHI Starter
Zack Wheeler
ERA3.16
IP17.1
K18
WHIP0.99
BOS Starter
Jovani Morán
ERA3.18
IP19.8
K20
WHIP1.36
Bullpens
PHI Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 José Alvarado 73 7.45 9.7
MR 10.0 Tim Mayza 70 3.94 16.0
MR 10.0 Jonathan Bowlan 69 3.86 7.0
MR 10.0 Tanner Banks 67 7.20 10.0
CL 8.4 Jhoan Duran 65 1.35 6.7
SU 10.0 Brad Keller 64 3.86 11.7
MR 10.0 Zach Pop 62 3.68 7.3
MR 10.0 Orion Kerkering 60 2.70 10.0
MR 10.0 Chase Shugart 59 1.17 7.7
MR 10.0 Kyle Backhus 58 4.66 9.7
BOS Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 10.0 Aroldis Chapman 73 0.77 11.7
MR 10.0 Tyler Samaniego 71 0.00 13.7
MR 9.0 Zack Kelly 64 3.29 13.7
SU 10.0 Garrett Whitlock 63 3.77 14.3
MR 9.0 Justin Slaten 57 0.00 3.3
LR 10.0 ID:681252 56 3.38 8.0
MR 9.0 Jovani Morán 54 3.10 20.3
MR 10.0 Danny Coulombe 54 5.63 8.0
MR 9.0 Greg Weissert 51 5.52 14.7
MR 10.0 ID:687941 50 0.00 1.0
TB
at
TOR
Shane McClanahan vs Patrick Corbin · Rogers Centre · 7:07 PM ET
TOSS-UP: TB
TB
4.6
51%
ML -105
TOTAL
9.0
4–15
TOR
4.4
49%
ML +105
FANDUEL
ML TB +142 / TOR -168
RL +1.5 (-152) / -1.5 (+126)
Total 7.5 (O -110 / U -110)
TB 51%
49% TOR
Park1.05 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.534% RL Away +1.566% F5 Total4.8
⚠ TB Ian Seymour (SE:4.8) · TB Bryan Baker (CL:0.4)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.570%O759%O7.559%O851%O8.551%O940%O9.540%O1033%O10.533%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.84
O3.5: 61%O4: 48%O4.5: 48%O5: 36%
Starters
TB Starter
Shane McClanahan
ERA2.69
IP33.5
K34
WHIP1.10
TOR Starter
Patrick Corbin
ERA3.78
IP28.6
K21
WHIP1.33
Bullpens
TB Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 4.8 Ian Seymour 77 5.09 17.7
CL 0.4 Bryan Baker 76 2.45 14.7
SU 10.0 Cole Sulser 75 2.61 20.7
LR 10.0 Jesse Scholtens 74 3.20 19.7
MR 10.0 Casey Legumina 74 0.00 3.7
SU 7.4 Kevin Kelly 73 3.24 16.7
SU 7.4 Hunter Bigge 58 2.77 13.0
SU 7.4 ID:664076 56 5.79 4.7
MR 10.0 Griffin Jax 53 5.00 18.0
MR 10.0 Trevor Martin 51 6.23 4.3
TOR Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 10.0 Louis Varland 87 0.56 16.0
SU 7.4 Braydon Fisher 78 1.76 15.3
MR 10.0 Jeff Hoffman 78 6.39 12.7
MR 10.0 Tommy Nance 77 6.00 12.0
SU 10.0 Tyler Rogers 77 0.59 15.3
MR 8.0 Joe Mantiply 74 3.38 10.7
MR 7.0 Spencer Miles 69 3.29 13.7
SU 7.4 Mason Fluharty 67 5.06 10.7
MR 10.0 ID:695445 50 6.75 1.3
LR 10.0 Josh Fleming 44 12.00 3.0
DET
at
NYM
Jack Flaherty vs Freddy Peralta · Citi Field · 7:10 PM ET
TOSS-UP: NYM
DET
4.0
44%
ML +126
TOTAL
8.4
3–14
NYM
4.4
56%
ML -126
FANDUEL
ML DET -112 / NYM -104
RL -1.5 (+150) / +1.5 (-182)
Total 8.0 (O -105 / U -115)
DET 44%
56% NYM
Park1.01 Weather0.98 RL Home −1.540% RL Away +1.560% F5 Total4.6
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.565%O753%O7.553%O845%O8.545%O935%O9.535%O1028%O10.528%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.58
O3.5: 58%O4: 45%O4.5: 45%O5: 34%
Starters
DET Starter
Jack Flaherty
ERA5.80
IP32.6
K42
WHIP1.72
NYM Starter
Freddy Peralta
ERA3.24
IP41.7
K43
WHIP1.25
Bullpens
DET Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 9.0 Brant Hurter 76 1.45 18.7
MR 10.0 Burch Smith 73 1.59 11.3
MR 8.0 Enmanuel De Jesus 68 7.71 11.7
MR 7.0 Drew Anderson 63 4.79 20.7
SU 10.0 Will Vest 63 6.17 11.7
MR 9.0 Brenan Hanifee 62 0.00 6.7
SU 8.7 Kyle Finnegan 60 0.51 17.7
MR 10.0 Connor Seabold 53 4.09 11.0
MR 10.0 Tyler Holton 53 4.91 14.7
LR 10.0 Ty Madden 50 0.00 5.0
NYM Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 7.0 Huascar Brazobán 74 1.53 17.7
SU 10.0 Brooks Raley 74 1.29 14.0
CL 10.0 Devin Williams 71 6.17 11.7
LR 8.6 Sean Manaea 67 6.85 22.3
SU 10.0 Luke Weaver 66 4.70 15.3
MR 9.0 Tobias Myers 61 3.57 22.7
MR 10.0 Craig Kimbrel 59 7.56 8.3
MR 10.0 Richard Lovelady 59 3.68 7.3
MR 10.0 Austin Warren 58 1.17 7.7
LR 10.0 Carl Edwards Jr. 56 1.50 6.0
CHC
at
ATL
Colin Rea vs Grant Holmes · Truist Park · 7:15 PM ET
TOSS-UP: ATL
CHC
4.6
49%
ML +104
TOTAL
9.0
4–15
ATL
4.5
51%
ML -104
FANDUEL
ML CHC -142 / ATL +120
RL -1.5 (+116) / +1.5 (-140)
Total 9.0 (O -105 / U -115)
CHC 49%
51% ATL
Park0.99 Weather0.96 RL Home −1.536% RL Away +1.564% F5 Total5.0
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.570%O759%O7.559%O851%O8.551%O941%O9.541%O1033%O10.533%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.96
O3.5: 62%O4: 49%O4.5: 49%O5: 38%
Starters
CHC Starter
Colin Rea
ERA4.18
IP36.6
K35
WHIP1.42
ATL Starter
Grant Holmes
ERA4.45
IP36.4
K29
WHIP1.35
Bullpens
CHC Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Ben Brown 90 2.10 25.7
MR 10.0 Ryan Rolison 62 3.12 8.7
MR 9.0 Daniel Palencia 62 0.00 6.3
MR 10.0 Riley Martin 62 2.16 8.3
MR 9.0 Phil Maton 58 8.64 8.3
MR 10.0 Jacob Webb 55 3.52 15.3
MR 9.0 Hoby Milner 54 2.55 17.7
MR 10.0 Trent Thornton 51 0.00 2.0
CL 10.0 Caleb Thielbar 50 3.12 8.7
MR 10.0 ID:605441 50 0.00 1.7
ATL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Dylan Lee 85 1.38 13.0
MR 7.0 Robert Suarez 81 0.71 12.7
MR 10.0 José Suarez 76 6.61 16.3
LR 10.0 Didier Fuentes 71 5.00 9.0
CL 10.0 Raisel Iglesias 69 0.00 8.7
SU 8.7 Tyler Kinley 64 1.38 13.0
MR 10.0 Joel Payamps 48 6.14 7.3
MR 10.0 Osvaldo Bido 47 6.30 10.0
MR 10.0 Carlos Carrasco 46 0.00 1.0
SU 10.0 Aaron Bummer 39 4.66 9.7
KC
at
CWS
Stephen Kolek vs Erick Fedde · Rate Field · 7:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: KC
KC
4.2
53%
ML -115
TOTAL
7.9
3–13
CWS
3.7
47%
ML +115
FANDUEL
ML KC -112 / CWS -104
RL -1.5 (+152) / +1.5 (-184)
Total 8.0 (O -105 / U -115)
KC 53%
47% CWS
Park0.94 Weather0.97 RL Home −1.531% RL Away +1.569% F5 Total4.2
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.560%O748%O7.548%O840%O8.540%O930%O9.530%O1023%O10.523%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.22
O3.5: 54%O4: 40%O4.5: 40%O5: 29%
Starters
KC Starter
Stephen Kolek
ERA4.50
IP6.0
K3
WHIP0.67
CWS Starter
Erick Fedde
ERA3.93
IP36.6
K24
WHIP1.17
Bullpens
KC Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 7.4 Daniel Lynch IV 80 1.72 15.7
SU 8.7 Nick Mears 68 1.98 13.7
CL 10.0 Lucas Erceg 68 3.52 15.3
MR 9.0 Alex Lange 60 6.35 17.0
LR 10.0 Luinder Avila 59 7.36 11.0
SU 10.0 Matt Strahm 59 3.29 13.7
MR 10.0 Mason Black 59 0.00 4.7
MR 10.0 Eli Morgan 48 2.61 10.3
MR 10.0 ID:672021 45 9.00 3.0
MR 8.0 John Schreiber 45 3.86 14.0
CWS Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 9.0 Sean Newcomb 88 4.00 18.0
MR 10.0 Grant Taylor 85 2.93 15.3
MR 10.0 Bryan Hudson 82 1.29 14.0
MR 10.0 Tyler Davis 58 0.00 2.0
MR 10.0 Jordan Hicks 57 4.26 12.7
MR 10.0 Lucas Sims 55 4.50 10.0
CL 6.8 Seranthony Domínguez 49 4.50 12.0
MR 10.0 Chris Murphy 48 10.50 6.0
MR 10.0 Osvaldo Bido 47 6.75 5.3
MR 10.0 Jordan Leasure 39 6.91 14.3
MIA
at
MIN
Eury Pérez vs Bailey Ober · Target Field · 7:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: MIN
MIA
4.7
45%
ML +120
TOTAL
9.6
4–16
MIN
4.9
55%
ML -120
FANDUEL
ML MIA -122 / MIN +104
RL -1.5 (+140) / +1.5 (-170)
Total 8.5 (O -115 / U -105)
MIA 45%
55% MIN
Park1.06 Weather0.99 RL Home −1.540% RL Away +1.560% F5 Total5.3
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.575%O765%O7.565%O856%O8.556%O946%O9.546%O1039%O10.539%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 5.31
O3.5: 67%O4: 54%O4.5: 54%O5: 42%
Starters
MIA Starter
Eury Pérez
ERA5.04
IP41.1
K45
WHIP1.44
MIN Starter
Bailey Ober
ERA4.26
IP42.3
K32
WHIP1.21
Bullpens
MIA Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Tyler Phillips 76 1.47 18.3
SU 10.0 Anthony Bender 73 5.25 12.0
MR 10.0 Michael Petersen 72 3.65 12.3
MR 10.0 John King 71 0.71 12.7
MR 10.0 Lake Bachar 70 3.29 13.7
MR 8.0 Calvin Faucher 66 5.40 10.0
MR 10.0 Ryan Gusto 64 0.00 1.0
CL 10.0 Pete Fairbanks 63 10.00 9.0
SU 8.7 Andrew Nardi 51 7.20 10.0
MIN Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Eric Orze 77 3.09 11.7
MR 10.0 Taylor Rogers 74 6.52 9.7
LR 10.0 Andrew Morris 73 7.20 10.0
MR 10.0 Garrett Acton 63 2.70 6.7
MR 10.0 Cody Laweryson 63 4.26 6.3
MR 9.0 Anthony Banda 61 8.74 11.3
MR 10.0 Cole Sands 56 4.63 11.7
SU 10.0 Kody Funderburk 54 2.31 11.7
MR 7.0 Kendry Rojas 47 0.00 2.0
MR 8.0 Luis García 45 19.64 3.7
SD
at
MIL
Bradgley Rodriguez vs Brandon Sproat · American Family Field · 7:40 PM ET
TOSS-UP: MIL
SD
4.2
50%
ML +101
TOTAL
8.2
3–13
MIL
4.0
50%
ML -101
FANDUEL
ML SD +112 / MIL -132
RL +1.5 (-192) / -1.5 (+158)
Total 7.0 (O -122 / U +100)
SD 50%
50% MIL
Park0.93 Weather1.02 RL Home −1.534% RL Away +1.566% F5 Total4.6
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.563%O751%O7.551%O843%O8.543%O933%O9.533%O1026%O10.526%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.56
O3.5: 59%O4: 45%O4.5: 45%O5: 33%
Starters
SD Starter
Bradgley Rodriguez
ERA2.20
IP16.4
K14
WHIP1.22
MIL Starter
Brandon Sproat
ERA6.25
IP28.8
K30
WHIP1.63
Bullpens
SD Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 10.0 Mason Miller 85 1.04 17.3
MR 10.0 Bradgley Rodriguez 83 1.93 18.7
SU 10.0 Adrian Morejon 82 5.40 20.0
SU 10.0 Kyle Hart 74 5.40 16.7
MR 7.0 Ron Marinaccio 67 5.03 19.7
SU 8.7 Jeremiah Estrada 62 4.66 9.7
SU 10.0 Jason Adam 58 1.64 11.0
MR 10.0 Wandy Peralta 52 3.18 17.0
MR 10.0 David Morgan 50 6.08 13.3
MIL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 9.0 Aaron Ashby 90 2.45 18.3
CL 8.4 Trevor Megill 76 7.20 10.0
MR 10.0 Jake Woodford 76 4.61 13.7
SU 8.7 Abner Uribe 72 3.97 11.3
MR 8.0 DL Hall 69 2.31 11.7
LR 10.0 Shane Drohan 69 4.70 7.7
SU 10.0 Grant Anderson 64 2.57 14.0
MR 10.0 Angel Zerpa 50 6.39 12.7
MR 10.0 Carlos Rodriguez 50 2.25 4.0
AZ
at
TEX
Zac Gallen vs MacKenzie Gore · Globe Life Field · 8:05 PM ET
TOSS-UP: TEX
AZ
3.4
47%
ML +115
TOTAL
6.9
3–12
TEX
3.5
53%
ML -115
FANDUEL
ML AZ +114 / TEX -134
RL +1.5 (-184) / -1.5 (+155)
Total 8.5 (O -115 / U -105)
AZ 47%
53% TEX
Park0.79 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.536% RL Away +1.564% F5 Total3.8
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.550%O738%O7.538%O830%O8.530%O921%O9.521%O1016%O10.516%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 3.80
O3.5: 48%O4: 34%O4.5: 34%O5: 24%
Starters
AZ Starter
Zac Gallen
ERA4.81
IP37.4
K25
WHIP1.52
TEX Starter
MacKenzie Gore
ERA5.36
IP38.6
K48
WHIP1.45
Bullpens
AZ Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 10.0 Juan Morillo 80 2.16 16.7
MR 10.0 Kevin Ginkel 78 3.45 15.7
SU 7.4 Taylor Clarke 73 2.60 17.3
SU 10.0 Jonathan Loáisiga 72 3.45 15.7
CL 6.8 Paul Sewald 54 3.55 12.7
SU 10.0 Ryan Thompson 54 3.14 14.3
LR 10.0 Brandon Pfaadt 51 5.83 29.3
MR 10.0 Taylor Rashi 50 9.82 3.7
MR 9.0 ID:805299 50 0.00 4.0
MR 10.0 Andrew Hoffmann 42 7.71 11.7
TEX Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 6.8 Jacob Latz 79 0.96 18.7
MR 8.0 Tyler Alexander 72 2.60 17.3
MR 4.0 Jakob Junis 70 1.76 15.3
SU 7.4 Jalen Beeks 64 2.87 15.7
MR 10.0 Gavin Collyer 63 0.00 5.3
LR 10.0 Cal Quantrill 59 4.50 10.0
MR 6.0 ID:682608 56 0.00 4.0
MR 10.0 Robert Garcia 55 3.38 8.0
SU 7.4 Cole Winn 54 5.14 14.0
MR 10.0 Chris Martin 50 7.11 6.3
SEA
at
HOU
Bryan Woo vs Tatsuya Imai · Daikin Park · 8:10 PM ET
TOSS-UP: HOU
SEA
4.1
49%
ML +106
TOTAL
8.0
3–13
HOU
4.0
51%
ML -106
FANDUEL
ML SEA -120 / HOU +102
RL -1.5 (+132) / +1.5 (-160)
Total 9.0 (O -115 / U -105)
SEA 49%
51% HOU
Park0.92 Weather1.00 RL Home −1.535% RL Away +1.565% F5 Total4.3
⚠ SEA Eduard Bazardo (SE:0.0)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.562%O749%O7.549%O841%O8.541%O931%O9.531%O1025%O10.525%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 4.29
O3.5: 54%O4: 41%O4.5: 41%O5: 29%
Starters
SEA Starter
Bryan Woo
ERA4.02
IP47.0
K38
WHIP1.00
HOU Starter
Tatsuya Imai
ERA8.40
IP7.5
K13
WHIP2.40
Bullpens
SEA Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 8.0 Jose A. Ferrer 88 1.89 19.0
SU 0.0 Eduard Bazardo 79 1.62 16.7
MR 10.0 Casey Legumina 74 4.63 11.7
SU 10.0 Matt Brash 71 0.00 11.3
CL 6.8 Andrés Muñoz 64 6.00 15.0
SU 10.0 Gabe Speier 64 2.92 12.3
MR 8.0 Cooper Criswell 61 2.20 16.3
MR 10.0 Alex Hoppe 57 7.36 3.7
MR 10.0 Cole Wilcox 56 5.40 13.3
MR 8.0 ID:689546 51 0.00 1.0
HOU Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 6.8 Bryan King 80 3.45 15.7
MR 7.0 Kai-Wei Teng 71 2.35 23.0
MR 10.0 Enyel De Los Santos 70 4.80 15.0
MR 8.0 Steven Okert 56 4.60 15.7
MR 9.0 Jayden Murray 55 6.00 6.0
MR 10.0 ID:656986 50 8.10 3.3
MR 8.0 AJ Blubaugh 49 5.32 22.0
MR 10.0 Christian Roa 48 5.19 8.7
LR 10.0 Colton Gordon 31 11.57 9.3
MR 10.0 Bryan Abreu 30 9.49 12.3
STL
at
ATH
Andre Pallante vs Jeffrey Springs · Sutter Health Park · 9:40 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: ATH
STL
5.1
42%
ML +141
TOTAL
10.9
5–17
ATH
5.8
58%
ML -141
FANDUEL
ML STL +120 / ATH -142
RL +1.5 (-164) / -1.5 (+136)
Total 9.5 (O -122 / U +100)
STL 42%
58% ATH
Park1.10 Weather1.03 RL Home −1.544% RL Away +1.556% F5 Total6.0
⚠ STL Riley O'Brien (CL:5.2)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.583%O774%O7.574%O867%O8.567%O957%O9.557%O1050%O10.550%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 6.00
O3.5: 74%O4: 62%O4.5: 62%O5: 50%
Starters
STL Starter
Andre Pallante
ERA4.37
IP37.1
K29
WHIP1.37
ATH Starter
Jeffrey Springs
ERA3.95
IP43.3
K39
WHIP1.15
Bullpens
STL Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
CL 5.2 Riley O'Brien 86 2.00 18.0
MR 10.0 Gordon Graceffo 67 1.93 18.7
SU 8.7 George Soriano 65 3.31 16.3
SU 8.7 Ryne Stanek 63 7.20 15.0
MR 10.0 Ryan Fernandez 61 1.59 5.7
MR 10.0 Jared Shuster 57 2.35 7.7
SU 7.4 JoJo Romero 55 3.50 18.0
SU 10.0 Justin Bruihl 54 5.29 17.0
MR 10.0 Matt Svanson 42 9.64 18.7
ATH Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 10.0 Jack Perkins 79 3.68 14.7
CL 10.0 Joel Kuhnel 66 2.13 12.7
SU 8.7 Justin Sterner 64 4.42 18.3
MR 10.0 Mark Leiter Jr. 62 7.98 14.7
MR 8.0 Luis Medina 60 2.13 12.7
SU 10.0 Scott Barlow 59 3.78 16.7
SU 10.0 Hogan Harris 54 2.79 19.3
MR 10.0 Elvis Alvarado 53 8.38 9.7
MR 10.0 Tyler Ferguson 50 27.00 1.3
MR 10.0 ID:621139 50 0.00 1.0
SF
at
LAD
Adrian Houser vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto · UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium · 10:10 PM ET
SLIGHT EDGE: LAD
SF
3.8
31%
ML +220
TOTAL
9.4
4–15
LAD
5.6
69%
ML -220
FANDUEL
ML SF +205 / LAD -250
RL +1.5 (-110) / -1.5 (-110)
Total 8.0 (O -115 / U -105)
SF 31%
69% LAD
Park1.07 Weather0.96 RL Home −1.553% RL Away +1.547% F5 Total5.3
⚠ SF Keaton Winn (SE:0.0) · SF Matt Gage (SE:0.0)
Total Runs
0123456789101112131415161718
O6.573%O762%O7.562%O854%O8.554%O944%O9.544%O1037%O10.537%
First 5 Innings
F5 total mean: 5.35
O3.5: 67%O4: 55%O4.5: 55%O5: 43%
Starters
SF Starter
Adrian Houser
ERA6.48
IP34.7
K19
WHIP1.61
LAD Starter
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
ERA3.12
IP43.2
K40
WHIP1.02
Bullpens
SF Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
SU 0.0 Keaton Winn 75 2.93 15.3
SU 10.0 Erik Miller 73 3.18 11.3
MR 10.0 Blade Tidwell 65 3.00 12.0
MR 9.0 Caleb Kilian 63 1.13 16.0
MR 8.0 JT Brubaker 61 2.65 17.0
SU 0.0 Matt Gage 56 1.26 14.3
CL 10.0 Ryan Walker 54 5.52 14.7
MR 8.0 Ryan Borucki 53 5.56 11.3
MR 10.0 ID:666619 52 4.91 3.7
MR 7.0 ID:666711 50 0.00 2.0
LAD Bullpen
RoleHlthPitcherSklERAIP
MR 8.0 Jack Dreyer 80 2.60 17.3
MR 9.0 Will Klein 79 3.07 14.7
MR 6.0 Alex Vesia 75 1.42 12.7
SU 10.0 Tanner Scott 69 1.76 15.3
MR 10.0 Kyle Hurt 68 1.00 9.0
MR 10.0 Edgardo Henriquez 61 4.38 12.3
SU 8.7 Blake Treinen 58 4.09 11.0
MR 10.0 Jake Eder 55 2.25 4.0
CL 10.0 Edwin Díaz 53 10.50 6.0
MR 10.0 ID:592779 50 0.00 1.0
The Editor's Plays

On Today's Slate

Locks

Mariners ML -152
Dodgers ML + Pirates ML Parlay -110

Solid Plays

YRFI Reds/Nationals -119
Royals ML -111

Value Plays

Cubs ML +112
Cardinals Over 10.5 +117